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© 2026 Annolyse. Analytical briefings for NZX company announcements.

Table of contents

  1. What changed
  2. What matters
  3. Expectations
  4. Quality of result
  5. Unresolved
  6. Key metrics
  7. Analytical metrics
  8. Metric context
  9. Reference material
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AFC Group Holdings (AFC) / HY22

HY22 loss widened to NZ$451m as revenue collapsed 61% and equity halved

Operating cash outflow of NZ$71.5m sits inside a NZ$411.7m operating loss, implying roughly NZ$340m of non-cash charges drove the headline.

Release date
29 November 2021
Published
27 April 2026
Table of Contents⌄
  1. What changed
  2. What matters
  3. Expectations
  4. Quality of result
  5. Unresolved
  6. Key metrics
  7. Analytical metrics
  8. Metric context
  9. Reference material

Comparable note: HY21 was selected on an inferred basis rather than an exact same-period filing match.

What changed

  • Revenue fell 61.3% to NZ$111.4m from NZ$287.6m, with the company filing showing a parallel 61% decline at HY21 — suggesting two consecutive halves of severe top-line erosion.
  • Gross margin widened 219bps to 12.4% on NZ$13.8m of gross profit, but the absolute gross profit pool shrank materially in line with revenue.
  • Operating loss deepened to NZ$411.7m (HY21: NZ$284.4m), and PBT/NPAT loss widened 42.3% to NZ$451.1m. Income tax was nil in both periods, so PBT and NPAT moved in lockstep.
  • Operating cash outflow was NZ$71.5m and free cash outflow NZ$74.6m after NZ$3.1m of capex.
  • Cash rose modestly to NZ$4.6m. Gross borrowings were unchanged at NZ$53.4m, leaving net debt slightly lower at NZ$48.8m.
  • Total equity nearly halved versus FY21, falling from NZ$1.6b to NZ$840.2m. Total assets dropped from NZ$3.1b to NZ$2.5b, with inventory of NZ$541.2m still the dominant asset.
  • No dividend was declared, consistent with HY21.

What matters

  • The P&L loss is overwhelmingly non-cash. A NZ$411.7m operating loss against a NZ$71.5m operating cash outflow implies roughly NZ$340m of non-cash charges (depreciation, amortisation, impairments and likely inventory write-downs, given the FY21 commentary already flagged stock impairment). The cash burn rate, while severe relative to liquidity, is an order of magnitude smaller than the headline number suggests.
  • Inventory is the central balance-sheet question. At NZ$541.2m on annualised revenue of NZ$222.9m, implied inventory days are roughly 1,010 — extreme by any standard and a strong signal of further write-down risk.
  • Equity has lost about NZ$798m in six months while reported NPAT loss was NZ$451.1m. The roughly NZ$347m gap is not bridged in the supplied excerpts and is material to any read on solvency.
  • Liquidity is thin against the burn rate. NZ$4.6m of cash versus a NZ$71.5m half-year operating outflow means the result implicitly depends on financing capacity that the release does not detail.

Expectations

No quantitative guidance or stated target was disclosed. The FY21 base was second-half weighted, with HY21 revenue at about 44% of FY21's NZ$646.9m. Annualising HY22 revenue gives NZ$222.9m, more than two-thirds below the FY21 outcome. Even allowing for second-half seasonality, the release does not support a path back to FY21 scale within FY22. There is no forward work or pipeline disclosure to test against this run-rate.

Quality of result

The earnings quality is poor on both axes but for different reasons. The P&L loss is heavily non-cash and therefore not directly indicative of half-on-half cash deterioration; that limits its usefulness as an operating barometer. The cash result is also weak — a NZ$71.5m operating outflow on NZ$111.4m of revenue is a 64% cash-burn-to-revenue ratio. The 219bps gross margin gain is too small to alter the picture, and there are no non-GAAP adjustments or non-recurring item disclosures to bridge the operating line to PBT (a NZ$39.4m gap likely reflecting finance costs and the disclosed NZ$5.8m FX translation movement). ROE deteriorated to -53.7% from -19.4%. There is no working-capital tailwind helping the cash result.

Unresolved

  • What sits inside the NZ$340m gap between operating loss and operating cash outflow — impairments of which assets, and at what carrying values now?
  • How is the NZ$798m equity decline reconciled when reported NPAT loss is NZ$451.1m? Reserves movements, OCI items or opening-balance restatements are not disclosed in the supplied excerpts.
  • What is the recoverability assumption on NZ$541.2m of inventory at current sales velocity, and has further provisioning been taken?
  • With NZ$4.6m of cash against a NZ$71.5m operating burn, what funding or refinancing arrangements support continuing operations?
  • The prior comparable was inferred at low confidence from the nearest older half-year result, so the like-for-like is directional rather than precise.

This briefing cannot assess management's stated cause attribution, going-concern commentary, or any post-balance-date capital actions, none of which appear in the supplied release excerpts.

Key metrics

← Swipe to view more
Key metrics table for AFC Group Holdings HY22
Metric HY22 HY21 Change
Revenue $111.4m $287.6m -61.3% ↓
Net profit after tax −$451.1m −$317m -42.3% ↓
Net cash inflow from operating activities −$71.5m — —
Declared dividend per share 0.0c 0.0c flat
Total assets $2.5b $3.1b -19.0% ↓

Analytical metrics

← Swipe to view more
Analytical metrics table for AFC Group Holdings HY22
Metric HY22 HY21 Context
FCF pre-lease −$74.6m — —
FCF post-lease −$74.6m — —
FCF / NPAT 16.5% — complementary conversion metric
Capex % revenue 2.8% — —
Capex $3.1m — —
Debtor days 15.6 — —
Inventory days 1009.7 — —
Trade debtors $9.5m — —
Net debt $48.8m $50m −$1.3m
Gross borrowings $53.4m — —
Payout ratio vs FCF pre-lease 0.0% — covered
ROE (annualised) -53.7% -19.4% Weakening
HY21 share of FY21 revenue 44.5% — Other half was 55.5%
HY21 share of FY21 NPAT 69.6% — Other half was 30.4%
Profit from continuing operations −$412m −$317m −$95m

This analysis was generated using Annolyse, an AI-powered tool that analyses NZX company announcements. The analysis is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. This is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Source-backed analysis from the filing set attached to this briefing.

Metric context

Trajectory before this result

A compact view of the company's recent revenue and margin path, derived from the same metrics history that powers the company page.

AFC revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

← Swipe to view more
AFC revenue trajectory preview table
PeriodAFC
FY23$1.1m
HY23$0.67m
FY22$0.42m
HY22$111.4m
FY21$0.65m

AFC EBITDA margin

Earnings margin across covered periods.

← Swipe to view more
AFC EBITDA margin preview table
PeriodAFC
FY23-9.5%
HY2313.7%
FY22-157.8%
HY22-0.4%
FY21-132.3%

Appendix

Reference material

Company materials considered in this briefing.

Current period

20211129 Results Announcement - 30.09.2021

HY22 / results announcement↗

20211129 Results Announcement - 30.09.2021

HY22 / results release↗

20211129 Sep 2021 - Interim FInancial Statements

HY22 / financial report↗

Prior comparable period

2020 11 Appendix 1

HY21 / financial report↗

2020 11 Results Announcement - 30.09.2020

HY21 / results announcement↗

2020 11 Results Announcement - 30.09.2020

HY21 / results release↗

Full-year context

2021 05 Announcement

FY21 / results release↗

2021 05 Key financial reports-31.03.2021

FY21 / financial report↗

2021 05 Results Announcement - 31.03.2021

FY21 / results announcement↗

Related insight

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AFC revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

AFC EBITDA margin

Earnings margin across covered periods.