Market cap
$42.8m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
EBITDA margin doubled to 6.8% as IoT revenue rose 31.6%, but a NZ$7.6m working-capital release flatters the cash result and merits a durability check.
Comparable chart history for this briefing.
Market context
A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.
The latest close and share count context for the market price.
Market cap
$42.8m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.
P/E
12.96x
Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.
EPS
0.01
Recent filing-derived earnings per share.
PEG
Not available
Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.
EV/EBITDA
27.18x
Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.
P/FCF
Not available
Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.
P/B
1.8x
Market value compared with latest reported equity.
Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.
Dividend yield
0.0%
Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.
Total return
Not available
Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.
Key metrics
FY19 vs FY18
Revenue
$61.7m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
EBITDA
$4.2m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net profit after tax
$0.4m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net cash inflow from operating activities
$3m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Operating profit
$1.5m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Profit before tax
$0.6m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Cash and cash equivalents
$3.5m
+270.7% ↑ vs $0.93m
Total assets
$37.9m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Analysis ofAOF FY19Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
What changed
EBITDA rose 71.2% to NZ$4.2m on revenue up 5.0% to NZ$61.7m, lifting the EBITDA margin to 6.8% — above Annolyse's historical baseline range of 2.2%–4.1% (3-period mean 3.2%). PBT swung from a NZ$0.5m loss to a NZ$0.6m profit (+241.6%) and NPAT moved from a NZ$0.7m loss to NZ$0.4m (+162.8%).
The mix is the story behind the margin: IoT (Wellington Connect) revenue rose 31.6% to NZ$24.0m at a disclosed 40.8% gross margin, versus Motors at NZ$37.7m on 18.2%. Operating cash flow was NZ$3.0m and pre-lease FCF NZ$2.6m. The balance sheet flipped from NZ$4.7m net debt to NZ$0.4m net cash, with equity more than doubling to NZ$13.1m.
What matters
IoT now contributes 38.9% of revenue at more than double the gross margin of Motors. With IoT growing 31.6% versus a 5.0% group line, the segment mix is doing most of the work to lift EBITDA margin to 6.8% — well above the 2.2%–4.1% historical band. This matters because durability depends on IoT continuing to outgrow Motors rather than on operating leverage on a flat cost base.
Cash quality was flattered by a working-capital release. Operating working capital fell by NZ$7.6m, sitting at the lower edge of the historical range, with debtor days dropping from 105.0 to 81.9 and inventory days from 30.4 to 28.4. That release explains why OCF (NZ$3.0m) and pre-lease FCF (NZ$2.6m) look strong against NPAT. Without it, the cash conversion picture would be materially weaker.
Balance-sheet flexibility has been restored. Gross borrowings fell 45.7% to NZ$3.1m and cash rose to NZ$3.5m, producing a small net cash position (net debt/EBITDA of -0.09x against the historical -1.00x mean). The group now has the capacity to fund IoT investment internally rather than from drawn debt.
Expectations
Prior-period commentary referenced a vision of revenue above NZ$100m within five years, but this is a strategic aspiration, not guidance, and there is no stated path or interim milestone in this filing.
The shape of FY19 was first-half-loaded: HY19 delivered 54% of full-year revenue and 58.1% of EBITDA, implying a softer second half on both. That cuts against simple annualisation of FY19 run-rates. The release does not give the reader enough to triangulate FY20, so the read is necessarily backward-looking on margin trajectory.
Quality of result
PBT is the cleaner operating read: it grew 241.6% versus 162.8% for NPAT, with the gap explained by the effective tax rate moving from -57.7% to 30.0% — a normalising tax outcome rather than additional operating progress. On the operating line, the EBITDA margin lift to 6.8% looks structurally supported by IoT mix, which is the more durable component.
The cash result deserves more scepticism. Cash conversion of 70.8% is within Annolyse's historical range (and below the prior 75.0%), but pre-lease FCF of NZ$2.6m sits at the upper edge of the historical range mainly because of the NZ$7.6m working-capital release. Capex fell to 0.7% of revenue from 1.4%, which also helped. If receivables normalise back toward the 98-day historical mean and capex re-rates to a more typical level, FCF would compress meaningfully even on stable EBITDA. The FCF/NPAT ratio of 575.0% should not be read as a steady-state earnings-quality signal.
Unresolved
This briefing cannot assess the sustainability of IoT segment growth or customer concentration risk because the filing does not disclose pipeline, contract length, or top-customer exposure.
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Ask follow-up questions about AoFrio's FY19 result.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
Open to load segment breakdown.
Open to load analytical metrics.
Open to load key metrics.
NZX Announcement
FY19 / results announcementNZX Announcement
FY19 / results releaseWellington Annual Report 2019
FY19 / financial reportWT9152 WDT 2018 Annual Report
FY18 / financial reportWDT interim report June 2019
HY19 / financial reportRelated insights
Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.
Earnings quality and statutory distortions
PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 78.8pp, with a distortion flag in the result.
Cash conversion quality
This result converted 70.8% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, -4.2pp versus the prior comparable period.
Leverage and balance-sheet risk
Net debt / EBITDA is -0.09x, -2.00x versus the prior comparable period.
ROE and capital efficiency
ROE was 3.4%, +14.6pp versus the prior comparable period.
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