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Arvida Group (ARV) / FY26

Operating cash flow fell 33% as OCF/EBITDA dropped to 81% on lower ORA receipts

Underlying EBITDA rose 10% to $133m but operating cash inflows dropped $53m year-on-year, creating a material gap between reported earnings

Healthcare / Retirement living

ARV revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $262.7m, versus $131.9m in HY26.

ARV EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY26 was 50.6%, versus 33.1% in HY26.

ARV operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $107.8m, versus $44.7m in HY26.

ARV working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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FY26 was $1.1m, versus -$1.7m in HY26.
Release date
28 May 2026
Published
3 June 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$262.7m

+3.6% ↑ vs $253.7m

EBITDA

$133m

— vs —

Net profit after tax

$97.3m

-3.5% ↓ vs $100.8m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$107.8m

-33.0% ↓ vs $160.8m

Declared dividend per share

—

— vs 0.0c

Cash and cash equivalents

$21.8m

+53.5% ↑ vs $14.2m

Total assets

$5b

+6.9% ↑ vs $4.7b

What changed

Operating cash flow fell 33% to $107.8m against a prior-comparable $160.8m, a $53.0m decline that is the most material development in this result because it means the 10% lift in underlying EBITDA to $133.0m did not translate into stronger cash generation

OCF/EBITDA conversion was 81.0% for the period, with no prior-year EBITDA disclosed on a comparable basis to assess the directional shift precisely. The gap between the earnings improvement and the cash retreat is the central tension in this result.

Revenue grew 3.6% to $262.7m, and profit before tax — the cleaner operating read given a tax distortion — rose 6.3% to $96.3m. Statutory NPAT fell 3.5% to $97.3m, reflecting an effective tax rate of 1.0% against 11.3% in the prior year, which mechanically inflated the prior comparable NPAT relative to PBT.

Gross borrowings rose 11% to $1.1b, lifting net debt to $1.1b. Against underlying EBITDA of $133.0m, net debt/EBITDA stands at approximately 8.2x — high relative to most operating companies, though leverage at this level is structurally typical for retirement village operators carrying large ORA liability books alongside property portfolios.

What matters

Operating cash flow retreat signals ORA timing pressure

The $53.0m year-on-year decline in OCF is the dominant quality concern. In retirement living, operating cash flows are significantly influenced by ORA (occupation right agreement) receipts from new sales and resales net of repayments. Management cited strong resale settlement volumes, yet OCF fell sharply, which implies either higher ORA repayments, the timing of settlement receipts, or development-related cash consumption classified within operating flows. The second-half shape reinforces this concern: the first half contributed 73.8% of full-year OCF ($79.5m of $107.8m), meaning the implied second half delivered only $28.2m of operating cash.

PBT is the operative earnings read; NPAT comparison is distorted. The 9.8 percentage-point gap between PBT growth (+6.3%) and NPAT growth (−3.5%) reflects the tax rate moving from 11.3% to 1.0%. For retirement village operators, deferred tax movements on investment property revaluations are a common cause of swings in effective tax rates. NPAT slightly exceeded PBT in FY26 ($97.3m vs $96.3m), confirming a tax benefit rather than a charge. This means reported NPAT is overstated relative to a normalised tax charge, and the prior NPAT was understated — using PBT removes that noise.

Leverage has increased and ROE is weakening. Gross borrowings grew $109.9m to $1.1b, while ROE declined from 6.4% to 5.8%. Total assets grew 6.9% to $5.1b, largely property-driven, but the equity-return profile is thinning as the asset base expands. The NTA per share of $2.14 provides a balance-sheet anchor, but increasing debt against a modestly growing operating earnings base warrants monitoring.

Expectations

No formal earnings targets were disclosed for FY26 or beyond, so there is no stated-guidance frame against which to assess this result

Management commentary referenced strong demand for new development offerings and resale momentum during the period, which is constructive for the ORA pipeline. However, the sharp second-half OCF weakness — implied at only $28.2m versus $79.5m in the first half — means the cash generation trajectory entering FY27 is softer than the full-year EBITDA number suggests.

The issuer-transition flag on both the current and prior periods means the comparable period was matched through ticker lineage rather than a clean like-for-like filing, and some caution is warranted on period-boundary consistency. Without a formal FY27 guidance range or forward-work disclosure, the extent to which resale volumes and new development settlements will recover OCF is not assessable from this release alone.

Quality of result

The underlying EBITDA result of $133.0m looks operationally credible given consistent revenue growth of 3.6% and management's commentary on resale activity

However, the retirement village model's quality rests critically on net ORA cash flows, and the 33% drop in OCF to $107.8m suggests either significant repayments on departing residents, timing mismatches in settlement receipts, or both — none of which are benign if the pattern persists. FCF/NPAT was 101.3%, which at face value looks adequate, but this ratio is flattered by the very low effective tax rate (1.0%) boosting NPAT.

The property portfolio expansion — total assets up $322m to $5b — is driving balance sheet growth and supporting revaluation-related earnings, but revaluation gains are non-cash and increase the gap between accounting profit and distributable cash. The durability of the EBITDA improvement depends on whether resale velocity and new development settlement rates can restore operating cash flow toward prior-year levels in FY27.

Unresolved

Open questions

What drove the $53m year-on-year decline in operating cash flow — specifically, what was the net movement in ORA receipts versus repayments, and how much of the shortfall relates to timing versus structural pressure on the resale cycle?
Why did second-half OCF fall to an implied $28.2m from $79.5m in the first half, and does management expect a normalisation in FY27?
Is the 1.0% effective tax rate in FY26 a reflection of a deferred tax benefit on investment property movements, and what is the normalised ongoing tax rate the business expects to carry?
How does management reconcile the "strong resale settlement volumes" narrative with an operating cash flow outcome 33% below the prior year?
Will the development pipeline translate into net positive ORA cash flow in FY27, or does staged completion timing mean cash receipts remain back-end weighted?

This briefing cannot assess the underlying ORA cash-flow bridge, the split between inflows from new sales and outflows to departing residents, or whether the OCF decline reflects a temporary cycle or a structural shift in the resale market.

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What drove the $53m year-on-year decline in operating cash flow — specifically, what was the net movement in ORA receipts versus repayments, and how much of the shortfall relates to timing versus structural pressure on the resale cycle?Why does "Operating cash flow retreat signals ORA timing pressure" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for ARV after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

Arvida Group Limited - Annual Report

FY26 / financial report↗

FY26 Results Announcement (NZX Prescribed Release)

FY26 / results announcement↗

FY26 Results Market Release

FY26 / results release↗

Prior comparable period

2025 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report↗

2025 Climate Related Disclosures Report

FY25 / results release↗

2025 GHG Inventory Report

FY25 / results presentation↗

Interim context

Interim Report

HY26 / financial report↗

Media Release

HY26 / media release↗

Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement↗

Release context

Change of Annual Meeting Timing

HY26 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 81.0% of EBITDA to operating cash flow.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 9.8pp, with a distortion flag in the result.

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Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is 8.16x for this result.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 3.6% for this reporting period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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