Market cap
$1.4b
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
Refinery simplification raised EBITDA to $72.8m and cut net debt, but conversion to a fuels import terminal triggered large non-cash charges.
Comparable chart history for this briefing.
Market context
A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.
The latest close and share count context for the market price.
Market cap
$1.4b
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.
P/E
114.48x
Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.
EPS
0.03
Recent filing-derived earnings per share.
PEG
Not available
Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.
EV/EBITDA
18.02x
Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.
P/FCF
20.19x
Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.
P/B
1.73x
Market value compared with latest reported equity.
Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.
Dividend yield
4.0%
Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.
Total return
Not available
Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.
Key metrics
FY21 vs FY20
Revenue
$231.7m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
EBITDA
$72.8m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net profit after tax
−$552.6m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net cash inflow from operating activities
$34.7m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Declared dividend per share
0.0c
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Profit before tax
−$765.1m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Cash and cash equivalents
$16.1m
-62.9% ↓ vs $43.3m
Total assets
$1.2b
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Analysis ofCHI FY21Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
What changed
NPAT fell to -$552.6m (-178.7%). Headline revenue was effectively flat at $231.7m (-0.9%).
Underneath the impairments, the operating business improved materially: EBITDA rose 44.5% to $72.8m on refinery simplification and balance-sheet optimisation. Operating cash flow grew 9.7% to $34.7m, helped by a -$12.8m working-capital release (Annolyse's historical baseline classifies this as an unprecedented inventory drawdown versus a typical -$1.7m release). Net debt fell to $183.6m from $231.3m, taking net debt / EBITDA to 2.52x (FY20: 4.59x). No final dividend was declared.
What matters
Management has confirmed transition to a fuels import terminal is imminent, with conversion cost estimates being finalised. The -$765.1m PBT and -$552.6m NPAT predominantly reflect non-cash impairment of refining assets being retired, not a deterioration in trading. The implied H2 NPAT of -$547.7m against -$4.9m at HY21 confirms the loss is event-driven and concentrated in the conversion decision.
Operating earnings improved as the refinery was simplified. EBITDA growth of 44.5% on a 0.9% revenue decline reflects simplification benefits and lower operating costs. This matters because the run-down business is generating better cash margins than in FY20, supporting cash flow through the transition window.
Leverage materially de-risked ahead of conversion. Gross borrowings fell 27.3% to $199.7m, and cash conversion of 47.6% (down from 62.7% but within Annolyse's historical normal range of -24.6% to 79.6%) supported a 21% net debt reduction. The lower leverage matters because it provides headroom for terminal conversion capex without immediate refinancing pressure.
Expectations
Management framed FY21 as "a fundamental reset of asset base to provide earnings stability and a focus on dividends" but did not quantify post-conversion earnings or dividend timing. Conversion cost estimates remain pending.
Seasonality is uninformative given the H2 impairment recognition: H1 EBITDA was $41.5m versus an implied H2 of $31.3m. The relevant question for FY22+ is the terminal run-rate after conversion completes, which this release does not support an answer to.
Quality of result
Annolyse's historical baseline shows typical working-capital movements of around -$1.7m, so this release is unprecedented and largely non-repeating as the refinery winds down feedstock.
Strip out that release and underlying operating cash generation is closer to $22m. Pre-lease FCF of just $3.2m after $33.4m capex (14.4% of revenue) confirms a thin underlying cash margin behind the headline. The decision to pay no dividend is consistent with that picture and with the funding need for terminal conversion. Net debt reduction was real, but partly enabled by the inventory unwind; sustained deleveraging depends on terminal economics rather than continued working-capital tailwinds.
Unresolved
This briefing cannot assess the post-conversion terminal economics, the final conversion capex, or the contracted fee structure that will drive the earnings stability management has signalled for the new business model.
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Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
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NZR FY21 Financial Statements
FY21 / financial reportNZR FY21 Results Announcement
FY21 / results announcementNZR FY21 Results Commentary
FY21 / results releaseNZR FY21 Results Investor Presentation
FY21 / results presentation2020 Annual Report
FY20 / financial reportHY2021 Financial Statements
HY21 / financial reportHY2021 Results announcement
HY21 / results announcementHY2021 Results Commentary
HY21 / results releaseRelated insights
Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.
Cash conversion quality
This result converted 47.6% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, -15.1pp versus the prior comparable period.
Earnings quality and statutory distortions
PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 3.2pp, with a distortion flag in the result.
Leverage and balance-sheet risk
Net debt / EBITDA is 2.52x, -2.07x versus the prior comparable period.
Revenue growth context
Revenue growth was -0.9% for this reporting period.
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