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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

$161m loss on North America impairment as EBITDA fell 35%

The headline loss is non-cash but underlying EBITDA fell from $59.6m to $39.0m and free cash flow dropped to $0.1m as capex nearly doubled.

ERD revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $195.2m, versus $194.4m in FY25.

ERD EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • FY25 ERD FY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 30.7%; 3-period range 20% to 29.3%. EBITDA margin: 30.7%, above normal range; 3-period mean 25.0%, range 20.0%-29.3%.
  • FY26 ERD FY: Outside range low ebitda margin. 20%; 3-period range 25.8% to 30.7%. EBITDA margin: 20.0%, below normal range; 3-period mean 28.6%, range 25.8%-30.7%.
EBITDA margin: 20.0%, below normal range; 3-period mean 28.6%, range 25.8%-30.7%.

ERD operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $30.3m, versus $43.2m in FY25.

ERD NPAT trajectory

Statutory profit after tax across covered periods.

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FY26 was $0m, versus $1.4m in FY25.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 28 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$184.4m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

0.00

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent EBITDA is negative.

P/FCF

1,843.56x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

1.07x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
25 May 2026
Published
25 May 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$195.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$0m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$0m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$30.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$308.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofERD FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

NPAT swung to -$161.1m from $1.4m in FY25, driven by a non-cash impairment of North American assets that pushed reported EBIT to -$155.9m

Strip out the impairment and the operating picture is still weaker: EBITDA fell to $39.0m from $59.6m (down 34.6%) on revenue that was broadly flat at $195.2m versus $194.4m (a basis-discontinuity caveat applies to the revenue growth percentage). ARR eased 0.5% to $174.3m, and operating cash flow fell to $30.3m from $43.2m.

Free cash flow to the firm dropped to $0.1m from $16.0m as capex nearly doubled to $25.2m (12.9% of revenue versus 6.9% prior) on the 4G upgrade program; management quotes a normalised FCF of $14.4m. By region, Australia grew from $13.7m to $18.8m, North America fell from $81.2m to $74.4m, and New Zealand eased to $102.0m. Total assets fell to $308.8m from $460.3m, reflecting the write-down.

What matters

North America has been re-priced

The non-cash impairment is the dominant FY26 item and it lands on a segment whose revenue fell from $81.2m to $74.4m and contribution from $17.7m to $15.0m. The impairment changes the carrying value, but the underlying trajectory is the read: this region is now smaller (38.1% of group revenue versus 41.8%) and its growth profile is the open strategic question.

Operating margin has stepped down materially. EBITDA margin fell to 20.0% from 30.7%, sitting below the company's recent historical range of 25.8%–30.7% (mean 28.6%). On essentially flat revenue, this is not a mix story alone — it implies underlying cost growth or hardware/service economics that did not move with the top line. The size of the step matters because it sets the FY27 starting point.

Cash generation has narrowed but capex intent is explained. FCF to the firm fell to $0.1m from $16.0m as capex hit 12.9% of revenue. Management attributes the spike to the 4G upgrade and frames it as temporary, but the supplied excerpts do not state when capex intensity reverts to a normalised level.

Expectations

The release contains no specific FY27 numeric targets

Management language points to "significant improvement being targeted" without quantification. Against the supplied half-year context, H1 FY26 FCF to the firm was $6.2m versus full-year $0.1m, implying second-half cash generation was negative — consistent with capex weighting through the year but a useful checkpoint when H1 FY27 prints.

With no stated target to benchmark against, the read is the gap between the current 20.0% EBITDA margin and the company's recent 25.8%–30.7% historical range. Recovering that range without revenue growth would require explicit cost actions that the release does not detail, so the bridge to "significant improvement" is not yet substantiated.

Quality of result

The headline loss is largely non-cash

The impairment does not affect cash flow, net debt of $16.0m to EBITDA at 0.41x sits within the supplied historical range, and NTA per share at $0.25 (versus $0.31) absorbs the write-down on a still-conservative balance sheet. Operating working-capital movement and debtor days are within recent norms, so cash quality has not been propped up by receivables stretching.

The underlying earnings story is weaker. EBITDA fell 34.6% on flat revenue, so the decline cannot be explained by deferred-revenue or implementation timing alone, and ARR slipping 0.5% indicates recurring revenue quality is not improving. Reported OCF/EBITDA cash conversion sits within the company's recent historical pattern (a basis-discontinuity caveat applies to that ratio), but the absolute FCF outcome of $0.1m depends entirely on whether 4G capex is genuinely one-off. Management calls it temporary; the release does not commit to a duration.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the dollar value of the North America impairment, and what assumptions about volume, pricing, or churn drove it?
When does 4G upgrade capex normalise, and what is the run-rate capex/revenue beyond that program?
Why did ARR decline 0.5%, and what does that imply for FY27 recurring revenue?
What specific cost actions are planned to lift EBITDA margin back toward the 25.8%–30.7% historical range?
Is North America still strategically core after the impairment, or has the capital-allocation tilt now shifted toward ANZ?

This briefing cannot assess the durability of the FY26 EBITDA step-down without segment-level cost disclosure or management quantification of the 4G program duration.

Ask about ERD FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is the dollar value of the North America impairment, and what assumptions about volume, pricing, or churn drove it?Why does "North America has been re-priced" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for ERD after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

EROAD FY26 Annual Report

FY26 / financial report

EROAD FY26 Investor Presentation

FY26 / results presentation

EROAD FY26 Market Release

FY26 / results release

EROAD FY26 Results Announcement

FY26 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

EROAD FY25 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report

EROAD FY25 Investor Presentation

FY25 / results presentation

EROAD FY25 Market Release

FY25 / results release

EROAD FY25 Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

Interim context

EROAD H1 FY26 Interim Report

HY26 / financial report

EROAD H1 FY26 Investor Presentation

HY26 / results presentation

EROAD H1 FY26 Market Release

HY26 / results release

EROAD H1 FY26 Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

Release context

EROAD H1 FY25 Investor Presentation

FY25 / commentary

EROAD FY25 Investor Presentation

HY26 / commentary

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