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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

PBT loss widened 91% as transaction revenue collapsed 61%

A sharp drop in high-volume transaction revenue more than offset 21% subscription growth, driving PBT to NZ$-15.0m and cash to NZ$10.2m.

IKE revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY24 was $21.1m, versus $30.8m in FY23.

IKE EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY24 was -72.2%, versus -6.8% in FY23.

IKE operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY24 was -$4.5m, versus -$2.5m in FY23.

IKE working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY23 IKE: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $2.5m; 3-period range $-2.8m to $2.1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$2.5m, above normal range; 1/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.1m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-2.5m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$2.5m, above normal range; 1/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.1m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-2.5m.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 28 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$216.4m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.04

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent EBITDA is negative.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

8.47x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

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Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
30 May 2024
Published
18 May 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY24 vs FY23

Revenue

$21.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

−$15m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$4.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

−$15.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

−$15m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$10.2m

-43.3% ↓ vs $18m

Total assets

$36.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofIKE FY24Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

ikeGPS's PBT loss widened 91.0% to NZ$-15.0m in FY24, an unprecedented deterioration in Annolyse's historical baseline where PBT growth has ranged between -30.9% and +54.1% across the prior four periods — meaning this outcome sits well outside any recent precedent

The driver was a 61% collapse in transaction revenue (NZ$7.3m from NZ$18.7m), which fell from 60.6% to 34.6% of total revenue, swamping a genuinely positive 21% lift in subscription revenue (NZ$10.7m). Total revenue fell 31.5% to NZ$21.1m.

Operating cash outflow widened to NZ$-4.5m from NZ$-2.5m. Cash on hand declined NZ$7.8m to NZ$10.2m over the year, reflecting ongoing cash consumption without a clear near-term path to operating breakeven. Capex was cut sharply — down 66.7% to NZ$1.7m — which cushioned the pre-lease free cash flow position at NZ$-6.2m, the lower edge of the company's historical range.

What matters

Segment mix is the central issue

The business is structurally dependent on transaction revenue that is tied to engineering project deployment timing. When those projects stall, as occurred in FY24, revenue falls heavily because transactions carry lower gross margins (24% versus 86% for subscriptions) and the cost base does not flex proportionally. The PBT loss widening is therefore not a subscription-business deterioration — it is a volume-throughput problem in the transaction line.

Gross margin improvement masks cost base tension. Gross margin expanded 690 basis points to 60.2% as the mix shifted toward subscriptions, but this is a mechanical benefit of losing the lower-margin transaction volume, not an improvement in underlying unit economics. Operating losses widened because the fixed cost base remained largely intact against a much smaller revenue base.

Debtor days at 92 are 20 days above the historical mean. With receivable days rising from 59 to 92 and inventory days rising from 68.7 to 89.9, working capital cycle pressure is building even though the net operating working capital movement of NZ$-0.3m looks benign. This matters because it signals slower cash conversion from a revenue base that is already declining.

Expectations

No formal forward targets were disclosed

Management commentary indicates multiple contracts have closed that are expected to underpin greater than 50% SaaS revenue growth in FY25, which would, if delivered, substantially restore transaction and subscription volumes. At the HY24 stage, management attributed the transaction shortfall to project delays with long-term customers and anticipated multi-year volumes resuming. The full-year result is consistent with that framing — second-half revenue (NZ$10.6m) was essentially flat against first-half (NZ$10.5m), suggesting no material recovery materialised within FY24.

The FY25 growth claim requires both the contracted SaaS volumes converting to recognised revenue and the transaction pipeline recovering. Neither of these is yet visible in reported numbers, so the FY24 result provides limited direct support for the forward claim.

Quality of result

The result contains a genuine bright spot — subscription revenue growth of 21% at an 86% gross margin is a durable, high-quality earnings stream — but it is not yet large enough to cover the business's cost base

Pre-lease FCF of NZ$-6.2m is at the lower edge of the company's historical range, with cash now at NZ$10.2m. At the FY24 burn rate the runway is finite and clearly visible, making the FY25 revenue recovery thesis load-bearing for financial sustainability.

Capex compression to NZ$1.7m (from NZ$5.1m in FY23) helped FCF but raises the question of whether product investment has been deferred. Total assets declined NZ$7.2m to NZ$36.1m, below the historical mean of NZ$43.8m, reflecting cash consumption and reduced capitalised development.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the specific basis for the >50% SaaS revenue growth claim in FY25 — are the closed contracts structured as committed volumes or are they framework agreements subject to deployment timing?
Why did debtor days rise to 92 days against a contracting revenue base — does this reflect specific collection delays or a change in contract payment terms?
Whether the transaction revenue shortfall reflects customer-side budget deferral, competitive displacement, or project sequencing, and how management distinguishes between these outcomes?
Can the business reach operating cash flow breakeven before the current NZ$10.2m cash position requires additional capital, and on what timeline?
How much of the FY24 capex reduction represents genuine efficiency versus deferred product investment that will need to be reinstated?

This briefing cannot assess whether the contracted FY25 SaaS volumes have committed payment obligations or are contingent on customer project deployment.

Ask about IKE FY24

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is the specific basis for the >50% SaaS revenue growth claim in FY25 — are the closed contracts structured as committed volumes or are they framework agreements subject to deployment timing?Why does "Segment mix is the central issue" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY24?What should I watch next for IKE after FY24?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

1. ikeGPS Results Announcement

FY24 / results announcement

2. ikeGPS FY24 Financial Results and Performance Update

FY24 / results release

3. ikeGPS FY24 Financial Statements

FY24 / financial report

Prior comparable period

ikeGPS FY23 Annual Report

FY23 / financial report

Interim context

1. ikeGPS 1H FY24 Interim Financial Accounts

HY24 / financial report

2. ikeGPS 1H FY24 Results Announcement

HY24 / results release

3. ikeGPS 1H FY24 Results Presentation

HY24 / results presentation

4. ikeGPS 1H FY24 NZX Results Template

HY24 / results announcement

Release context

Date for release of IKE’s quarterly performance update, and conference call timing

FY23 / commentary

IKE Q4 and FY23 Performance Update

FY23 / commentary

1. IKE Q4 and FY24 Performance Update

FY24 / commentary

1. ikeGPS Q3 FY24 Performance Update

FY24 / commentary

Notification of Webinar for ikeGPS Group FY24 Performance Update

FY24 / commentary

ikeGPS - 2023 Annual Meeting Results

HY24 / commentary

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