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ikeGPS Group (IKE) / HY26

Subscription mix shift drives 38.9% PBT improvement on 5.6% revenue growth

Platform subscription revenue grew 35% to NZ$8.8m and now represents 69% of revenue, but transaction revenue fell 32% and cash burn widened, so loss

Technology / Geospatial software

IKE revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $26.5m, versus $12.8m in HY26.

IKE EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY26 was -18.8%, versus -34.6% in HY26.

IKE operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was -$3.4m, versus -$3m in HY26.

IKE working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY23 IKE: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $2.5m; 3-period range $-2.8m to $2.1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$2.5m, above normal range; 1/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.1m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-2.5m.
  • FY23 IKE: Unprecedented high operating working-capital movement. $4.2m; 4-period range $-1.1m to $0.8m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$4.2m, unprecedented high; 1/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$0.8m, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-0.7m.
  • HY26 IKE: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-2.8m; 3-period range $-2.2m to $2.5m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-2.8m, below normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.3m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-2.2m.
  • FY26 IKE: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-1.1m; 4-period range $-0.6m to $4.2m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-1.1m, below normal range; 2/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.5m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-0.4m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-1.1m, below normal range; 2/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.5m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-0.4m.
Release date
28 November 2025
Published
18 May 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY26 vs HY25

Revenue

$12.8m

+5.6% ↑ vs $12.2m

Net profit after tax

−$4.4m

+38.0% ↑ vs −$7.1m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$3m

-18.1% ↓ vs −$2.6m

Operating profit

−$4.4m

+38.0% ↑ vs −$7.2m

Profit before tax

−$4.3m

+39.4% ↑ vs −$7.1m

Cash and cash equivalents

$33.9m

+400.8% ↑ vs $6.8m

Total assets

$51.4m

+76.1% ↑ vs $29.2m

What changed

The 38.9% improvement in PBT — from a NZ$7.1m loss to NZ$4.3m loss — on just 5.6% revenue growth reflects a meaningful shift in revenue composition rather than volume-driven operating leverage

Platform subscription revenue grew 35% to NZ$8.8m and now represents 68.7% of total revenue, up from 53.7% in HY25. At a derived gross margin of 92.9%, subscriptions are the dominant earnings driver, and their share of the mix has risen by 15 percentage points.

Offsetting that, platform transaction revenue fell from NZ$4.0m to NZ$2.7m — a 32% decline — and its derived gross margin compressed from 37% to 17.2%, meaning transactions are now contributing materially less in both volume and quality terms.

Total cash on balance sheet rose to NZ$33.9m from NZ$6.8m, driven by equity-raising activity rather than operating performance, as operating cash outflow widened to NZ$3.0m from NZ$2.6m.

What matters

Transaction revenue deterioration is the key risk to the loss-reduction narrative

The transaction segment contributed NZ$0.46m in gross profit this half versus NZ$1.46m in HY25, a fall of NZ$1.0m. If this reflects structural de-prioritisation of lower-margin transactional work it is value-accretive over time, but the mechanism is unconfirmed by the disclosures available and the magnitude of the margin compression — from 37% to 17.2% — requires explanation.

Operating cash outflow widened despite improved earnings quality. Operating cash flow was negative NZ$3.0m, 18.1% worse than HY25's negative NZ$2.6m, even as PBT improved by NZ$2.8m. Capex nearly tripled to NZ$1.0m (7.5% of revenue versus 3.0% in HY25), predominantly in capitalised development, which means the investment phase is intensifying. Free cash flow reached negative NZ$4.0m, wider than negative NZ$2.9m in HY25. This matters because reported loss improvement has not yet translated into reduced cash consumption.

Inventory build signals upcoming hardware or deployment activity. Inventory rose 120.6% to NZ$2.8m. For a geospatial software company that also sells hardware, this likely precedes deployments, but it ties up working capital and has not been converted into receivables or revenue this period.

Expectations

The company reiterated FY26 guidance of approximately 35% or greater growth in platform subscription revenue and improving EBITDA

The HY26 subscription revenue result of NZ$8.8m (+35% versus HY25) and an exit run rate of approximately NZ$19.4m annualised (+47%) suggest the first half is tracking in line with that guidance on revenue. The FY25 seasonality pattern shows the second half has historically been slightly stronger on revenue, with HY25 representing 48.4% of the FY25 full-year total — so current first-half run rates are consistent with meeting the full-year subscription target.

However, the EBITDA component of guidance is harder to assess. With no EBITDA figure supplied in the current financial statements, and with operating cash outflow widening despite the PBT improvement, the trajectory to EBITDA improvement depends on whether the transaction revenue decline and inventory build are transitional or persistent.

Quality of result

The earnings improvement is primarily structural rather than one-off: the subscription mix shift is a genuine change in business composition that, if sustained, represents durable margin improvement

The subscription segment's 92.9% derived gross margin provides a high-quality earnings base, and the rise to 68.7% of revenue is a meaningful milestone.

However, two factors reduce the quality read. First, FCF of negative NZ$4.0m was meaningfully worse than the prior half's negative NZ$2.9m — the loss reduction is occurring entirely within the income statement while cash consumption grew. Second, capex intensity doubled from 3.0% to 7.5% of revenue, largely in capitalised development; to the extent this spending supports future subscription ARR growth it may prove well-directed, but it is not yet visible in cash generation. The NZ$33.9m cash balance provides ample runway to sustain this investment phase, but the balance sheet strength is the result of capital-raising, not operating self-sufficiency.

Unresolved

Open questions

What drove the 32% decline in transaction revenue and the compression of transaction gross margin from 37% to 17.2% — is this a deliberate mix shift away from lower-quality transactional work, a timing effect, or customer loss?
How does management reconcile the widening operating cash outflow with the reiterated EBITDA improvement guidance for FY26, given that no EBITDA metric is provided in the financial statements?
What does the NZ$2.8m inventory build represent in terms of product type and anticipated deployment timing?
Will the exit run rate of NZ$19.4m in subscription revenue convert to recognised revenue at a rate consistent with reaching the full-year subscription target, given typical recognition timing for this business model?
Is the tripling of capitalised development spend this half a one-period step-up or the beginning of a higher sustained investment rate?

This briefing cannot assess the sustainability of the transaction revenue decline, the underlying EBITDA trajectory, or the conversion rate between subscription ARR and recognised revenue without additional segment disclosure and management commentary on those points.

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What drove the 32% decline in transaction revenue and the compression of transaction gross margin from 37% to 17.2% — is this a deliberate mix shift away from lower-quality transactional work, a timing effect, or customer loss?Why does "Transaction revenue deterioration is the key risk to the loss-reduction narrative" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY26?What should I watch next for IKE after HY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

ikeGPS Group 1H FY26 Financial Results

HY26 / results release↗

ikeGPS Group 1H FY26 NZX Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement↗

ikeGPS Group Limited 1H FY26 Interim Financial Statements

HY26 / financial report↗

Prior comparable period

1. ikeGPS 1H FY25 Results Announcement Presentation.

HY25 / results presentation↗

2. ikeGPS 1H FY25 Interim Financial Statements

HY25 / financial report↗

3. ikeGPS 1H FY25 NZX Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement↗

3. ikeGPS 1H FY25 NZX Results Announcement

HY25 / results release↗

Full-year context

ikeGPS Group Limited FY2025 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report↗

Release context

1. Date for release of IKE’s quarterly performance update, and conference call timing

FY25 / commentary↗

1. ikeGPS Q3 FY25 Performance Update

FY25 / commentary↗

251501 Timing for IKE Q3FY25 performance update and conference call notice

FY25 / commentary↗

1. 2024 ikeGPS - Chair Address

HY25 / commentary↗

2. IKE 1H FY25 Performance Update

HY25 / commentary↗

2025 ikeGPS - Annual Meeting Presentation

HY26 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was -31.1%, +73.8pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Working-capital pressure

Inventory days were 39 days, +21 days versus the prior comparable period.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 0.3pp.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 5.6% for this reporting period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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