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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Portfolio loss drives $17.3m net loss as NTA falls to $0.80

A $17.3m net loss and an NTA of $0.80 reflect portfolio returns that trailed the benchmark by 39 percentage points, not weaker income.

Investment Companies / Listed investment company

NTA/NAV per share

Net tangible asset or net asset value per share, shown in per-share cents for chart readability.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 128c; 5-period range 80c to 103c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, unprecedented high; 5-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
  • HY22 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 126c; 4-period range 79.52c to 102.41c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
  • HY23 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 80c; 4-period range 93.87c to 125.56c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, below normal range; 4-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
  • FY26 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 80c; 5-period range 89c to 128c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, below normal range; 5-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
NTA/NAV per share: n/m, below normal range; 5-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.

Investment income

Recurring investment-income or revenue-return proxy, excluding fair-value movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.6m; 5-period range $0.7m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$0.6m, below normal range; 5-period mean NZ$1.0m, range NZ$0.7m-NZ$1.2m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.2m; 4-period range $0.3m to $0.9m. Investment income: NZ$0.2m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.5m, range NZ$0.3m-NZ$0.9m.
  • HY25 MLN: Unprecedented high investment income. $0.9m; 4-period range $0.2m to $0.5m. Investment income: NZ$0.9m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$0.3m, range NZ$0.2m-NZ$0.5m.
  • FY25 MLN: Outside range high investment income. $1.2m; 5-period range $0.6m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$1.2m, above normal range; 5-period mean NZ$0.9m, range NZ$0.6m-NZ$1.2m.
Investment income: NZ$1.2m, above normal range; 5-period mean NZ$0.9m, range NZ$0.6m-NZ$1.2m.

Investment total return

Total income or return including fair-value or capital movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $78.1m; 4-period range $-58.5m to $42.9m. Investment total return: NZ$78.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.5m, range NZ$-58.5m-NZ$42.9m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-58.5m; 4-period range $5.9m to $78.1m. Investment total return: NZ$-58.5m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$38.6m, range NZ$5.9m-NZ$78.1m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-9.4m; 4-period range $6.3m to $12.4m. Investment total return: NZ$-9.4m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$9.8m, range NZ$6.3m-NZ$12.4m.
  • HY24 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $12.4m; 4-period range $-9.4m to $11.3m. Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.
Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.

Net assets attributable

Net asset base attributable to shareholders or unitholders.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high net assets attributable. $244.4m; 4-period range $178.1m to $222.9m. Net assets attributable: NZ$244.4m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$201.5m, range NZ$178.1m-NZ$222.9m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range high net assets attributable. $242.1m; 4-period range $161.9m to $224.7m. Net assets attributable: NZ$242.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$200.4m, range NZ$161.9m-NZ$224.7m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $178.1m; 4-period range $192.8m to $244.4m. Net assets attributable: NZ$178.1m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$218.0m, range NZ$192.8m-NZ$244.4m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $161.9m; 4-period range $201.6m to $242.1m. Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.
Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 24 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$175.2m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

9.7%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Premium / discount

-5.0%

i

For investment companies, price compared with reported NTA.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.08

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not useful for this reporting shape.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

Release date
25 August 2026
Published
25 August 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Net profit after tax

−$17.3m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

— vs $7.2m

Full-year dividend per share

7.3c

— vs —

Investment income

−$12.7m

n/m ↓ vs $0m

Total assets

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofMLN FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Marlin swung from a $0.3m net profit in FY25 to a $17.3m net loss in FY26, a reversal Annolyse's historical baseline classifies as unprecedented against the company's five-period pattern

The release discloses a $13.9m net loss on investments alongside dividend, interest and other investment income of $1.2m, near the upper edge of its historical range (five-period mean $0.9m); the release does not fully reconcile how these figures combine into the $17.3m net loss, so the precise bridge is not established here.

NTA per share fell to $0.80 from $0.95, a 15.8% decline that sits below the company's historical range of $0.89x-$1.28x (mean $1.02x). Portfolio total return was -8.5% against a benchmark return of 30.5%, a 39 percentage-point shortfall. The half-year result of $6.5m profit implies a second-half swing to roughly a $23.8m loss.

What matters

Benchmark underperformance is the central issue

A -8.5% portfolio return against a 30.5% benchmark return is a 39 percentage-point gap, which means the fund gave back capital in a period when the index it is measured against rose strongly. For a listed investment company, this is the most direct read on manager performance and matters more than any single-year loss figure in isolation.

NTA per share has moved outside its historical range. At $0.80 versus a five-period mean of $1.02x, the capital base per share has eroded beyond what recent history would suggest is typical, which means future income and distributions are now being generated from a smaller asset base, independent of any recovery in markets.

Investment income was reported near its historical high even as the net result deteriorated. The $1.2m income line sitting near the top of its historical band shows dividend and interest receipts were not depressed this period. However, the release does not explain how this income figure and the $13.9m investment loss combine to produce the $17.3m net loss, so the split between recurring income and the disclosed investment loss should be treated as a description of reported lines rather than a fully reconciled explanation of the result.

Expectations

No stated return, income or NTA targets are disclosed in this filing, so the result cannot be judged against a management benchmark beyond the fund's own index

The only shape context available is the half-year split: a $6.5m first-half profit gave way to an implied roughly $23.8m second-half loss, indicating the loss was concentrated late in the year rather than spread evenly.

Without a stated target, the release supports a read on realised portfolio behaviour during the period covered, but it does not establish whether the second-half weakness reflects a specific market event or a broader deterioration in stock selection, which limits how much can be inferred about the year ahead.

Quality of result

The relationship between the $13.9m disclosed investment loss, the $1.2m investment income figure, and the $17.3m net loss is not reconciled in the supplied release, so the cause of the gap between these lines and the reported bottom line remains unresolved rather than attributable to a specific non-cash or valuation driver

What can be said is that the $1.2m income line sits near its historical high, which at minimum indicates dividend and interest receipts were not the source of weakness this period.

The relationship between profit before tax and net profit after tax is also not comparable this period; the current effective tax rate computes near 0.0% against 86.7% in the prior year, but this comparison sits on a denominator affected by a basis discontinuity, so it should not be read as a genuine easing or hardening of tax treatment. The current-year profit-before-tax to net-profit bridge is better treated as not analytically meaningful this period.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did the portfolio trail its benchmark by 39 percentage points, and does management attribute this to stock selection, sector weighting, or timing?
What drove the second-half swing from a first-half profit to an implied loss of roughly $23.8m?
Is the $0.80 NTA per share expected to recover as markets normalise, or does management see a structural change in the portfolio's earning capacity?
How does the board intend to assess distribution sustainability given the gap between investment income and the reported net loss?
Can management provide a reconciliation showing how the disclosed $13.9m investment loss and $1.2m investment income combine to produce the $17.3m net loss?

This briefing cannot assess dividend coverage, expense ratio trends, or balance-sheet leverage for the period, as the underlying cash flow, expense and net-debt figures were not available in the supplied data.

Ask about MLN FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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Why did the portfolio trail its benchmark by 39 percentage points, and does management attribute this to stock selection, sector weighting, or timing?Why does "Benchmark underperformance is the central issue" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for MLN after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

MLN - Commentary for the year ended 30 June 2026

FY26 / results release

MLN - Financial statements for the year ended 30 June 2026

FY26 / financial report

MLN - Preliminary year end announcement - 30 June 2026

FY26 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

Marlin Global 2025 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report

Interim context

MLN - Commentary for interim period to 31 December 2025

HY26 / results release

MLN - Financial statements for the interim period 31 Dec 2025 incl review report

HY26 / financial report

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement - 31 December 2025

HY26 / results announcement

Release context

Marlin ASM Presentation 7 November 2025

HY26 / commentary

Related insights

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