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Synlait Milk (SML) / FY23

Cash conversion fell to 43% and net debt/EBITDA jumped to 4.6x

Continuing operations swung to a $14.1m loss as a Dairyworks discontinued-operation gain partly cushioned reported NPAT.

Primary Industries / Dairy processing

SML revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY23 was $769.8m, versus $790.6m in HY22.

SML EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY22 SML HY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 8.7%; 5-period range -4.5% to 7.2%. EBITDA margin: 8.7%, above normal range; 5-period mean 3.9%, range -4.5%-7.2%.
EBITDA margin: 8.7%, above normal range; 5-period mean 3.9%, range -4.5%-7.2%.

SML operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY23 was -$124.7m, versus $117.3m in HY22.

SML working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY23 SML: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $132.2m; 5-period range $-151.5m to $76.6m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$132.2m, above normal range; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$46.4m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-111.1m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$132.2m, above normal range; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$46.4m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-111.1m.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 8 June 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$259.4m

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End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EPS

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

P/B

0.36x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

0.0%

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Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

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Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
25 September 2023
Published
23 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY23 vs FY22

Revenue

$1.3b

-20.5% ↓ vs $1.7b

EBITDA

$90.7m

-29.7% ↓ vs $129.1m

Net profit after tax

−$4.3m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$39m

-83.2% ↓ vs $232.9m

Operating profit

$14.6m

-76.7% ↓ vs $62.6m

Profit before tax

−$20.3m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Cash and cash equivalents

$9.3m

-35.9% ↓ vs $14.5m

Total assets

$1.7b

+7.0% ↑ vs $1.6b

What changed

Cash conversion deteriorated sharply: operating cash flow fell to $39.0m from $232.9m, taking OCF/EBITDA to 43.0% from 180.3%

With capex stepping up to $65.1m, free cash flow pre-lease swung to -$26.1m from +$179.1m. Funding that gap pushed gross borrowings to $422.7m (+19.3%) and net debt to $413.4m, lifting net debt/EBITDA to 4.6x from 2.6x.

Revenue fell 20.5% to $1.3b and EBITDA fell 29.7% to $90.7m. Continuing operations posted a $14.1m loss after tax against a $38.5m profit a year earlier; reported NPAT of -$4.3m was helped by a $9.9m after-tax gain from Dairyworks, now classified as a discontinued operation. PBT growth of -148.7% is the cleaner read on the underlying deterioration.

What matters

Leverage has moved into pressure territory

Net debt/EBITDA of 4.6x is roughly double the prior 2.6x and sits well above what is typically considered comfortable for this business. Management has signalled an intent to "address the balance sheet" through the intended divestment process; the leverage ratio explains why that work is now a stated priority rather than optional.

Inventory is the working-capital pinch. Inventory days rose to 69.1 from 51.2 (+17.9 days), with inventories up $17.3m to $250.3m despite a 20.5% revenue decline. That is the proximate driver of the cash-conversion collapse and means reported EBITDA is no longer translating into deployable cash; it also creates risk of margin pressure if any of that inventory needs to be cleared.

The discontinued-operation gain is doing real work in the headline. Continuing operations lost $14.1m after tax; the $9.9m Dairyworks contribution narrows the reported NPAT loss to $4.3m. Investors comparing -$4.3m to last year's $38.5m without that adjustment understate how much continuing-business profitability has fallen, and Dairyworks is earmarked for divestment so the contribution is not repeatable.

Expectations

No forward EBITDA, revenue or leverage targets are supplied in this release, so this result cannot be benchmarked against management guidance

The strategy commentary points to a "more focused Synlait" with intended divestments to repair the balance sheet, but no quantified target, timing or sale-proceeds range is given.

First-half context shows the second half did most of the lifting on cash: HY23 operating cash flow was -$124.7m, implying roughly $163.7m generated in H2. That makes the FY23 cash result a partial recovery rather than a clean trend, and means H2 strength is already in the numbers — not an additional tailwind for FY24.

Quality of result

Earnings quality has weakened on multiple axes

EBITDA of $90.7m converted to only $39.0m of operating cash, a 43.0% conversion that is materially below the prior 180.3% and below a level consistent with the reported earnings being self-funding. The gap is concentrated in inventory build, which is a balance-sheet outcome rather than a timing item that automatically reverses.

The reported NPAT line also flatters the underlying picture. Stripping out the $9.9m Dairyworks discontinued-operation gain leaves a continuing-operations after-tax loss of $14.1m. The current effective tax rate of 30.2% on continuing operations sits against -7.4% in the prior year, so tax is no longer flattering the result either — it is now the cleaner PBT figure (-$20.3m vs +$41.6m) that best describes the operating swing. ROE moved to -0.5% from +5.1%, consistent with a business that is not currently earning its cost of capital.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the expected timing and indicative proceeds range for the Dairyworks divestment, and how far does management expect that to reduce net debt/EBITDA from 4.6x?
Why did inventory build by $17.3m on a 20.5% revenue decline, and is any of that stock at risk of write-down or margin-compressed clearance in FY24?
How does management expect cash conversion to normalise from 43.0% given current product mix and working-capital position?
What covenant headroom exists on the $422.7m of gross borrowings at the current leverage level, and are any waivers, refinancings or facility resets contemplated?
Why did capex rise to $65.1m (4.9% of revenue) while the business was loss-making at the continuing-operations level, and what portion is discretionary in FY24?

This briefing cannot assess customer-specific volume or contract dynamics behind the revenue decline, as no concentration or customer-mix disclosure is provided in the supplied material.

Chat

Ask about SML FY23

Ask follow-up questions about Synlait Milk's FY23 result.

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Ask about SML FY23

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Sign in to chat

Sign in to ask questions about Synlait Milk's FY23 result.

What is the expected timing and indicative proceeds range for the Dairyworks divestment, and how far does management expect that to reduce net debt/EBITDA from 4.6x?Why does "Leverage has moved into pressure territory" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY23?What should I watch next for SML after FY23?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

NZX Results Template

FY23 / results announcement↗

Synlait Full Year 2023 Annual Report

FY23 / financial report↗

Synlait Full Year 2023 Investor Presentation

FY23 / results presentation↗

Synlait Full Year 2023 Media Release

FY23 / media release↗

Prior comparable period

Results Template

FY22 / results announcement↗

Synlait Full Year 2022 Annual Report

FY22 / financial report↗

Synlait Full Year 2022 Media Release

FY22 / media release↗

Interim context

NZX Results Template

HY23 / results announcement↗

Synlait H1 23 Announcement

HY23 / results release↗

Synlait H1 23 Financial Statements

HY23 / financial report↗

Release context

Announcement: Market update: bank refinancing complete, guidance confirmation & a2MC NPMSA response

FY23 / commentary↗

Announcement: Synlait FY23 guidance update

FY23 / commentary↗

Annual Meeting Director Nominations

FY23 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 43.0% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, -137.3pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is 4.56x, +1.93x versus the prior comparable period.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

This result includes a statutory earnings-quality distortion flag.

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Working-capital pressure

Inventory days were 69 days, +18 days versus the prior comparable period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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