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Synlait Milk (SML) / HY24

Net debt/EBITDA hit 28.1x as $514m of debt falls due within 12 months

EBITDA margin collapsed to an unprecedented 3.0% on a 15.2% revenue decline, leaving the balance sheet under acute refinancing pressure.

Primary Industries / Dairy processing

SML revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $777.6m, versus $916.8m in HY25.

SML EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY22 SML: Outside range high ebitda margin. 8.7%; 5-period range -4.5% to 7.2%. EBITDA margin: 8.7%, above normal range; 5-period mean 3.9%, range -4.5%-7.2%.
  • HY26 SML: Unprecedented low ebitda margin. -4.5%; 5-period range 3% to 8.7%. EBITDA margin: -4.5%, unprecedented low; 5-period mean 6.5%, range 3.0%-8.7%.
EBITDA margin: -4.5%, unprecedented low; 5-period mean 6.5%, range 3.0%-8.7%.

SML operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was -$183.4m, versus -$12m in HY25.

SML working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY23 SML: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $132.2m; 5-period range $-151.5m to $76.6m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$132.2m, above normal range; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$46.4m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-111.1m.
  • HY24 SML: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-151.5m; 5-period range $-70.8m to $132.2m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-151.5m, unprecedented low; 4/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$67.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-70.8m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-151.5m, unprecedented low; 4/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$67.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-70.8m.
Release date
2 April 2024
Published
23 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY24 vs HY23

Revenue

$652.9m

-15.2% ↓ vs $769.8m

EBITDA

$19.9m

— vs —

Net profit after tax

−$96.2m

n/m ↓ vs $4.8m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$98.1m

+21.3% ↑ vs −$124.7m

Operating profit

−$70.4m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Profit before tax

−$94.9m

n/m ↓ vs $6.1m

Cash and cash equivalents

$30.5m

+145.5% ↑ vs $12.4m

Total assets

$1.7b

-9.8% ↓ vs $1.9b

What changed

Leverage moved to an unprecedented level versus the supplied historical baseline

Net debt / EBITDA reached 28.1x against a four-period mean of 8.9x and prior range of 5.7x–13.6x, with $514.0m of the $589.8m gross borrowings classified as repayable within 12 months. This sits alongside an operating collapse: EBITDA margin of 3.0% is below the prior range of 4.5%–8.7%, also classified as unprecedented.

Revenue fell 15.2% to $652.9m, the weakest reading in the supplied five-period window (range -15.2% to +40.4%). PBT swung from $6.1m to -$94.9m (n/m) and NPAT from $4.8m to -$96.2m (n/m), of which a disclosed -$26.2m relates to discontinued operations; continuing-operations NPAT was -$70.0m. Total equity contracted 14.2% to $698.9m.

What matters

Refinancing pressure dominates the read

With $514.0m current and total gross borrowings up 11.4% to $589.8m, the company is operating under a balance-sheet review and an explicit deleveraging plan, including a stated intent to consider divestments. Lenders remain supportive per disclosure, but the gap between current EBITDA run-rate and current debt service load is what makes leverage at 28.1x economically meaningful rather than just a denominator effect.

Operating economics, not one-offs, are the bigger problem. Even excluding the -$26.2m discontinued-operations loss, continuing-operations NPAT was still -$70.0m. The Ingredients segment — 36.9% of revenue — generated only $1.4m of result on $293.0m of sales (a derived 0.5% margin), so segment mix is doing little to support consolidated profitability while Advanced Nutrition (14.3% derived margin) and Consumer (10.0%) absorb fixed costs.

Tax distortion widens the headline gap but does not change the read. The PBT-to-NPAT growth gap of 444.1pp reflects an effective tax rate of 26.3% (above the historical range of -35.9% to 24.7%) plus the discontinued-operations loss; PBT growth of n/m is the cleaner operating measure and is itself classified as unprecedented low.

Expectations

No forward financial targets were supplied

The historical shape data shows HY23 was 58.3% of FY23 revenue and HY23 NPAT was -112.1% of FY23 NPAT, so a like-for-like seasonality read for the current half is unreliable. Annualised current revenue of $1.3b would sit roughly in line with FY23's $1.3b of continuing-operations revenue, but that assumes no further demand attrition.

What the release does support is direction, not magnitude: a strategy refresh, a refreshed executive team, narrowed balance-sheet options, and a multi-month strategic review whose outcome is explicitly uncertain. The gap matters because the timing of any divestment or recapitalisation is the binding variable on the 12-month debt classification.

Quality of result

Reported operating cash flow of -$98.1m improved from -$124.7m, but the underlying drivers reduce confidence in the result

OCF / EBITDA of -493.1% sits at the lower edge of the supplied four-period range. Inventories fell 32.4% to $316.3m, releasing roughly $151.5m of operating working capital — that release is what narrowed the cash outflow. Inventory days at 88.2 are within the historical range of 68.9–123.7 days, so the working-capital position has normalised rather than gone abnormally tight, which limits any further inventory-driven cash benefit in the second half. Pre-lease free cash flow of -$114.8m is within the supplied historical range (-$195.0m to +$71.2m).

Capex was cut 39.2% to $16.7m (2.6% of revenue versus 3.6% prior). FCF / NPAT of 119.3% is mathematically a function of two negatives and should not be read as cash strength. On balance, the cash improvement is balance-sheet-assisted rather than operational, which matters because it cannot be repeated at the same scale next half.

Unresolved

Open questions

How will the $514.0m of current debt be refinanced or repaid, and on what indicative timeline?
What are the candidate divestments inside the strategic review, and what proceeds range would satisfy lenders?
Why did Ingredients' derived segment margin compress to roughly 0.5%, and is this primarily milk-price driven or volume-driven?
What discontinued operation produced the -$26.2m after-tax loss, and is further exit cost expected?
Can EBITDA margin recover toward the 4.5%–8.7% historical range without the inventory tailwind that flattered first-half cash?

This briefing cannot assess covenant headroom, the probability of a successful divestment, or any post-balance-date refinancing developments, because those are not contained in the supplied disclosures.

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Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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Sign in to ask questions about Synlait Milk's HY24 result.

How will the $514.0m of current debt be refinanced or repaid, and on what indicative timeline?Why does "Refinancing pressure dominates the read" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY24?What should I watch next for SML after HY24?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

NZX Results Template

HY24 / results announcement↗

Synlait Half Year 2024 Announcement

HY24 / results release↗

Synlait Half Year 2024 Financial Statements

HY24 / financial report↗

Synlait Half Year 2024 Investor Presentation

HY24 / results presentation↗

Prior comparable period

NZX Results Template

HY23 / results announcement↗

Synlait H1 23 Announcement

HY23 / results release↗

Synlait H1 23 Financial Statements

HY23 / financial report↗

Full-year context

NZX Results Template

FY23 / results announcement↗

Synlait Full Year 2023 Annual Report

FY23 / financial report↗

Synlait Full Year 2023 Media Release

FY23 / media release↗

Release context

Market Update

HY24 / commentary↗

Synlait Annual Meeting 2023 Poll Results

HY24 / commentary↗

Synlait HY24 results date and conference call details

HY24 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is 28.11x for this result.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

This result includes a statutory earnings-quality distortion flag.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was -15.2% for this reporting period.

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Working-capital pressure

Inventory days were 88 days, -22 days versus the prior comparable period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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