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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Vista Group's 24% EBITDA growth did not convert into cash

EBITDA rose 24% and margin hit 14.4%, but free cash flow turned negative and net debt/EBITDA rose to 0.47x.

Technology / Media software

VGL revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY25 was $164.3m, versus $87.5m in FY20.

VGL EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY23 VGL HY: Unprecedented low ebitda margin. 3.6%; 4-period range 10.3% to 14.4%. EBITDA margin: 3.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 13.0%, range 10.3%-14.4%.
  • HY26 VGL HY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 14.4%; 4-period range 3.6% to 14.3%. EBITDA margin: 14.4%, above normal range; 4-period mean 10.3%, range 3.6%-14.3%.
EBITDA margin: 14.4%, above normal range; 4-period mean 10.3%, range 3.6%-14.3%.

VGL operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY25 was $27.8m, versus $4.1m in FY20.

VGL working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY26 was $14.2m, versus $15.8m in FY25.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 21 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$658m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

346.34x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

21.69x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

4.4x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
3 August 2026
Published
19 August 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY26 vs HY25

Revenue

$86.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$12.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

−$1.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$9.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

−$2.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$43.9m

+100.5% ↑ vs $21.9m

Total assets

$278m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofVGL HY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

EBITDA grew 24% to $12.4m on revenue growth of 12.1% to $86.3m, lifting the EBITDA margin to 14.4%, above the company's recent historical average of 10.3%

That headline strength did not carry through to cash: operating cash flow fell 34.8% to $9.2m from $14.1m, and free cash flow swung to -$6.8m from +$1.0m a year earlier, as contract assets nearly doubled to $21.7m (+100.9%) and net working capital increased by $14.2m.

Leverage moved from a net cash position (net debt/EBITDA of -0.31x) to net debt of 0.47x, above the recent historical range (mean -1.43x), with gross borrowings rising to $49.7m from $18.8m.

Profit before tax moved to -$2.1m (61.5%) and net profit after tax was -$1.5m, with the effective tax rate at 28.6% versus 7.7%. This PBT/NPAT and tax-rate comparison carries a basis discontinuity, so the reported movement should not be read as a clean like-for-like trend against the prior comparable period.

What matters

Capital raise adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$30m capital raised, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence

Cash conversion (OCF/EBITDA) fell to 74.2% from 141.0%, but 74.2% still sits within the company's normal historical range (mean 111.6%, 15.6%-248%), meaning the prior half's 141% was itself an unusually strong comparator rather than this half being an outright deterioration. What has changed is that growth capex (up 40% to $12.6m, now 14.6% of revenue) and rising contract assets are consuming cash that used to be generated internally, which means the funding of growth is now leaning more on the balance sheet.

PBT moved 61.5% while NPAT was little changed, apparently driven by the tax-rate swing from 7.7% to 28.6%. However, this PBT/NPAT/tax-rate comparison is subject to a basis discontinuity, so it is not analytically comparable on a clean same-basis footing, and the flat NPAT print should not be treated as confirming that underlying operating performance was stable this half.

Net debt/EBITDA moved to 0.47x from a net cash position, above the historical range, funded by higher gross borrowings, while total assets reached an unprecedented $278.0m largely reflecting the resulting cash build. This matters because balance-sheet strength this half is partly a function of increased borrowing capacity rather than retained cash generation.

Expectations

Management raised FY26 revenue guidance to $179m-184m from $176m-182m, citing market-share gains and favourable foreign exchange

The implied second-half revenue of $87.3m is broadly consistent with the company's normal second-half weighting, since the first half typically contributes under half of full-year revenue.

No stated target covers cash conversion, leverage or capex intensity, so the guidance upgrade addresses top-line trajectory only. It does not resolve whether the working-capital build and elevated capex will ease in the second half or continue to pressure free cash flow.

Quality of result

Capital raise adds cash-flow context, with NZ$16.6m capital raised, but the filing does not separately reconcile the transaction to the financial movement

Much of the EBITDA growth looks genuine: the Cinema segment, now 80.8% of revenue, improved its result to $20.5m with margin up to 29% from 28%, and revenue growth of 12.1% sits within the company's normal range. But the cash and balance-sheet evidence suggests the result is partly timing- and balance-sheet-assisted. Rising contract assets and trade debtors, combined with a 40% jump in capex, mean this half's growth consumed cash rather than generating it, and the improved cash balance was achieved alongside a large increase in borrowings rather than through operating surplus. Separately, the PBT/NPAT and tax-rate figures carry a basis discontinuity, so they should not be used as clean evidence of an improving or deteriorating underlying earnings trend.

  • FCF bridge: EBITDA $12.4m less higher capex ($12.6m) and working-capital absorption produced free cash flow of -$6.8m, versus +$1.0m a year earlier.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is driving the near-doubling of contract assets to $21.7m, and when is that expected to convert to cash?
What changed in the reporting or tax basis behind the effective tax rate of 28.6% versus 7.7%, and is the new level expected to persist through FY26?
Will capex intensity, now 14.6% of revenue, continue rising as cloud migration progresses, and what is the expected payback period?
How does management view the net debt/EBITDA move to 0.47x, and what internal leverage tolerance applies going forward?
Does the raised revenue guidance of $179m-184m assume any improvement in cash conversion in the second half?

This briefing cannot assess whether the working-capital build reflects timing around large client onboarding or a more structural change in payment terms, since no further breakdown was disclosed.

Ask about VGL HY26

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What is driving the near-doubling of contract assets to $21.7m, and when is that expected to convert to cash?Why does "Capital raise adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$30m capital raised, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY26?What should I watch next for VGL after HY26?

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Sources

Current period

2026 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

2026 Half Year Result Investor Presentation

HY26 / results presentation

2026 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY26 / results release

2026 Interim Report

HY26 / financial report

Prior comparable period

2025 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement

2025 Half Year Result Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation

2025 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY25 / results release

2025 Interim Report

HY25 / financial report

Full-year context

2025 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report

2025 Full Year NZX Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

2025 Full Year Result Investor Presentation

FY25 / results presentation

2025 Full Year Result Media Announcement

FY25 / results release

Release context

FY2025 Result Presentation Recording & Transcript

FY25 / commentary

2025 Half Year Result Presentation Recording & Transcript

HY25 / commentary

CG 46th Annual Growth Conference - Investor Presentation

HY26 / commentary

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