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ArborGen Holdings (ARB) / FY25

Adjusted EBITDA of $11.2m masked a $21.5m statutory loss

Operating cash flow fell 76.9% to $2.7m and free cash flow swung NZ$10.2m to -$5.1m, below the historical NZ$0.9m–$5.1m range.

Primary Industries / Forestry genetics

ARB revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $68.2m, versus $14.2m in HY26.

ARB Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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  • FY22 ARB: Outside range high ebitda margin. 21.2%; 3-period range 16.8% to 18.4%. EBITDA margin: 21.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean 17.6%, range 16.8%-18.4%.
  • FY26 ARB: Outside range low ebitda margin. 16.8%; 3-period range 17.7% to 21.2%. EBITDA margin: 16.8%, below normal range; 3-period mean 19.1%, range 17.7%-21.2%.
EBITDA margin: 16.8%, below normal range; 3-period mean 19.1%, range 17.7%-21.2%.

ARB operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $3.7m, versus -$5.4m in HY26.

ARB working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY22 ARB: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-3.1m; 3-period range $1.5m to $5m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-3.1m, below normal range; 3/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$2.9m, and none had a working-capital release.
  • FY22 ARB: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $25.6m; 4-period range $-11.3m to $19.3m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$25.6m, above normal range; 3/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$10.4m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-11.3m.
  • FY23 ARB: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-11.3m; 4-period range $5.6m to $25.6m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-11.3m, unprecedented low; 4/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$14.2m, and none had a working-capital release.
  • HY26 ARB: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $5m; 3-period range $-3.1m to $2.3m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$5.0m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-3.1m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$5.0m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-3.1m.
Release date
30 May 2025
Published
23 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY25 vs FY24

Revenue

$63.2m

-6.6% ↓ vs $67.7m

EBITDA

$11.2m

— vs —

Net profit after tax

−$21.5m

n/m ↓ vs −$0.2m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$2.7m

-76.9% ↓ vs $11.7m

Operating profit

−$20.8m

n/m ↓ vs −$0.2m

Profit before tax

−$22.5m

n/m ↓ vs −$1.6m

Cash and cash equivalents

$3.5m

-37.5% ↓ vs $5.6m

Total assets

$175.5m

-11.0% ↓ vs $197.3m

What changed

The headline picture is a wide gap between management's preferred profit measure and the statutory result

Adjusted US GAAP EBITDA was a positive NZ$11.2m, yet loss before tax widened from NZ$1.6m to NZ$22.5m and net loss after tax widened from NZ$0.2m to NZ$21.5m. The non-GAAP definition expressly excludes restructure costs, impairments, asset write-downs and acquisition transaction costs, which is consistent with the size of the gap.

Revenue fell 6.6% to NZ$63.2m, with US South revenue down 9% and Brazil up 11% in local currency (41% of group revenue). Seedling unit volumes fell 11% to 328 million.

Operating cash flow dropped 76.9% to NZ$2.7m, capex rose 18.2% to NZ$7.8m, and pre-lease free cash flow swung from +NZ$5.1m to -NZ$5.1m. Gross borrowings rose to NZ$24.4m and total equity fell 16.2% to NZ$124.6m.

What matters

The reported loss sits below an adjusted EBITDA line that excludes the very items driving it

Adjusted EBITDA of NZ$11.2m, by ArborGen's own footnote, strips out restructure costs, impairments, write-downs and acquisition costs. With PBT at -NZ$22.5m and an acquisition flagged in the period, the read is that material below-EBITDA charges, not core trading, generated most of the statutory loss. The PBT swing of n/m sits below Annolyse's historical baseline range, and the -35.6% PBT margin is well below the -6.3% to 1.6% historical range.

Cash conversion deteriorated sharply and is now economically weak. OCF/EBITDA of 24.1% on adjusted EBITDA of NZ$11.2m, combined with capex of 12.3% of revenue, produced -NZ$5.1m pre-lease FCF against a historical mean of +NZ$3.0m. Inventories rose NZ$3.3m to NZ$38.4m on falling unit volumes, absorbing cash and raising questions about saleable mix.

Leverage weakened on a shrinking equity base. Net debt rose from NZ$14.4m to NZ$20.9m (1.9x adjusted EBITDA), while equity fell NZ$24.1m. ROE moved from -0.1% to -17.3%, also below the historical baseline range.

Expectations

No specific revenue or earnings target was disclosed in the release excerpts, though management states the result was "in line with guidance" and flags a "strong Q4"

The half-year shape supports that: HY25 contributed only 20.9% of full-year revenue and EBITDA at the half was -NZ$0.5m, so essentially all of the NZ$11.2m adjusted EBITDA was earned in H2. H2 operating cash flow was only NZ$0.6m, however, so the second-half profit recovery did not convert to cash.

The release says US headwinds "persist" and Brazil continues to grow. With no quantified forward target supplied, the result supports a thesis of regional divergence rather than a clean pan-group recovery, and any read on FY26 depends on whether the below-EBITDA charges recur.

Quality of result

Quality is low on two dimensions

First, the headline EBITDA is non-GAAP and excludes the items that explain the NZ$33.7m gap to PBT; statutory profitability remains deeply negative for a second consecutive year. Second, even on management's preferred measure, only NZ$2.7m of NZ$11.2m adjusted EBITDA reached operating cash flow, and after NZ$7.8m of capex the group consumed NZ$5.1m of pre-lease cash. Pre-lease FCF of -NZ$5.1m matches the lower edge of Annolyse's historical baseline (mean +NZ$3.0m, range NZ$0.9m–NZ$5.1m).

Working capital absorbed cash: inventories rose NZ$3.3m on falling units, and operating working capital grew by NZ$6.2m. The 4.4% effective tax rate (versus 87.5% prior) is too small to materially distort the read, so PBT growth of n/m is the cleaner operating measure and tells the same story as NPAT growth of n/m. The leverage move from NZ$14.4m to NZ$20.9m of net debt, with cash falling 37.5% to NZ$3.5m, is the durable balance-sheet imprint of the year.

Unresolved

Open questions

What were the specific NZ$ amounts of impairments, write-downs, restructure costs and acquisition transaction costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA, and which are expected to recur in FY26?
Why did inventories build NZ$3.3m while seedling unit sales fell 11%, and what is the saleable shelf-life and write-down risk on that stock?
What acquisition was completed in the period, what did it cost, and what is its expected contribution?
How does management plan to stabilise US South revenue given a 9% decline and 59% revenue weighting?
What is the headroom on debt facilities at NZ$20.9m of net debt with NZ$3.5m of cash, and is there a target leverage ceiling?

This briefing cannot assess the specific composition of the items excluded from adjusted EBITDA, since the release excerpts only describe the categories rather than disclosing individual amounts.

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What were the specific NZ$ amounts of impairments, write-downs, restructure costs and acquisition transaction costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA, and which are expected to recur in FY26?Why does "The reported loss sits below an adjusted EBITDA line that excludes the very items driving it" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY25?What should I watch next for ARB after FY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

ArborGen Holdings - Audited Financial Statements for year ended 31 March 2025

FY25 / financial report↗

ArborGen Holdings - FY25 Results for year ended 31 March 2025

FY25 / results announcement↗

ArborGen Holdings - FY25 Results for year ended 31 March 2025

FY25 / results release↗

ArborGen Holdings - Results Presentation for year ended 31 March 2025

FY25 / results presentation↗

Prior comparable period

ArborGen Holdings FY2024 company filing

FY24 / results announcement↗

ArborGen Holdings FY2024 company filing

FY24 / results release↗

ArborGen Holdings FY2024 Primary Financial Statements

FY24 / financial report↗

Interim context

Amended 1H24 Interim Report

HY25 / financial report↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 24.1% of EBITDA to operating cash flow.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

This result includes a statutory earnings-quality distortion flag.

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ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was -17.3%, -17.1pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is 1.87x for this result.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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