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ArborGen Holdings (ARB) / HY26

Result released26 November 2025·Annolyse analysis published23 April 2026

Pre-lease FCF fell to NZ$-7.2m as gross borrowings rose 61.9% to NZ$34.0m

A NZ$5.0m working-capital build ahead of the seasonally heavy 2H drove OCF from +NZ$2.1m to -NZ$5.4m and required NZ$13.0m of new borrowings.

Primary Industries / Forestry genetics

ARB revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $14.2m, versus $13.2m in HY24.

ARB Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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  • FY22 ARB FY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 21.2%; 3-period range 16.8% to 18.4%. EBITDA margin: 21.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean 17.6%, range 16.8%-18.4%.
EBITDA margin: 21.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean 17.6%, range 16.8%-18.4%.

ARB operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was -$5.4m, versus $2.1m in HY24.

ARB working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • FY23 ARB: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-11.3m; 3-period range $5.6m to $19.3m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-11.3m, below normal range; 3/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$10.4m, and none had a working-capital release.
  • FY24 ARB: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $19.3m; 3-period range $-11.3m to $6.2m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$19.3m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$5.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-11.3m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$19.3m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$5.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-11.3m.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 22 July 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$34m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent EBITDA is negative.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

0.29x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
26 November 2025
Published
23 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY26 vs HY25

Revenue

$14.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

−$2.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

−$0.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$5.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

−$0.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

−$2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$3.6m

-16.3% ↓ vs $4.3m

Total assets

$187.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofARB HY26·Result released26 November 2025·Annolyse analysis published23 April 2026

What changed

Operating cash flow swung from +NZ$2.1m to –NZ$5.4m, a NZ$7.5m reversal that drove pre-lease free cash flow to –NZ$7.2m

Annolyse's historical baseline puts pre-lease FCF in a –NZ$4.8m to –NZ$0.8m range with a three-period mean of –NZ$2.5m, so the current outcome sits below normal. To fund this, gross borrowings rose 61.9% to NZ$34.0m and net debt nearly doubled to NZ$30.4m.

Headline revenue rose 7.6% to NZ$14.2m, described by the company as a record HY result, with Brazil contributing 99.3% of group revenue. EBITDA deteriorated to –NZ$2.1m from –NZ$0.5m. PBT growth of –33.3% is the cleaner read; NPAT growth of –500.0% is distorted by a swing in the effective tax rate from –93.3% to 70.0%.

What matters

Cash quality has decoupled from the revenue story

OCF/EBITDA at 257.1% (current) versus –420.0% (prior) is mathematically flattered by both numerators being negative; the more useful read is that operating cash flipped to a NZ$5.4m outflow while operating working capital absorbed a further NZ$5.0m, taking owc to NZ$48.5m. Pre-lease FCF below the historical range matters because it forced incremental drawdown rather than relying on existing cash.

Leverage has stepped up materially. Gross borrowings rose by NZ$13.0m and total equity fell 15.5% to NZ$125.5m, so financial flexibility is narrower entering the seasonally larger 2H. With EBITDA negative in this half, leverage ratios cannot be benchmarked, but the directional shift is clearly weakening.

The business is structurally 2H-weighted, not balanced. HY25 represented only 20.9% of FY25 revenue and 0.5% of FY25 NPAT, so a record HY in absolute terms still annualises to NZ$28.4m against FY25 revenue of NZ$63.2m. Management commentary references US sales being recognised in 2H26, which means this release does not yet test the full-year thesis.

Expectations

No forward targets or guidance figures are supplied

Using the FY25 shape as the only available shape proxy, the implied 2H FY25 contributions were NZ$50.0m of revenue and –NZ$21.4m of NPAT, so the second half is where both the upside and the loss exposure sits. The current half's record volumes and Brazil momentum are supportive directional signals, but the release does not provide a quantitative target against which to test conversion of HY momentum into FY26 outcomes.

What this release does support is that Brazil demand remains the operating engine and that US contribution is timing-deferred. What it does not support is any conclusion on whether 2H cash generation will recover the NZ$7.2m pre-lease FCF deficit.

Quality of result

The earnings deterioration looks partly investment-led and partly working-capital-led rather than purely operational

Capex rose 80% to NZ$1.8m, lifting capex intensity to 12.7% of revenue from 7.6%, and inventories grew NZ$2.1m to NZ$48.8m as the company positions for 2H selling. Both are forward-looking uses of cash, but they are choices that depend on the 2H sell-through actually arriving.

The PBT line is the more reliable operating read this period. PBT growth of –33.3% sits at the upper edge of the historical –125.0% to +6.3% range and is 32.2 percentage points above the three-period mean of –65.5%, so by Annolyse's historical baseline the underlying loss has narrowed relative to recent halves. The 466.7pp gap between PBT and NPAT growth is explained by the 70.0% effective tax rate this period against –93.3% prior — a presentational distortion, not a deterioration in operating economics.

Unresolved

Open questions

What drove the NZ$7.5m swing in operating cash flow, and how much is structural inventory build for 2H versus a step-change in working-capital intensity?
Why did the effective tax rate move to 70.0% this half, and is that rate expected to normalise in 2H26?
How is the additional NZ$13.0m of gross borrowings being deployed, and what covenants or headroom remain at the current NZ$30.4m net debt level?
Whether 2H26 US revenue recognition can replicate the FY25 second-half shape that delivered roughly NZ$50.0m of revenue?
Does the 99.3% Brazil revenue share reflect timing alone, or a more durable shift in geographic mix that warrants concentration disclosure?

This briefing cannot assess 2H26 execution, US order pipeline conversion, or covenant headroom on the expanded debt facilities, none of which are quantified in the supplied materials.

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What drove the NZ$7.5m swing in operating cash flow, and how much is structural inventory build for 2H versus a step-change in working-capital intensity?Why does "Cash quality has decoupled from the revenue story" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY26?What should I watch next for ARB after HY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

ArborGen Holdings Limited - Interim Report for the six months ended 30 September 2025

HY26 / financial report↗

ArborGen Holdings Limited - Interim Results to 30 September 2025

HY26 / results announcement↗

ArborGen Holdings Limited - Interim Results to 30 September 2025

HY26 / results release↗

Prior comparable period

Amended 1H24 Interim Report

HY25 / financial report↗

Full-year context

ArborGen Holdings - Audited Financial Statements for year ended 31 March 2025

FY25 / financial report↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 466.7pp, with a distortion flag in the result.

→

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 257.1% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, +677.1pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 7.6% for this reporting period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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