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Argosy Property (ARG) / FY21

NPAT more than doubled to $241.7m on portfolio revaluations

Rental revenue rose 6.9% and operating cash flow climbed 47.9%, but the profit jump reflects valuation gains rather than rental growth.

Property / Property investment

ARG revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $120.8m, versus $58.4m in FY25.

ARG Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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FY25 was 90.5%, versus 71.2% in FY23.

ARG operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $67.4m, versus $32.1m in FY25.

ARG working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • FY23 ARG: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $1.8m; 5-period range $-2.1m to $1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$1.8m, above normal range; 2/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.0m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-1.2m.
  • FY24 ARG: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-2.1m; 5-period range $-0.3m to $1.8m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-2.1m, unprecedented low; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-0.3m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-2.1m, unprecedented low; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-0.3m.
Release date
19 May 2021
Published
22 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY21 vs FY20

Revenue

$107.7m

+6.9% ↑ vs $100.8m

Net profit after tax

$241.7m

+102.9% ↑ vs $119.1m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$88.4m

+47.9% ↑ vs $59.7m

Full-year dividend per share

6.5c

+1.6% ↑ vs 6.3c

Profit before tax

$248.4m

+100.5% ↑ vs $123.9m

Total assets

$2.2b

+11.8% ↑ vs $1.9b

What changed

Argosy's NPAT rose 102.9% to $241.7m and PBT rose 100.5% to $248.4m, but the step-up is dominated by investment property revaluation rather than recurring rental income, which means the headline doubling is not a rental-earnings signal

Rental revenue grew 6.9% to $107.7m and operating profit (rental income less property opex) grew 8.4% to $95.6m — these are the cleaner reads on the underlying portfolio. Operating cash flow rose 47.9% to $88.4m. NTA per share lifted to $1.53 from $1.30, a 17.7% increase. Gross borrowings rose only 3.5% to $754.5m while total assets grew 11.8% to $2.16bn, so equity expanded faster than debt and reported ROE lifted to 18.9% from 11.1%. The full-year dividend of 6.45 cents was above the prior 6.35 cents; FY22 dividend guidance is 6.55 cents.

What matters

Revaluation, not rent, drives the headline

Albany Lifestyle Centre sale adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$87.5m disclosed value, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence.

Capital raise adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$585m capital raised, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence.

Operating profit grew 8.4% while PBT doubled. The gap is non-cash valuation movement on the investment property portfolio. For a property issuer, that means the 102.9% NPAT growth carries little forward-relevant information about recurring earnings — investors should anchor on the 6.9% rental growth and the disclosed AFFO payout discipline instead.

Cash earnings outran rental growth materially. Operating cash flow rose 47.9% against rental revenue growth of just 6.9%. Receivable days were broadly stable at 6.1 versus 6.7, so the gap is not a debtor-collection swing. The likely contributors are catch-up on COVID-affected rent, insurance proceeds, and timing of non-rental operating items — but the supplied context does not isolate them, so the durable run-rate of cash earnings is less certain than the OCF jump implies.

Balance sheet expanded primarily through equity-side revaluation. Total assets rose by $227m while gross debt rose only $25m. NTA per share lifted 17.7% to $1.53. That is supportive for headline LVR and covenant headroom, but the cap-rate compression that delivered the revaluation is a market condition rather than an operating outcome — it can reverse, and the elevated 18.9% ROE largely reflects the same valuation tailwind.

Expectations

No explicit FY22 earnings target is provided

The Board has guided FY22 dividend to 6.55 cents per share, with the FY21 dividend of 6.45 cents disclosed as 89% covered by AFFO. The full year was meaningfully second-half-weighted — H1 captured only 47.4% of NPAT and 33.8% of operating cash flow — but this skew is consistent with year-end revaluation timing and lumpy cash receipts rather than a structural step-up in run-rate earnings. Without portfolio occupancy, weighted average lease term, leasing-spread, or development pipeline yield-on-cost figures in the supplied context, the briefing cannot judge whether the FY22 dividend guidance is supported by rental growth alone or relies on further valuation tailwinds.

Quality of result

Albany Lifestyle Centre sale adds cash-flow context, with NZ$73.5m disclosed value, but the filing does not separately reconcile the transaction to the financial movement

Recurring rental growth of 6.9% is the durable component; the 102.9% NPAT growth is not. Operating profit growth of 8.4% sits much closer to revenue than to PBT, confirming that valuation gains drive the bulk of the reported step-up. ROE of 18.9% is similarly valuation-inflated — stripping the revaluation contribution would leave a recurring rental return at a materially lower level.

Operating cash flow's 47.9% rise outpaces both rental growth and operating profit growth, so the cash result is not a clean read on portfolio yield either. Capex fell to $68.8m from $100.8m, lifting pre-lease FCF to $19.6m from negative $41.0m — but property development spend is lumpy, so this is timing-driven rather than a structural improvement in cash discipline. The disclosed AFFO-based payout ratio of 89% is the more honest framing of distribution headroom than the 22.2% NPAT payout ratio, which understates the constraint because the NPAT denominator includes non-cash revaluation gains.

Unresolved

Open questions

What proportion of the $248.4m PBT is investment property revaluation versus recurring rental contribution, and how does that split compare with FY20?
Why did operating cash flow rise 47.9% against rental revenue growth of only 6.9% — what one-off cash receipts, insurance proceeds, or rent deferral catch-up are embedded?
How does the 6.55 cents FY22 dividend guidance reconcile with an 89% AFFO payout ratio if cap-rate tailwinds do not repeat?
What is the pro forma post-balance-date LVR and debt headroom once announced post-period settlements are reflected?
What are current portfolio occupancy, weighted average lease term, leasing spreads, and development pipeline yield-on-cost?

This briefing cannot assess portfolio-level operating metrics such as occupancy, WALT, leasing spreads, or cap-rate movement, all of which are essential for a property-issuer read.

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Sign in to ask questions about Argosy Property's FY21 result.

What proportion of the $248.4m PBT is investment property revaluation versus recurring rental contribution, and how does that split compare with FY20?Why does "Revaluation, not rent, drives the headline" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY21?What should I watch next for ARG after FY21?

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Sources

Current period

Annual Report

FY21 / financial report↗

Appendix 1

FY21 / results announcement↗

FY21 Market Release

FY21 / results release↗

FY21 results presentation

FY21 / results presentation↗

Prior comparable period

FY20 Annual Report

FY20 / financial report↗

Interim context

FY21 interim market release

HY21 / results release↗

Interim Financial Statements 30 September 2020

HY21 / financial report↗

Release context

FY21 annual results announcement date and webcast details

FY21 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Dividend coverage and payout pressure

Company-disclosed payout ratio is 89.0% on an AFFO basis, with NPAT payout at 22.2%.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 2.4pp.

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ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was 18.9%, +7.8pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 6.9% for this reporting period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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