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Argosy Property (ARG) / FY26

Pre-lease FCF turned to -NZ$2.9m as capex outran operating cash

Operating cash flow rose 14.2% but a 22.5% capex lift pushed pre-lease free cash flow to a five-year low.

Property / Property investment

ARG revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $120.8m, versus $58.4m in FY25.

ARG Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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FY25 was 90.5%, versus 71.2% in FY23.

ARG operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $67.4m, versus $32.1m in FY25.

ARG working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • FY23 ARG: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $1.8m; 5-period range $-2.1m to $1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$1.8m, above normal range; 2/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.0m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-1.2m.
  • FY24 ARG: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-2.1m; 5-period range $-0.3m to $1.8m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-2.1m, unprecedented low; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-0.3m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-2.1m, unprecedented low; 3/5 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$1.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-0.3m.
Release date
20 May 2026
Published
20 May 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$120.8m

+3.3% ↑ vs $116.9m

Net profit after tax

$127.7m

+1.4% ↑ vs $125.9m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$67.4m

+14.2% ↑ vs $59m

Full-year dividend per share

6.7c

flat vs 6.7c

Cash and cash equivalents

$3.4m

+135.7% ↑ vs $1.4m

Total assets

$2.3b

+8.4% ↑ vs $2.2b

What changed

Argosy Property's FY26 result showed operating cash generation improving while development spend pushed cash flow after capex into negative territory

Pre-lease free cash flow swung to -NZ$2.9m from +NZ$1.5m, an unprecedented low against Annolyse's historical baseline of NZ$7.5m to NZ$19.6m and a five-year average of NZ$12.4m. Operating cash flow itself rose 14.2% to NZ$67.4m, but capital additions on investment properties lifted 22.5% to NZ$70.3m — 58.2% of revenue.

Revenue grew 3.3% to NZ$120.8m, profit before tax rose 1.7% to NZ$140.4m and net profit after tax rose 1.4% to NZ$127.7m. Gross borrowings rose NZ$99.5m to NZ$855.5m, lifting portfolio gearing to 37.2% from 35.7% — still inside the 30-40% target band but at the upper end. Total assets reached NZ$2.3b, NZ$162.0m above the five-year average, and NTA per share rose to NZ$1.60 from NZ$1.53.

What matters

Capex outran operating cash flow

Henderson Place and Lambton Quay sales add balance-sheet context, with NZ$139m disclosed value, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence.

Operating cash flow's 14.2% rise was genuine progress, but the simultaneous 22.5% step-up in capex took capital additions to 58.2% of revenue and drove pre-lease free cash flow below zero. This matters because the development programme is currently being funded by debt rather than by cash earnings, and the FCF outcome sits outside the company's recent historical range.

Leverage is rising into a tighter band. Gross borrowings rose 13.2% and gearing moved from the middle of the target band toward its upper edge. The 30-40% target is intact, but headroom to the ceiling has narrowed during a year when development spend accelerated. The trajectory matters more than the level: if FY27 capex stays elevated, the next leg of the band will be tested without disposal support.

Earnings momentum lagged revenue. PBT growth of 1.7% and NPAT growth of 1.4% trailed the 3.3% revenue lift, and ROE drifted to 9.1% from 9.6%. The PBT margin of 116.3% sits within the supplied historical range (mean 107.9%), which confirms revaluation contribution remains within the normal pattern for the portfolio rather than flattering this year's result.

Expectations

HY26 contributed 50.7% of full-year revenue, 47.8% of NPAT and 56.2% of operating cash flow, so the second half delivered more reported NPAT but less operating cash than the first — a profile consistent with revaluation timing rather than rental seasonality

The full-year dividend of 6.65cps matched FY25 and was in line with prior guidance.

The release flags a policy shift toward a 80-95% FFO-based payout, but the supplied material does not quantify what that translates to in dividend cents for FY27. No forward-work backlog or FY27 capex guidance is provided in the available context. This matters because the durability of FY26's NZ$70.3m capex run-rate cannot be tested against future operating cash flow, and the read on whether the FCF deficit is a one-year peak or a new baseline is unresolved.

Quality of result

The quality signals split

Operating cash flow up 14.2% with debtor days at 9.0 — within Annolyse's historical baseline — points to clean underlying rental collection and cost control. NPAT growth, though modest, is not flattered by tax: the effective tax rate at 9.0% is in line with prior at 8.9%.

The negative-quality read sits below operating cash flow. Pre-lease FCF at -NZ$2.9m is the weakest in the supplied baseline and is structurally driven by development capex, not by working capital or one-offs. The 6.65cps dividend is comfortably covered by NPAT (44.9% payout, similar to FY25's 44.8%) but is not covered by pre-lease free cash flow this year, which means the distribution is being funded by a combination of operating cash flow and balance-sheet capacity rather than by cash earnings after capex. The PBT margin above 100% also reminds that statutory NPAT for a property issuer in a development cycle is not a pure cash-earnings read.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the FY27 capex profile, and does the 22.5% lift represent peak development spend or a new baseline?
How does the move to an FFO-based payout policy translate into a numeric FY27 dividend, and what is the FFO coverage assumption?
Why did ROE drift to 9.1% from 9.6% while revenue, PBT and NPAT all grew?
What rental reversion, occupancy and weighted average lease term data underpins the 3.3% revenue growth?
What gearing range does management expect to operate within once development capex normalises?

This briefing cannot assess occupancy, weighted average lease term, rent reversion, or the cap-rate assumptions embedded in the FY26 portfolio revaluation.

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Ask about ARG FY26

Ask follow-up questions about Argosy Property's FY26 result.

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Ask about ARG FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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Sign in to ask questions about Argosy Property's FY26 result.

What is the FY27 capex profile, and does the 22.5% lift represent peak development spend or a new baseline?Why does "Capex outran operating cash flow" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for ARG after FY26?

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Sources

Current period

Annual Report and Financial Statements

FY26 / financial report↗

Appendix 1

FY26 / results announcement↗

Market Release

FY26 / results release↗

Results Presentation

FY26 / results presentation↗

Prior comparable period

Annual Report and Financial Statements

FY25 / financial report↗

Appendix 1

FY25 / results announcement↗

Market Release

FY25 / results release↗

Results Presentation

FY25 / results presentation↗

Interim context

Argosy FY25 Interim Results Announcement (Appendix 1)

HY26 / results announcement↗

Argosy FY26 Interim Financial Statements

HY26 / financial report↗

Argosy FY26 Interim Market Release

HY26 / results release↗

Argosy FY26 Interim Results Presentation

HY26 / results presentation↗

Release context

FY25 full year results announcement and webcast details

FY25 / commentary↗

FY26 full year results announcement and webcast details

FY26 / commentary↗

Annual Meeting Results Announcement

HY26 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Dividend coverage and payout pressure

Company-disclosed payout ratio is 97.0% on an AFFO basis, with NPAT payout at 44.9%.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 0.3pp.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 3.3% for this reporting period.

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ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was 9.1%, -0.5pp versus the prior comparable period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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