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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Cash conversion slid to 46.8% as inventory days nearly doubled to 53.7

Revenue and PBT grew but a $148.5m working-capital build and a discontinued-operation loss pulled NPAT down 44.0%.

Consumer / Dairy nutrition

ATM revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY26 was $2b, versus $1.9b in FY25.

ATM EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY26 was 14.4%, versus 14.4% in FY25.

ATM operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY26 was $133.1m, versus $201.5m in FY25.

ATM working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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FY26 was $148.5m, versus -$20.8m in HY26.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 21 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$5.9b

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

52.3x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.16

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

18.13x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

99.57x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

5.54x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

7.9%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
17 August 2026
Published
19 August 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$2b

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$284.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$113.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$133.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

21.0c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$784.5m

-28.7% ↓ vs $1.1b

Total assets

$2b

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofATM FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Operating cash conversion deteriorated materially: net cash inflow from operating activities fell 33.9% to $133.1m even as EBITDA rose 3.7% to $284.4m, taking OCF/EBITDA to 46.8% from 73.4% in the prior year

The drag came from a working-capital build of $148.5m (owed capital moving from $200.9m to $349.4m), driven by inventory days nearly doubling to 53.7 from 26.7.

Revenue grew 4.0% to $2b and profit before tax rose 2.5% to $296.6m, but NPAT fell 44.0% to $113.6m, largely reflecting a $96.4m after-tax loss from a discontinued operation against profit from continuing operations of $207.5m. Total equity fell 25.0% to $1.1b, gross borrowings moved to zero from $77.8m, and cash fell 28.7% to $784.5m.

What matters

Cash quality lags earnings growth

Acquisition adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$281m acquisition price, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence.

OCF/EBITDA at 46.8%, down from 73.4%, combined with inventory days climbing to 53.7 from 26.7, means reported profit growth is not yet being matched by cash generation; this matters because a business funding more stock without a proportional cash release faces tighter near-term liquidity if sell-through slows.

PBT, not NPAT, is the cleaner operating read. PBT growth of 2.5% reflects underlying trading, while the 44.0% NPAT decline is explained by the discontinued-operation loss rather than a tax problem: the effective tax rate actually improved to 30.0% from 33.6%. Continuing-operations profit of $207.5m versus $202.9m prior shows the core business modestly ahead.

Balance sheet moved from net-debt-free to cash-funded distributions. Gross borrowings fell to zero and cash dropped 28.7% to $784.5m, while equity fell 25.0% and ROE weakened to 10.6% from 14.2%. The full-year dividend rose to 21.0 cents per share from 20.0 cents, though the final component fell to 9.5 cents from 11.5 cents, so headline balance-sheet strength has been partly used to fund shareholder returns rather than purely retained.

Expectations

No stated FY27 targets or explicit guidance figures are provided in this release, so the result can only be judged against the shape of the year itself

First-half NPAT of $10.9m represented just 9.6% of full-year NPAT of $113.6m, implying a much stronger second half of roughly $102.7m, even though management has flagged supply-chain cost pressure affecting second-half sales and earnings.

This matters because the release does not support a clean read on whether the strong second-half NPAT recovery reflects durable operating momentum or timing effects tied to the discontinued-operation accounting and working-capital build, and there is no disclosed target against which to test forward delivery.

Quality of result

Acquisition adds cash-flow context, with NZ$281.1m acquisition price, but the operating signals carry the main analytical weight

Part of the result looks durable: revenue and PBT growth, plus a modest gain in continuing-operations profit to $207.5m, point to genuine trading improvement, and the effective tax rate improved rather than flattered results artificially. However, a meaningful share of the year's cash position is not durable in the same sense — free cash flow to NPAT conversion fell to 52.5% from 97.5%, and capex-to-revenue rose to 3.7% from 0.2% as investment ramped up, both consistent with cash being absorbed into working capital and capital spending rather than distributed.

The move to zero gross borrowings and a still-substantial $784.5m cash balance suggest financial flexibility remains intact, but the 25.0% fall in equity and the payout ratio of 73.4% against NPAT indicate that balance-sheet strength has been actively deployed rather than simply preserved, which changes how sustainable current distribution levels are if cash conversion does not recover.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is driving the inventory-day increase to 53.7, and over what timeframe does management expect it to normalize?
Why did operating cash conversion fall to 46.8% from 73.4% despite EBITDA growth of 3.7%?
Is the discontinued-operation loss of $96.4m now fully closed out, or could further costs follow?
How sustainable is the 73.4% payout ratio against NPAT if cash conversion remains below the prior year's 73.4% level?
Will the zero-borrowings balance sheet position be maintained, or was it a temporary function of this year's capital returns?

This briefing cannot assess whether the implied second-half NPAT strength reflects underlying demand recovery or one-off timing effects, since no segment-level quarterly cash-flow detail or FY27 guidance was disclosed.

Ask about ATM FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is driving the inventory-day increase to 53.7, and over what timeframe does management expect it to normalize?Why does "Cash quality lags earnings growth" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for ATM after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

FY26 Annual Report

FY26 / financial report

FY26 Results media release

FY26 / media release

FY26 Results presentation

FY26 / results presentation

NZX Results Announcement

FY26 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

FY25 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report

FY25 Results & Supply Chain Transformation update media release

FY25 / media release

FY25 Results & Supply Chain Transformation update presentation

FY25 / results presentation

NZX Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

Interim context

Release context

FY25 Results Announcement Date and Webcast Notification

FY25 / commentary

FY26 Results Announcement Date and Webcast Notification

FY26 / commentary

Trading, Supply Chain and Outlook Update

FY26 / commentary

Annual Meeting Presentation

HY26 / commentary

The a2 Milk Company upgrades FY26 revenue guidance

HY26 / commentary

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