ATM · NZX

The a2 Milk Company (ATM)

Consumer / Dairy nutritionCovered: FY24 - HY264 published briefings

The a2 Milk Company is an NZX-listed consumer / dairy nutrition company with FY24 - HY26 of published result briefings.

Snapshot

Latest metrics

HY26, released 16 February 2026

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ATM latest metrics
MetricValueChange
Revenue$992.6m↑ +11.0%
EBITDA$155m↑ +30.4%
NPAT$10.9m↓ -88.1%
Operating cash flow$95.2m↑ +20.8%
OCF / EBITDA %61.4%↓ -4.9pp
Net debt-$896.9m
Net debt / EBITDAn/m
ROE %0.8%↓ -6.0pp
DPS11.5c↑ +35.3%
Payout ratio vs NPAT %74.3%↑ +7.3pp

Source: latest published briefing (HY26, released 16 February 2026). Change compares against the prior equivalent period: HY25, released 17 February 2025.

Valuation

Valuation

A compact read on what the market price implies next to the latest filing data. The numbers are a starting point for comparison, not a recommendation.

Prices as at close, 31 July 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$6b

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End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

49.02x

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Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.17

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Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

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Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

16.39x

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Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

29.7x

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Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

4.32x

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Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

7.8%

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Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

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Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Price history

Daily closes use the full available width, with hover and touch readouts against real observations. Expand opens the chart at reading size.

Share price

Five years of daily closes, as at close, 5 June 2026. Weekends, suspensions, and listing gaps stay as natural gaps in the time scale.

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P/E over time

Filing-period markers only: EOD close on or before each release date divided by filing-derived trailing NPAT where both inputs verify.

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Ask about ATM

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What changed in the latest result?What is unusual in the historical context?How has cash conversion changed over time?Compare this company with CNU.

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Longitudinal view

Performance over time

The latest period is shown first.

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ATM metric history
MetricHY266 MONTHS16 February 2026FY2512 MONTHS18 August 2025HY256 MONTHS17 February 2025FY2412 MONTHS19 August 2024Trend
Revenue$992.6m$1.9b$893.8m$1.7b
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Revenue growth %11.2%13.5%10.1%5.2%
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EBITDA$155m$274.3m$118.9m$234.3m
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EBITDA margin %15.6%14.4%13.3%14.0%
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PBT$162.5m$289.3m$127.3m$238.1m
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PBT growth %27.7%21.5%5.3%6.8%
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NPAT$10.9m$202.9m$91.7m$167.6m
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NPAT growth %-88.1%21.1%7.5%7.7%
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Operating cash flow$95.2m$201.5m$78.8m$255.7m
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OCF / EBITDA %61.4%73.4%66.3%109.1%
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FCF pre-lease$80.1m$197.8m$76.4m$238.7m
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DPS11.5c11.5c8.5c
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Payout ratio vs NPAT %74.3%71.3%67.0%
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Annual payout ratio vs EPS %71.4%
ROE %0.8%14.2%6.8%13.3%
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Net debt-$896.9m-$931.1m
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Net debt / EBITDAn/mn/m
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Debtor days17121911
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Inventory days32273939
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Total assets$1.8b$1.9b$1.9b$1.7b
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Reference: annolyse.ai/companies/atm

Note: Figures are shown as reported. Half-year and full-year absolute values are not directly comparable. Growth rates and ratios are the meaningful comparison across mixed periods.

Filing-only history charts

These charts use verified published filing periods only. Gaps are not interpolated, and mixed half-year/full-year histories are split into separate series.

Revenue

Reported revenue across covered periods.

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Revenue growth

Like-period revenue growth where comparable.

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EBITDA-equivalent

Company-specific earnings measure where disclosed.

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EBITDA margin

EBITDA-equivalent margin where revenue and earnings are source-backed.

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NPAT

Statutory profit after tax.

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Operating cash flow

Cash generated from operations.

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Full chartable metric set

Additional verified filing metrics for this company. Each point links back to a published briefing period in the source data contract.

OCF / EBITDA

Cash conversion against earnings.

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FCF pre-lease

Operating cash flow less capex before leases.

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ROE

Return on equity.

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Net debt

Borrowings less cash; negative values indicate net cash.

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DPS

Dividend per share declared for the period.

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Payout ratio

Dividend payout against statutory NPAT.

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Debtor days

Receivables days where the working-capital inputs are source-backed.

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Inventory days

Inventory days where the working-capital inputs are source-backed.

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The setup & the reality

FY25 → HY26 Follow-through

The latest result is checked against what the prior briefing said to watch.

Historical setup

What FY25 said to watch

Previous analysisFY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

From ATM FY25: Revenue +13.5% and NPAT +21.1% but cash conversion fell to 73.4%

Mataura Valley Milk, Open Country Dairy Limited and Yashili New Zealand Dairy Co. sales are explicitly linked in the filing to revenue continuity, with NZ$100m capital raised and NZ$130m disclosed value.

No formal FY26 earnings targets were included in the extraction data, so direct variance analysis is not possible. The results release references a supply chain transformation and simultaneously announced strategic transactions, suggesting management views the business as entering a new investment phase. The second-half revenue run-rate of NZD 1b against a first-half NZD 893.8m confirms second-half weighting and a building exit rate into FY26.

Without stated guidance, the key question is whether the 13.5% revenue growth rate is sustainable given China IMF market dynamics and whether the cash conversion shortfall is cyclical or structural. The scale of the supply chain repositioning adds execution risk and capital deployment uncertainty that the income statement alone does not capture.

Open questions

Open questions from FY25

  • What explains the NZD 54.3m year-on-year decline in operating cash flow when working capital was a net source and EBITDA grew NZD 40.0m?
  • Will the ANZ segment margin compression reverse in FY26, or does it reflect structural pricing or cost pressure?
  • How does management intend to fund the announced acquisition while sustaining the 71.3% NPAT payout ratio, and what is the pro forma leverage position post-transaction?
  • Is the China and Other Asia revenue growth driven by volume, price, or channel mix, and how exposed is that growth to China IMF regulatory or market-share shifts?
  • Does management expect OCF/EBITDA conversion to normalise toward historical levels in FY26, and what specific working-capital or timing factors drove the FY25 shortfall?

This briefing cannot assess the post-transaction financial structure, the revenue continuity of divested operations, or the earnings impact of the supply chain repositioning on FY26 segment reporting.

Archive

Briefing archive

Every published Annolyse briefing for this company appears here in reverse chronological order.

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