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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

PBT fell 12.8% on 114bp gross margin squeeze; tax rate masked NPAT

Record sales hide a 114bp gross margin contraction, with the effective tax rate dropping from 36.2% to 28.6% to keep NPAT only 2.3% lower.

BGP revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $371.3m, versus $372.1m in HY24.

BGP Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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HY26 was 12.6%, versus 16.3% in HY24.

BGP operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was $24.6m, versus $38m in HY24.

BGP working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY26 was $0m, versus -$0.5m in FY23.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$1b

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

16.89x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.27

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

8.92x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

19.25x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

3.27x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

4.5%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
11 March 2026
Published
21 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$798.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$59.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$102.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

20.0c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$82.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$697.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofBGP FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Revenue edged up 0.9% to $798.8m, a record headline, but profit before tax fell 12.8% to $82.9m as gross margin compressed 114 basis points to 39.23%

NPAT looks softer at just -2.3% ($59.2m) because the effective tax rate dropped from 36.2% to 28.6%, so the cleaner operating read is the PBT decline, not the NPAT line.

Operating cash flow fell 6.7% to $102.4m, and closing cash declined $12.1m to $130.3m despite lower capex of $50.4m (versus $58.2m). The balance sheet remains debt-free. Inventory closed $8.9m below last year at $90.8m, and trade receivables fell to $1.6m.

The final dividend was declared at 10.0 cents per share, identical to the prior year's final.

What matters

Margin, not volume, is the story

Sales grew only 0.9% and gross margin took 114bps. Management's own split shows the squeeze easing through the year (a 154bp decline in H1 versus 76bps in H2), which matters because it suggests either promotional intensity moderated or input/freight pressure annualised, rather than a structural margin reset. The H2 improvement is not yet enough to call a turn.

The tax line is doing real work on NPAT. PBT fell 12.8% but NPAT only 2.3% because the effective tax rate normalised from an elevated 36.2% to 28.6%. This matters because the headline -2.3% NPAT understates underlying operating deterioration; investors should anchor on PBT and gross margin when tracking trading performance.

Segment-result erosion is broad-based. Homeware result fell to $50.6m from $56.5m on slightly higher revenue, and Sporting goods result fell to $41.8m from $44.2m on essentially flat revenue. Neither division grew profit, so the margin story is group-wide rather than a mix problem in one banner.

Expectations

No forward targets were supplied with the release, so this briefing cannot test the result against a stated FY27 number

What the release does support is a tentative read that gross-margin pressure was easing into H2 (76bps versus 154bps), and that inventory was reduced into year end ($8.9m lower) without an obvious clearance hit large enough to crash full-year margin further.

What it does not support is a view that operating profit has stabilised. PBT down 12.8% on a 0.9% revenue rise means cost-to-serve and merchandise margin are still the binding constraint, and a flat top line cannot offset further gross-margin slippage if H2's improvement does not extend.

Quality of result

The reported NPAT understates the deterioration

The PBT-to-NPAT growth gap is 10.5 percentage points, driven by the lower effective tax rate; this is the cleaner operating read because gross margin and segment results all moved the same way as PBT. The release does not explicitly attribute the lower current tax rate, so the durability of a 28.6% effective rate going forward is not established by the supplied materials.

Cash conversion deteriorated relative to last year. FCF pre-lease was $52.0m versus $94.8m, and FCF-to-NPAT fell to 87.8% from 156.4%. The prior comparison is flattered (consistent with disclosed building-sale proceeds in that period), so the current 87.8% conversion is closer to a normalised reading than the headline drop implies. Operating cash flow was also supported by a $14.0m working-capital release, with inventory days falling from 46.0 to 41.5 and receivable days from 3.2 to 0.7. That release is helpful for FCF in the year but cannot repeat indefinitely.

Payout ratio versus pre-lease FCF is suppressed because pre-lease FCF is negative.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did the effective tax rate fall from 36.2% to 28.6%, and is 28.6% a reasonable run-rate going forward?
What is driving the 114bp gross-margin compression - promotional intensity, freight and input costs, or channel mix - and how much of the H2 recovery is structural?
How should investors think about the FY27 capex envelope after $50.4m this year, and what part of it is maintenance versus strategy?
Will the $14.0m working-capital release reverse in FY27 as inventory days normalise, and how would that affect operating cash flow?
What is the targeted online sales mix beyond the 20.04% achieved, and what gross-margin profile does the online channel carry relative to stores?

This briefing cannot assess same-store sales, store-count movements, or any forward earnings trajectory because no comparable-sales data or FY27 guidance is supplied in the release.

Ask about BGP FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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Why did the effective tax rate fall from 36.2% to 28.6%, and is 28.6% a reasonable run-rate going forward?Why does "Margin, not volume, is the story" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for BGP after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Financial Statements and IAR

FY26 / financial report

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Results Announcement

FY26 / results announcement

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Results Commentary

FY26 / results release

Prior comparable period

BGP - FY Jan 2025 Financial Statements and Independent Auditor's Report

FY25 / financial report

BGP - FY Jan 2025 Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

BGP - FY Jan 2025 Results Commentary

FY25 / results release

Interim context

BGP - HY July 2025 Financial Statements & Independent Auditors Review Report

HY26 / financial report

BGP - HY July 2025 Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

BGP - HY July 2025 Results Commentary

HY26 / results release

Release context

BGP - Addresses to Annual Meeting 15 May 2025

HY26 / commentary

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