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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

PBT up 17.1% but cash quality leans on capex cut and working capital release

Earnings returned to growth on a -1.9% revenue base, but FCF of NZ$6.1m reflects capex falling 92% and an unusual working capital release.

MFB revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY24 was $175.7m, versus $175.7m in FY23.

MFB EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • FY22 MFB FY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 17.6%; 3-period range 9.6% to 10.4%. EBITDA margin: 17.6%, above normal range; 3-period mean 10.0%, range 9.6%-10.4%.
  • HY23 MFB HY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 12.2%; 3-period range 8.4% to 9.5%. EBITDA margin: 12.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean 8.9%, range 8.4%-9.5%.
EBITDA margin: 12.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean 8.9%, range 8.4%-9.5%.

MFB operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY23 was $9.8m, versus $29.5m in FY22.

MFB working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY25 was -$1.6m, versus -$0.7m in HY24.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 18 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$72.5m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

10.83x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.03

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

2.3x

i

P/E compared with recent earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

4.54x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

8.53x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

1x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

6.7%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
21 November 2024
Published
22 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Revenue

$82.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$7.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$6.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Interim dividend per share

0.7c

— vs —

Profit before tax

$4.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$1.8m

n/m ↑ vs $0.15m

Total assets

$105.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofMFB HY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Operating working capital released NZ$1.6m of cash this period, against a historical pattern of working-capital builds averaging roughly NZ$2.3m in two of the prior three half-years (range NZ$-0.8m to NZ$4.4m)

That swing, combined with capex falling 92.1% to NZ$0.2m from NZ$2.5m, is the dominant reason pre-lease free cash flow stepped up to NZ$6.1m versus a 3-period mean of NZ$2.7m.

Underlying earnings did return to growth from a depressed base. Revenue fell -1.9% to NZ$82.2m, but EBITDA rose 5.4% to NZ$7.8m, PBT grew 17.1% to NZ$4.1m and NPAT grew 20.0% to NZ$3.0m. Operating cash flow rose 27% to NZ$6.3m, net debt fell to NZ$9.7m (1.2x EBITDA, from 1.9x), and the company declared a 0.65cps interim dividend implying a 65.0% payout against current-period NPAT.

What matters

Cash quality is real but flattered

OCF/EBITDA conversion of 80.3% sits at the upper edge of the historical 47.7%–80.6% range, which is genuinely strong. However, both the working-capital release (classified below normal range) and the near-elimination of capex contributed materially. Inventory days fell to 0.7 from 4.2 prior, and inventories declined NZ$1.6m on the balance sheet — investors should expect some of that to reverse in normal trading.

Profit growth is from a low base. The 17.1% PBT and 20.0% NPAT growth rates are above-normal-range only because the prior 3-period mean was -35.2% and -32.8% respectively. PBT margin of 5.0% and EBITDA margin of 9.5% remain within the historical 4.2%–8.7% and 8.4%–12.2% ranges and slightly below the 3-period means, so this is recovery off a depressed prior comparable rather than expansion above trend.

Leverage improved without a tax distortion. Net debt fell NZ$4.4m year-on-year and the effective tax rate of 28.1% is essentially flat versus 28.3%, so the earnings improvement is not a tax-line artefact. Equity rose NZ$5.8m and total liabilities fell NZ$7.9m, leaving the balance sheet measurably stronger.

Expectations

No FY25 guidance, second-half shape commentary or stated targets were supplied with this release, so the result cannot be benchmarked against management expectations

Annualising the half implies a NZ$164.4m run-rate against last year's NZ$175.7m full-year revenue, which would extend the multi-year revenue decline, though the historical pattern shows revenue growth of -1.9% sits within the recent normal range.

The dividend at 65.0% of half-year NPAT is supportable given the FCF print, but durability hinges on whether capex stays near zero — that intensity ratio of 0.2% of revenue is well below FY24 levels and is unlikely to be a steady-state assumption.

Quality of result

The earnings improvement looks operationally credible: revenue declined only -1.9%, EBITDA rose despite that, and the result was achieved without a tax tailwind

Gross margin reference of 47.9% in the prior comparable suggests the cost base was already being managed; the EBITDA dollar gain of NZ$0.4m on lower revenue indicates some genuine cost leverage.

The cash story is more timing-sensitive. Pre-lease FCF of NZ$6.1m converts at 205.4% of NPAT, which is mechanically unsustainable. The drivers were (1) a working-capital release of NZ$1.6m versus a typical build, including inventory falling 83.4%, and (2) capex of NZ$0.2m versus NZ$2.5m prior — a 92.1% reduction. Net debt reduction of NZ$2.1m since March is real, but a normalised capex year combined with any working-capital reversal would compress FCF materially closer to the historical NZ$2.4m–NZ$3.1m range.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did capex fall 92% to NZ$0.2m, and what is the maintenance and growth capex run-rate management expects from here?
How much of the NZ$1.6m inventory drawdown is structural versus timing, and should investors model a reversal in H2?
What drove EBITDA margin holding at 9.5% on lower revenue — was it gross margin, fixed-cost reduction, or mix?
Is the 65.0% NPAT payout the intended policy, and how is it sized against a normalised FCF rather than this period's print?
Will revenue stabilise from here, or does the -1.9% decline extend the multi-year top-line contraction?

This briefing cannot assess customer cohort behaviour, competitive positioning, or any forward outlook because no segment data, active-customer disclosures or guidance were supplied.

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Why did capex fall 92% to NZ$0.2m, and what is the maintenance and growth capex run-rate management expects from here?Why does "Cash quality is real but flattered" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for MFB after HY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

Prior comparable period

Full-year context

Release context

Results of 2023 Annual Meeting

HY25 / commentary

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