Annolyse
BriefingsCompaniesInsightsPrinciplesCompareChatWatchlist

Explore

  • Briefings
  • Companies
  • Insights
  • Compare

Resources

  • Search
  • Methodology

© 2026 Annolyse.

ChartsAnalysisChatData
  1. Charts
  2. Analysis
  3. Chat
  4. Data
  5. Sources
←Back to briefings
Mainfreight (MFT) / FY23

NPAT up 20.0% on 8.8% revenue growth with cash conversion lifting to 89%

Operating earnings and a $186m working capital release boosted cash flow, but second-half trading slowed against a strong comparable.

Transport & Infrastructure / Freight and logistics

MFT revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

↗
Loading chart...
FY26 was $5.4b, versus $5.2b in FY25.

MFT EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

↗
Loading chart...
  • FY22 MFT: Unprecedented low ebitda margin. 13.6%; 4-period range 14.1% to 15.3%. EBITDA margin: 13.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 14.7%, range 14.1%-15.3%.
  • FY24 MFT: Outside range high ebitda margin. 15.3%; 4-period range 13.6% to 15%. EBITDA margin: 15.3%, above normal range; 4-period mean 14.3%, range 13.6%-15.0%.
EBITDA margin: 15.3%, above normal range; 4-period mean 14.3%, range 13.6%-15.0%.

MFT operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

↗
Loading chart...
FY26 was $589.4m, versus $584.4m in FY25.

MFT working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

↗
Loading chart...
  • FY22 MFT: Unprecedented high operating working-capital movement. $316.4m; 4-period range $-186.1m to $107.5m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$316.4m, unprecedented high; 2/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$66.7m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-95.3m.
  • FY23 MFT: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-186.1m; 4-period range $-4.6m to $316.4m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-186.1m, unprecedented low; 3/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$149.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-4.6m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-186.1m, unprecedented low; 3/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$149.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-4.6m.
Release date
25 May 2023
Published
22 April 2026
Ask about this result
Sections⌄
  1. Charts
  2. Analysis
  3. Chat
  4. Data
  5. Sources

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY23 vs FY22

Revenue

$5.7b

+8.8% ↑ vs $5.2b

EBITDA

$851m

+19.7% ↑ vs $711m

Net profit after tax

$426.5m

+20.0% ↑ vs $355.4m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$757.2m

+50.3% ↑ vs $503.8m

Full-year dividend per share

172.0c

+97.7% ↑ vs 87.0c

Profit before tax

$587.4m

+20.0% ↑ vs $489.4m

Cash and cash equivalents

$342m

+69.1% ↑ vs $202.3m

Total assets

$3.4b

+13.7% ↑ vs $3b

What changed

Revenue rose 8.8% to $5,675.7m and both profit before tax and NPAT grew 20.0%, to $587.4m and $426.5m respectively, with EBITDA up 19.7% to $851.0m

The headline growth, however, masks a marked second-half deceleration: H1 contributed 52.9% of full-year revenue, and commentary explicitly states the second half "fell short of expectations" against a very strong comparison period, with USA and Asia most affected by softening international freight conditions.

Operating cash flow jumped 50.3% to $757.2m, because trade debtors fell $186.1m as shipping-line rates eased, compressing receivable days from 56.3 to 39.8. Net capital expenditure stepped up 71% to $323.9m, lifting capex intensity from 3.6% to 5.7% of revenue.

What matters

Cash conversion lifted on a working-capital release, not durable margin expansion

Capital raise is explicitly linked in the filing to balance-sheet leverage, with NZ$510m capital raised.

  1. OCF/EBITDA moved to 89.0% from 70.9% and FCF/NPAT reached 101.6%, but the swing was driven by the $186.1m debtor reduction as shipping rates normalised. This matters because the release is real cash but is not repeatable at this magnitude in FY24.

  2. The second-half slowdown is the most important forward-looking signal. Air & Ocean is the largest division at 47.3% of revenue with a disclosed gross margin of 10.9%, and is the segment most exposed to the international rate and volume compression management cited. If H2 represents the new run-rate, FY24 starts from a softer base than the FY23 headline suggests.

  3. Capex intensity nearly doubled. Spend of $323.9m skewed to land and buildings ($163.1m) and warehousing fit-out ($70.4m) signals capacity investment rather than maintenance. This absorbs cash now without contributing to current earnings, so the payback timing matters when international volumes are uncertain.

Expectations

No formal forward guidance is provided

The implied H2 run-rate is $2.7b revenue and $209.5m NPAT, materially below H1's $3b and $217.0m. Annualising H2 produces roughly $5.3b of revenue versus the FY23 outcome of $5.7b, indicating FY24 starts from a softer base if the international weakness persists rather than reverses.

The release does not quantify how much of the H2 softness is rate-driven (price) versus volume-driven, which matters because rate normalisation eventually anniversaries while sustained volume weakness would compound into FY24 earnings.

Quality of result

Underlying earnings quality is high

Commentary states there are no abnormals in FY23 or FY22, the effective tax rate was unchanged at 27.4%, and PBT and NPAT grew at the same +20.0% pace, so the operating read is clean and EBITDA margin expansion on +8.8% revenue indicates genuine operating leverage. ROE held at 24.7% versus 24.9%, broadly stable as the equity base grew alongside earnings.

Cash quality is less durable. The lift in OCF/EBITDA to 89.0% from 70.9% leans heavily on the $186.1m trade debtor release, a balance-sheet timing benefit tied to lower shipping-line rates rather than a step-change in underlying conversion. FCF/NPAT at 101.6% reflects the same release against a sharply higher capex denominator. Stripping the receivables release, underlying operating cash generation grew much more modestly than the 50% headline, so reported FY23 cash flow overstates the run-rate available to fund future capex and dividends.

Unresolved

Open questions

How much of the H2 international softness is rate-driven versus volume-driven, and when do management expect each to stabilise?
What working capital movement is assumed in FY24 given the $186.1m debtor release cannot repeat at this magnitude?
Will FY24 net capex remain near $323.9m, and what return profile is expected on the warehousing build-out?
How are Air & Ocean margins trending into FY24 given the cited USA and Asia pressure on the largest segment?
What payout framework should investors expect against the FY23 full-year dividend of 172.0 cents?

This briefing cannot assess underlying volume trends, segment-level year-on-year revenue moves (prior-year segment splits are not in the supplied data), or how management is sizing future capex against an uncertain international demand backdrop.

Chat

Ask about MFT FY23

Ask follow-up questions about Mainfreight's FY23 result.

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Ask about MFT FY23

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Sign in to chat

Sign in to ask questions about Mainfreight's FY23 result.

How much of the H2 international softness is rate-driven versus volume-driven, and when do management expect each to stabilise?Why does "Cash conversion lifted on a working-capital release, not durable margin expansion" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY23?What should I watch next for MFT after FY23?

Checking account...

Data appendix

Show segment detail

Open to load segment breakdown.

Show analytical metrics

Open to load analytical metrics.

Show key metrics table

Open to load key metrics.

Sources

Current period

Mainfreight - Full Year 2023 Commentary

FY23 / results release↗

Mainfreight - Full Year 2023 Presentation

FY23 / results presentation↗

Mainfreight Full Year Financial Results to 31 March 2023

FY23 / financial report↗

Prior comparable period

Mainfreight Annual Report 2022

FY22 / financial report↗

Interim context

Mainfreight Commentary HY to 30 September 2022

HY23 / results presentation↗

Mainfreight Financial Statements to 30 September 2022

HY23 / financial report↗

Mainfreight NZX Results Announcement to 30 September 2022

HY23 / results announcement↗

Mainfreight NZX Results Announcement to 30 September 2022

HY23 / results release↗

Release context

Mainfreight Annual Meeting Results 2022

HY23 / commentary↗

Mainfreight Limited - Investor Day / market update

HY23 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 89.0% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, +18.1pp versus the prior comparable period.

→

Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is -0.14x, -0.15x versus the prior comparable period.

→

Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 0.0pp.

→

Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 8.8% for this reporting period.

→
This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Get notified when MFT publishes next

Get the next Mainfreight briefing and related NZX reporting-season updates by email.