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Marlin Global (MLN) / FY21

Portfolio return of 46.7% beat benchmark by 8.9pp, NTA up 24.3%

A record $69.2m NPAT reflects $77.3m of net investment gains, but recurring dividend income remains a small slice of total return.

Investment Companies / Listed investment company

NTA/NAV per share

Net tangible asset or net asset value per share, shown in per-share cents for chart readability.

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  • HY22 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 1.26x; 4-period range 0.8x to 1.02x. NTA/NAV per share: 1.26x, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 0.93x, range 0.80x-1.02x.
  • FY22 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 0.89x; 4-period range 0.93x to 30x. NTA/NAV per share: 0.89x, below normal range; 4-period mean 8.31x, range 0.93x-30.00x.
  • HY23 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 0.8x; 4-period range 0.94x to 1.26x. NTA/NAV per share: 0.80x, below normal range; 4-period mean 1.04x, range 0.94x-1.26x.
  • FY25 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 30x; 4-period range 0.89x to 1.28x. NTA/NAV per share: 30.00x, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 1.03x, range 0.89x-1.28x.
NTA/NAV per share: 30.00x, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 1.03x, range 0.89x-1.28x.

Investment income

Recurring investment-income or revenue-return proxy, excluding fair-value movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.6m; 4-period range $0.7m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$0.6m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$1.0m, range NZ$0.7m-NZ$1.2m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.2m; 4-period range $0.3m to $0.9m. Investment income: NZ$0.2m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.5m, range NZ$0.3m-NZ$0.9m.
  • HY25 MLN: Unprecedented high investment income. $0.9m; 4-period range $0.2m to $0.5m. Investment income: NZ$0.9m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$0.3m, range NZ$0.2m-NZ$0.5m.
  • FY25 MLN: Outside range high investment income. $1.2m; 4-period range $0.6m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$1.2m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.8m, range NZ$0.6m-NZ$1.2m.
Investment income: NZ$1.2m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.8m, range NZ$0.6m-NZ$1.2m.

Investment total return

Total income or return including fair-value or capital movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $78.1m; 4-period range $-58.5m to $42.9m. Investment total return: NZ$78.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.5m, range NZ$-58.5m-NZ$42.9m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-58.5m; 4-period range $5.9m to $78.1m. Investment total return: NZ$-58.5m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$38.6m, range NZ$5.9m-NZ$78.1m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-9.4m; 4-period range $6.3m to $12.4m. Investment total return: NZ$-9.4m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$9.8m, range NZ$6.3m-NZ$12.4m.
  • HY24 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $12.4m; 4-period range $-9.4m to $11.3m. Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.
Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.

Net assets attributable

Net asset base attributable to shareholders or unitholders.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high net assets attributable. $244.4m; 4-period range $178.1m to $222.9m. Net assets attributable: NZ$244.4m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$201.5m, range NZ$178.1m-NZ$222.9m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range high net assets attributable. $242.1m; 4-period range $161.9m to $224.7m. Net assets attributable: NZ$242.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$200.4m, range NZ$161.9m-NZ$224.7m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $178.1m; 4-period range $192.8m to $244.4m. Net assets attributable: NZ$178.1m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$218.0m, range NZ$192.8m-NZ$244.4m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $161.9m; 4-period range $201.6m to $242.1m. Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.
Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.
Release date
24 August 2021
Published
22 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY21 vs FY20

Net profit after tax

$69.2m

+206.2% ↑ vs $22.6m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$16.6m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Full-year dividend per share

8.8c

+329.1% ↑ vs 2.1c

Investment income

$78.1m

n/m ↑ vs $0.02m

Operating profit

$71.5m

+216.5% ↑ vs $22.6m

Profit before tax

$71.5m

+216.4% ↑ vs $22.6m

Cash and cash equivalents

$5.1m

+93.3% ↑ vs $2.6m

Total assets

$252.1m

+57.6% ↑ vs $159.9m

What changed

Marlin Global delivered a gross portfolio total return of 46.7% for FY21 against a benchmark return of 37.8%, an outperformance of 8.9 percentage points

That portfolio return drove net tangible assets per share from $1.03 to $1.28, a lift of 24.3%, and grew net assets attributable to shareholders by 56.5% to $244.4m.

The income statement reflected the same dynamic. Total investment return (net gains plus dividend and interest income) rose 189.8% to $78.1m, NPAT grew 206.2% to $69.2m, and profit before tax was up 216.4% at $71.5m. The headline result is described by the company as a record.

Cash distributed to shareholders during the year totalled around $9.6m and the board declared a final dividend of 2.52 cents per share, taking the full-year dividend to 8.84 cents (FY20: 2.06 cents on the basis supplied).

What matters

Portfolio return, not operating income, is the result

Realised plus unrealised net gains on investments of roughly $77.3m account for the overwhelming majority of FY21 investment income, while recurring dividend and interest income was just $0.6m, slightly below FY20's $0.7m. This matters because the read on FY21 is principally a read on market beta and stock selection within Marlin's mandate, not a step-change in the underlying yield of the portfolio.

Active outperformance is the genuine quality signal. The 8.9pp gap between the 46.7% portfolio return and the 37.8% benchmark return is the cleanest evidence that the manager added value above market direction. NTA per share growth of 24.3% and ROE of 28.3% (FY20: 14.4%) reflect that combined effect.

Distribution capacity now depends on continued portfolio gains. Recurring investment income of $0.6m covers only a small fraction of the $9.6m distributed, so the sustainability of the current distribution rate is tied to realising portfolio gains rather than to a recurring income stream. The implication is that distribution levels will be more sensitive to market drawdowns than headline coverage on NPAT suggests.

Expectations

No forward targets or guidance are supplied with this release, so the result can only be judged against shape and benchmark context

HY21 contributed 41.3% of full-year investment income and 37.4% of full-year NPAT, implying a stronger second half of roughly $43.3m of NPAT and $45.8m of investment income. That shape is consistent with continued portfolio appreciation in the second half rather than a normalised run-rate.

Because the underlying driver is portfolio return rather than recurring earnings, prior-year repeatability is not a useful base case. The relevant forward question is whether the 8.9pp benchmark outperformance can be sustained, not whether the 46.7% absolute return can be repeated.

Quality of result

For an investment company, the durability question is the split between realised and unrealised gains and the persistence of the manager's edge versus benchmark

The release frames the result as $77.3m of net gains on investments without isolating the realised component, which means the reader cannot tell from this release how much of the $69.2m NPAT is locked-in cash versus mark-to-market. NTA per share growth of 24.3% and a 56.5% lift in net assets are the cleaner reads on shareholder value created in the period.

Operating cash flow of -$16.6m versus +$6.7m in FY20 is a function of portfolio acquisition and disposal timing rather than earnings quality in the operating-company sense, so it should not be read as a cash-conversion concern. However, with cash on hand of only $5.1m against $9.6m of distributions paid, the company is materially reliant on portfolio realisations to fund distributions, and that reliance is the clearest quality caveat on the headline NPAT.

Unresolved

Open questions

What proportion of the $77.3m net investment gains is realised versus unrealised at balance date?
How does management view the sustainability of the 8.9pp benchmark outperformance given current portfolio positioning?
Why did recurring dividend and interest income fall 5.1% to $0.6m despite a much larger asset base?
How will distributions be funded if portfolio returns normalise toward benchmark, given recurring income covers only a small share of the cash distributed?
What is the current policy basis for the 8.84 cents full-year distribution and is it formally linked to NTA, realised gains, or another reference?

This briefing cannot assess the realised-versus-unrealised composition of investment gains, forward portfolio positioning, or the formal mechanics of the distribution policy because those details are not in the supplied release content.

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Ask follow-up questions about Marlin Global's FY21 result.

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Sign in to ask questions about Marlin Global's FY21 result.

What proportion of the $77.3m net investment gains is realised versus unrealised at balance date?Why does "Portfolio return, not operating income, is the result" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY21?What should I watch next for MLN after FY21?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

MLN - Commentary for the year end 30 June 2021

FY21 / results release↗

MLN - Financial Statements for the year ended 30 June 2021 incl audit report

FY21 / financial report↗

MLN - Preliminary year end announcement - 30 June 2021

FY21 / results announcement↗

Prior comparable period

Marlin Global 2020 Annual Report

FY20 / financial report↗

Interim context

MLN - Financial Statements for period 31 Dec 20 incl review report

HY21 / financial report↗

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement

HY21 / results release↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was 189.8% for this reporting period.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 10.2pp.

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Dividend coverage and payout pressure

Dividend payout versus NPAT is 22.4%.

→

ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was 28.3%, +13.9pp versus the prior comparable period.

→
This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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