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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

NPAT swung to NZ$10.2m on NZ$12.4m portfolio total return

An above-range portfolio result drove the swing to profit, but running investment income of NZ$0.4m covers only 7.9% of distributions paid.

NTA/NAV per share

Net tangible asset or net asset value per share, shown in per-share cents for chart readability.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 128c; 5-period range 80c to 103c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, unprecedented high; 5-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
  • HY22 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 126c; 4-period range 79.52c to 102.41c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
  • HY23 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 80c; 4-period range 93.87c to 125.56c. NTA/NAV per share: n/m, below normal range; 4-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.
NTA/NAV per share: n/m, below normal range; 4-period mean n/m, range n/mn/m.

Investment income

Recurring investment-income or revenue-return proxy, excluding fair-value movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.6m; 5-period range $0.7m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$0.6m, below normal range; 5-period mean NZ$1.0m, range NZ$0.7m-NZ$1.2m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.2m; 4-period range $0.3m to $0.9m. Investment income: NZ$0.2m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.5m, range NZ$0.3m-NZ$0.9m.
Investment income: NZ$0.2m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.5m, range NZ$0.3m-NZ$0.9m.

Investment total return

Total income or return including fair-value or capital movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $78.1m; 4-period range $-58.5m to $42.9m. Investment total return: NZ$78.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.5m, range NZ$-58.5m-NZ$42.9m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-58.5m; 4-period range $5.9m to $78.1m. Investment total return: NZ$-58.5m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$38.6m, range NZ$5.9m-NZ$78.1m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-9.4m; 4-period range $6.3m to $12.4m. Investment total return: NZ$-9.4m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$9.8m, range NZ$6.3m-NZ$12.4m.
  • HY24 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $12.4m; 4-period range $-9.4m to $11.3m. Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.
Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.

Net assets attributable

Net asset base attributable to shareholders or unitholders.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high net assets attributable. $244.4m; 4-period range $178.1m to $222.9m. Net assets attributable: NZ$244.4m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$201.5m, range NZ$178.1m-NZ$222.9m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range high net assets attributable. $242.1m; 4-period range $161.9m to $224.7m. Net assets attributable: NZ$242.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$200.4m, range NZ$161.9m-NZ$224.7m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $178.1m; 4-period range $192.8m to $244.4m. Net assets attributable: NZ$178.1m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$218.0m, range NZ$192.8m-NZ$244.4m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $161.9m; 4-period range $201.6m to $242.1m. Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.
Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 16 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$148.6m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

11.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Premium / discount

-19.4%

i

For investment companies, price compared with reported NTA.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.08

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not meaningful for this company type.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

Release date
22 February 2024
Published
22 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY24 vs HY23

Net profit after tax

$10.2m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

−$11.4m

-251.7% ↓ vs $7.5m

Interim dividend per share

1.9c

+12.0% ↑ vs 1.7c

Investment income

$12.4m

+231.4% ↑ vs −$9.4m

Profit before tax

$10.6m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Cash and cash equivalents

$3.5m

-36.8% ↓ vs $5.5m

Total assets

$202.2m

+24.1% ↑ vs $163m

Analysis ofMLN HY24Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Investment total return swung from -NZ$9.4m in HY23 to +NZ$12.4m, sitting above Annolyse's historical baseline (4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range -NZ$9.4m to NZ$11.3m)

That carried PBT to NZ$10.6m (+200.0%) and NPAT to NZ$10.2m (+188.1%). Portfolio total return of 6.6% beat the 5.6% benchmark by 1.0pp, reversing the -12.8pp underperformance in the prior comparable. NTA per share recovered to $0.94 from $0.80 (still within the company's historical range of $0.80-$1.26x). Net assets reached NZ$201.6m, within the historical range. The interim dividend was lifted to 1.86 cps from 1.66 cps (+12%).

What matters

Result is capital-gains-driven, not income-driven

  • Of the NZ$12.4m total return, dividend, interest and other income was just NZ$0.4m – within the historical range (mean NZ$0.5m). The remainder is fair-value movement on the portfolio. This matters because NPAT and ROE move with international equity markets, not with a stable income stream.

  • Distribution coverage by running income remains thin. Investment income covered only 7.9% of distributions paid in the period. The vehicle continues to fund distributions primarily from realised gains and capital, which is structural for a listed investment company but means distribution capacity is dependent on portfolio performance rather than recurring yield.

  • Benchmark-relative outperformance returned, against a weak benchmark. The 1.0pp excess return reverses last year's -12.8pp gap, but the 5.6% benchmark itself sits at the lower edge of the company's historical range (mean 8.8%). The win came against a low bar, not against a strong market.

Expectations

No forward target, expense ratio, or NAV-discount management framework was disclosed in this release

The supplied historical baseline frames this result as exceptional rather than typical: investment total return at NZ$12.4m sits at the top of the 4-period range, and portfolio total return of 6.6% versus a 0.4% historical mean is similarly outsized. The release does not support an expectation that this run-rate repeats; it supports a read that HY23's loss has been recovered and NTA per share has rebuilt to $0.94, still 6 cents below the historical mean of $1.00.

Quality of result

The result reflects portfolio mark-to-market gains rather than recurring earnings

The NZ$11.9m profit on investments disclosed in the release dwarfs running income of NZ$0.4m, so ROE of 5.1% (above the historical range, vs -7.1% prior) should be read as a portfolio-return measure, not an operating-return measure. Capital-gains-driven NPAT is normal for this vehicle, but it is volatile by definition – the same line was -NZ$9.4m a year ago.

The effective tax rate of 3.9% (vs -9.1% prior) is low because fair-value gains on the portfolio are largely not currently taxable until realised; this is structural to the investment-company vehicle, not a one-off benefit. The payout ratio versus NPAT fell to 38.1%, below the historical range of 55.1%-132.5% (mean 84.3%), but this is an arithmetic consequence of the inflated NPAT denominator rather than a deliberate retention policy, given the per-share distribution actually rose.

Unresolved

Open questions

What proportion of the NZ$11.9m profit on investments was realised versus unrealised mark-to-market at 31 December 2023?
How does the Board view distribution sustainability when running investment income covers only 7.9% of distributions paid?
What is the current management expense ratio, which was not disclosed in this interim release?
Why did portfolio outperformance against the benchmark narrow to just 1.0pp despite the prior-year recovery setup?
How is the discount or premium to the $0.94 NTA per share being managed through buy-backs, warrants, or distribution policy?

This briefing cannot assess the realised-versus-unrealised split of portfolio gains, the current management expense ratio, or where the listed share price sits relative to the disclosed NAV per share.

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What proportion of the NZ$11.9m profit on investments was realised versus unrealised mark-to-market at 31 December 2023?Why does "Result is capital-gains-driven, not income-driven" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY24?What should I watch next for MLN after HY24?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

MLN - Commentary for interim period 2024

HY24 / results release

MLN - Interim financial statements for period 31 Dec 23 incl review report

HY24 / financial report

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement - 31 Dec 2023

HY24 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

MLN - Commentary for the interim period 2023

HY23 / results release

MLN - Interim financial statements for period 31 Dec 2022 incl review report

HY23 / financial report

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement 31 Dec 2022

HY23 / results announcement

Full-year context

Marlin Global 2023 Annual Report

FY23 / financial report

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