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Marlin Global (MLN) / HY25

Marlin's 3.7% portfolio return lagged the 10.5% benchmark by 6.8 points

NTA per share rose 8.5% to $1.02 and dividend income hit an unprecedented $0.9m, but benchmark underperformance is the central read.

Investment Companies / Listed investment company

NTA/NAV per share

Net tangible asset or net asset value per share, shown in per-share cents for chart readability.

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  • HY22 MLN: Unprecedented high nta/nav per share. 1.26x; 4-period range 0.8x to 1.02x. NTA/NAV per share: 1.26x, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 0.93x, range 0.80x-1.02x.
  • FY22 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 0.89x; 4-period range 0.93x to 30x. NTA/NAV per share: 0.89x, below normal range; 4-period mean 8.31x, range 0.93x-30.00x.
  • HY23 MLN: Outside range low nta/nav per share. 0.8x; 4-period range 0.94x to 1.26x. NTA/NAV per share: 0.80x, below normal range; 4-period mean 1.04x, range 0.94x-1.26x.
NTA/NAV per share: 0.80x, below normal range; 4-period mean 1.04x, range 0.94x-1.26x.

Investment income

Recurring investment-income or revenue-return proxy, excluding fair-value movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.6m; 4-period range $0.7m to $1.2m. Investment income: NZ$0.6m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$1.0m, range NZ$0.7m-NZ$1.2m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range low investment income. $0.2m; 4-period range $0.3m to $0.9m. Investment income: NZ$0.2m, below normal range; 4-period mean NZ$0.5m, range NZ$0.3m-NZ$0.9m.
  • HY25 MLN: Unprecedented high investment income. $0.9m; 4-period range $0.2m to $0.5m. Investment income: NZ$0.9m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$0.3m, range NZ$0.2m-NZ$0.5m.
Investment income: NZ$0.9m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$0.3m, range NZ$0.2m-NZ$0.5m.

Investment total return

Total income or return including fair-value or capital movement where disclosed.

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  • FY21 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $78.1m; 4-period range $-58.5m to $42.9m. Investment total return: NZ$78.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.5m, range NZ$-58.5m-NZ$42.9m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-58.5m; 4-period range $5.9m to $78.1m. Investment total return: NZ$-58.5m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$38.6m, range NZ$5.9m-NZ$78.1m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low investment total return. $-9.4m; 4-period range $6.3m to $12.4m. Investment total return: NZ$-9.4m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$9.8m, range NZ$6.3m-NZ$12.4m.
  • HY24 MLN: Outside range high investment total return. $12.4m; 4-period range $-9.4m to $11.3m. Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.
Investment total return: NZ$12.4m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$4.4m, range NZ$-9.4m-NZ$11.3m.

Net assets attributable

Net asset base attributable to shareholders or unitholders.

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  • FY21 MLN: Unprecedented high net assets attributable. $244.4m; 4-period range $178.1m to $222.9m. Net assets attributable: NZ$244.4m, unprecedented high; 4-period mean NZ$201.5m, range NZ$178.1m-NZ$222.9m.
  • HY22 MLN: Outside range high net assets attributable. $242.1m; 4-period range $161.9m to $224.7m. Net assets attributable: NZ$242.1m, above normal range; 4-period mean NZ$200.4m, range NZ$161.9m-NZ$224.7m.
  • FY22 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $178.1m; 4-period range $192.8m to $244.4m. Net assets attributable: NZ$178.1m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$218.0m, range NZ$192.8m-NZ$244.4m.
  • HY23 MLN: Unprecedented low net assets attributable. $161.9m; 4-period range $201.6m to $242.1m. Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.
Net assets attributable: NZ$161.9m, unprecedented low; 4-period mean NZ$220.4m, range NZ$201.6m-NZ$242.1m.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Prices as at close, 8 June 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$181.2m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

9.3%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Premium / discount

-15.8%

i

For investment companies, price compared with reported NTA.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not useful for this reporting shape.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

Release date
21 February 2025
Published
22 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Net profit after tax

$8.1m

-20.6% ↓ vs $10.2m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$8.4m

+173.6% ↑ vs −$11.4m

Interim dividend per share

2.0c

+10.2% ↑ vs 1.9c

Profit before tax

$9.3m

-12.3% ↓ vs $10.6m

Cash and cash equivalents

$9.5m

+173.7% ↑ vs $3.5m

Total assets

$230.9m

+14.2% ↑ vs $202.2m

What changed

The portfolio returned 3.7% for the half against a 10.5% benchmark, a 6.8 percentage point shortfall, reversing the prior period's 1.0 point outperformance

Investment total return (including fair-value movements) fell 8.6% to $11.3m, profit before tax fell 12.3% to $9.3m, and net profit after tax fell 20.6% to $8.1m.

The balance sheet strengthened on absolute measures. Net assets attributable rose 11.5% to $224.7m, NTA per share rose 8.5% to $1.02, and dividend, interest and other investment income hit $0.9m, an unprecedented high against Annolyse's four-period historical baseline of $0.3m (range $0.2m–$0.5m). The interim dividend declared was 2.05 cents per share, up 10.2%, with 4.05 cents paid during the half.

What matters

Benchmark underperformance is the headline read

For an investment company, the 6.8 point gap between Marlin's 3.7% portfolio return and the 10.5% benchmark is more material than the headline NPAT decline. The benchmark's 10.5% sits at the upper edge of Annolyse's historical baseline (mean 7.5%), so the relative shortfall reflects portfolio selection in a strong market rather than weak market conditions. A single half is not a trend, but it inverts the prior period's modest outperformance.

Distribution coverage from recurring income remains thin. Dividend and interest income of $0.9m covers only 15.9% of the $5.5m distributed to shareholders during the period. That is roughly double the prior-period coverage of 7.9%, but distributions remain overwhelmingly funded by realised and unrealised portfolio gains rather than yield. This matters because in any half where mark-to-market gains reverse, distributions draw on capital.

Earnings movement is largely a tax-rate effect. PBT fell 12.3% but NPAT fell 20.6%, an 8.3 percentage point gap explained by an effective tax rate of 12.7% versus 3.9% in the prior comparable. PBT is the cleaner operating read; both PBT and NPAT growth sit within Annolyse's historical range for this issuer.

Expectations

No forward targets, guidance, or seasonality framework was supplied, so this release cannot be judged against management expectations

For a listed investment company, the natural benchmark is the stated index comparator: on that test, the half underperformed, and the prior period's outperformance did not extend. NTA per share of $1.02 sits at the upper edge of the four-period historical range (mean $0.98), confirming that absolute wealth creation has continued even as relative performance weakened.

The release does not support a forward read on whether the benchmark gap is a stock-selection issue, a sector-tilt issue, or a currency timing issue, because no portfolio attribution detail was supplied in the excerpts available.

Quality of result

The reported profit is dominated by portfolio gains rather than recurring yield

Of the $11.3m investment total return, only $0.9m is recurring dividend, interest and other income; the balance is profits on investments, which are mark-to-market driven and reverse in down markets. That composition is structural for an investment company, but it means the $8.1m NPAT is not a durable run-rate.

Two quality positives sit alongside the benchmark issue. Recurring investment income is at an unprecedented high versus the four-period baseline, lifting the floor under coverage. Cash and equivalents rose to $9.5m from $3.5m, and operating cash inflows of $8.4m reversed an $11.4m outflow in the prior comparable, reflecting investment activity timing rather than an operating quality signal.

ROE of 3.6% sits at the upper edge of Annolyse's historical range (mean 0.6%, range -7.1% to 5.1%) but is down from 5.1% in the prior comparable. The payout ratio against NPAT rose to 55.1% from 38.1%, which is sustainable only if portfolio gains continue at recent rates.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did the portfolio trail its benchmark by 6.8 points in a half when the benchmark itself sat at the upper edge of its historical range?
What stock-level or sector-tilt decisions drove the relative shortfall, and have they been reversed?
How sustainable is the unprecedented $0.9m of recurring investment income, and does it reflect a structural shift toward higher-yielding holdings?
Will distribution coverage from recurring income improve, or will distributions continue to be substantially funded from capital gains?
What drove the effective tax rate to 12.7% from 3.9%, and is that the new baseline?

This briefing cannot assess portfolio attribution, individual holding performance, or management's expectations for benchmark-relative returns over the remainder of FY25.

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Why did the portfolio trail its benchmark by 6.8 points in a half when the benchmark itself sat at the upper edge of its historical range?Why does "Benchmark underperformance is the headline read" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for MLN after HY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

MLN - Commentary for Interim Period to 31 December 2024

HY25 / results release↗

MLN - Interim Financial Statements for period to 31 Dec 2024 including review report

HY25 / financial report↗

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement - 31 December 2024

HY25 / results announcement↗

Prior comparable period

MLN - Commentary for interim period 2024

HY24 / results release↗

MLN - Interim financial statements for period 31 Dec 23 incl review report

HY24 / financial report↗

MLN - Preliminary half year announcement - 31 Dec 2023

HY24 / results announcement↗

Full-year context

Marlin Global 2024 Annual Report

FY24 / financial report↗

Release context

Marlin ASM Presentation 6 November 2024

HY25 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 8.3pp, with a distortion flag in the result.

→

Dividend coverage and payout pressure

Dividend payout versus NPAT is 55.1%.

→

Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was -8.6% for this reporting period.

→

ROE and capital efficiency

ROE was 3.6%, -1.5pp versus the prior comparable period.

→
This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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