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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

PBT fell 94.4% on flat revenue as NZ segment margins collapsed

Revenue held flat but PBT fell 94.4% while strong cash conversion rests on unprecedented low debtor and inventory days.

MPG metric context

No comparable metric history is available for this result.

Not enough chartable history yet. This panel will populate as comparable periods are published.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$20.7m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

i

Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.

EPS

-0.04

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

2.62x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

1.61x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.34x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
22 November 2021
Published
22 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY22 vs HY21

Revenue

$116.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$12.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$0.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$9.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

$3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$0.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$13.7m

+58.6% ↑ vs $8.6m

Total assets

$241.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofMPG HY22Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Revenue was essentially flat at NZ$116.9m (-0.1%) versus HY21, but profit before tax fell 94.4% to NZ$0.6m from NZ$10.7m, and net profit after tax fell 94.7% to NZ$0.4m from NZ$7.6m

The PBT-to-NPAT growth gap is only 0.3 percentage points, so this is not a tax story — it is an operating earnings collapse on stable top-line volume.

The driver is segment economics: New Zealand's result fell from NZ$12.8m to NZ$4.1m and Australia swung from a NZ$0.4m profit to a NZ$0.7m loss, with management citing Covid-19 restrictions and shipping disruption. Operating cash flow fell 49.4% to NZ$9.9m from NZ$19.6m, though net debt / EBITDA of 3.79x remains within the company's normal historical range.

What matters

Earnings collapse is a segment-margin issue, not a headline distortion

New Zealand still carries a 44.4% gross margin, but its dollar result more than halved, and Australia turned loss-making. This matters because it signals underlying cost inflation and freight disruption are compressing profitability across both geographies, not a one-off accounting item.

Cash conversion looks strong but is working-capital assisted. OCF/EBITDA of 78.6% sits at the upper edge of the historical range (mean 47.6%), but this is supported by debtor days at an unprecedented low of 43.7 days (versus a 52.6-day mean) and inventory days at an unprecedented low of 34.1 days (versus a 42.7-day mean). This means part of the strong cash read is a working-capital release rather than durable operating cash generation, so conversion could normalize lower as balances rebuild.

Capex intensity rose sharply. Capex grew 284.2% to NZ$7.3m, taking capex to 6.2% of revenue from 1.6% prior. FCF/NPAT of 627.2% appears very strong but is inflated by the tiny NPAT base, so it should not be read as an improvement in underlying free cash generation.

Expectations

No stated targets are disclosed for FY22

The supplied second-half shape context shows HY21 represented 50.4% of FY21 revenue and 88.5% of FY21 NPAT, meaning the second half has historically carried the bulk of annual profit delivery. To match FY21's full-year NPAT of NZ$8.5m, the second half of FY22 would need to deliver about 19.4x the current half's NZ$0.4m NPAT — a steep implied bar with no guidance provided to assess feasibility.

Absent stated targets, this result supports only a description of first-half weakness; it does not support a conclusion about full-year trajectory either way.

Quality of result

The reported earnings quality is weak on a returns basis: ROE fell to 1.0% from 18.2%, and both PBT and NPAT declined by roughly 94% on flat revenue, indicating a genuine margin compression rather than a comparability artefact

The stronger-looking cash conversion figure is partly timing-driven, reflecting unprecedented low debtor and inventory days rather than a structural improvement in collections or throughput, so it should be treated cautiously as a forward indicator.

Balance-sheet metrics are more reassuring: leverage of 3.79x sits within the historical range, and cash on hand rose to NZ$13.7m from NZ$8.6m. But the rise in capex to 6.2% of revenue means less of operating cash flow is available for other uses even as gross OCF still covers investment.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did the New Zealand segment result fall from NZ$12.8m to NZ$4.1m, and is the cited shipping and Covid-19 disruption expected to persist into the second half?
Whether the unprecedented low debtor days (43.7) and inventory days (34.1) reflect a sustainable working-capital efficiency gain or a one-off collection and destocking push that will reverse?
What is driving the Australian segment's swing to a NZ$0.7m loss, and what remediation is planned?
Does management see a credible path to the roughly 19.4x second-half NPAT step-up implied by matching FY21's full-year NZ$8.5m result, absent any stated guidance?

This briefing cannot assess whether the working-capital release supporting current cash conversion will reverse in the second half, since no forward guidance or interim-context data was supplied.

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Why did the New Zealand segment result fall from NZ$12.8m to NZ$4.1m, and is the cited shipping and Covid-19 disruption expected to persist into the second half?Why does "Earnings collapse is a segment-margin issue, not a headline distortion" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY22?What should I watch next for MPG after HY22?

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Sources

Current period

1. MPG 1H22 Results Announcement

HY22 / results announcement

1. MPG 1H22 Results Announcement

HY22 / results release

2. MPG 1H22 Interim Report

HY22 / financial report

3. MPG 1H22 Results Presentation

HY22 / results presentation

Prior comparable period

1. MPG 1H21 Results Announcement

HY21 / results announcement

1. MPG 1H21 Results Announcement

HY21 / results release

2. MPG 1H21 Interim Report

HY21 / financial report

Full-year context

1. MPG FY21 results announcement

FY21 / results announcement

1. MPG FY21 results announcement

FY21 / results release

3. MPG FY21 Annual Report

FY21 / financial report

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