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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

EBITDA up 27% but operating cash fell 79% on working-capital build

The agri-sector earnings recovery is real at the operating line, but $23.8m of working-capital absorption pushed cash conversion to 22.1% and lifted

PGW revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY25 was $570.3m, versus $560.9m in HY24.

PGW EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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HY25 was 7.3%, versus 6.5% in HY24.

PGW operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY25 was -$31m, versus -$6.8m in HY24.

PGW working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY25 was $49m, versus -$26.6m in HY24.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$171.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

10.98x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.21

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

0.24x

i

P/E compared with recent earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

4.03x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

3.65x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.94x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

3.7%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
12 August 2025
Published
20 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY25 vs FY24

Revenue

$975.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$56.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$10.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$12.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

6.5c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

$26.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$14m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$2.6m

-31.0% ↓ vs $3.8m

Analysis ofPGW FY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Reported earnings recovered sharply against weak FY24 comparatives: revenue rose 6.5% to $975.3m, operating EBITDA grew 27.1% to $56.1m, and profit before tax rose 164.2% to $14.0m

NPAT of $10.7m (+245.2%) is flattered by the effective tax rate normalising to 23.8% from 42.5%, so PBT growth is the cleaner operating read.

Cash quality moved in the opposite direction. Operating cash flow fell 78.5% to $12.4m, and cash conversion (OCF/EBITDA) dropped to 22.1% from 130.7%. Operating working capital built by $23.8m, driven by a $19.4m rise in trade debtors to $129.0m. Gross borrowings rose 40% to $88.2m, taking net debt/EBITDA to 1.52x from 1.34x.

What matters

Cash conversion is the dominant issue

Capital raise adds balance-sheet context, with NZ$100m capital raised, but borrowings and gearing are the direct leverage evidence.

OCF/EBITDA at 22.1% versus 130.7% reflects $23.8m of working-capital absorption. Debtor days extended to 48.3 from 43.6, and free cash flow pre-lease swung to -$5.0m from +$34.9m. The reported earnings recovery is therefore not yet showing up in cash, which matters because the higher receivables balance has been funded with debt rather than internally generated cash.

The second half was loss-making. HY25 delivered $16.0m of NPAT and $41.4m of EBITDA. That means the implied H2 contribution was a $5.3m net loss on $14.8m of EBITDA, even though revenue was reasonably balanced (H1 took 58.5% of the year). The FY recovery is real but is concentrated in the first half, so projecting an H1 run-rate forward would overstate the underlying earnings trajectory.

Leverage stepped up. Gross borrowings rose to $88.2m and net debt/EBITDA moved to 1.52x. The increase funded working capital rather than capex, which fell 23.7% to $17.4m (1.8% of revenue). This narrows balance-sheet headroom if receivables do not release in FY26.

Expectations

Management does not provide an FY26 target in this release, so judgement rests on what FY25 itself shows

Against the FY25 EBITDA guidance reaffirmed at HY25 ($51m), the delivered $56.1m is a modest beat. However, the very strong first-half / loss-making second-half shape means models built on H1 momentum risk overstating run-rate earnings.

The H2 swing is what matters most for setting FY26 expectations: it suggests either seasonal phasing different from FY24 or genuine softness in the back half of the year. Without forward-work disclosure or a stated FY26 target, the release does not support a clean projection of either earnings or cash conversion into next year.

Quality of result

The operating recovery looks genuine at the earnings line

PBT growth of 164.2% from a low FY24 base, combined with EBITDA margin expansion, reflects improving conditions in the agri-sector. NPAT growth of 245.2% overstates progress because the prior period carried an unusually high 42.5% effective tax rate; the 23.8% current ETR is closer to a normal run-rate, so the cleaner operating read is PBT.

Cash quality is the weak link. Working-capital absorption of $23.8m exceeded the entire year's NPAT and pushed FCF pre-lease to -$5.0m, giving FCF/NPAT of -47.2%. The full-year dividend of 6.5cps (final 4.0cps) was not covered by free cash flow on a pre-lease basis, and the cash shortfall plus higher trade debtors was funded by additional debt drawn during the year. The 46.1% NPAT payout ratio looks moderate on the income statement but understates the cash strain because reported NPAT is itself not converting to cash. On a durability read, the earnings recovery is exposed to continued agri-sector improvement and to whether H2 weakness persists, while the cash result is balance-sheet-assisted rather than self-generated.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why did NPAT swing from $16.0m in H1 to an implied $5.3m loss in H2, and is the driver seasonal phasing, market softening, or one-off margin pressure?
How much of the $19.4m trade-debtor build is expected to release in early FY26, and what caused debtor days to extend by roughly five days?
How will management fund working capital and the dividend in FY26 given net debt/EBITDA at 1.52x and FCF pre-lease already negative?
Is the 23.8% effective tax rate a sustainable run-rate, or did one-off items in either year distort the year-on-year comparison?
What is the FY26 EBITDA outlook, given no explicit guidance was provided in this release?

This briefing cannot assess whether the H2 weakness reflects seasonal phasing or trend deterioration, because the release does not provide a segmental or category walk between H1 and the implied H2.

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Why did NPAT swing from $16.0m in H1 to an implied $5.3m loss in H2, and is the driver seasonal phasing, market softening, or one-off margin pressure?Why does "Cash conversion is the dominant issue" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY25?What should I watch next for PGW after FY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

PGW Financial Statements_FY to 30 June 2025

FY25 / financial report

PGW NZX Template Results Announcement FY to 30 June 2025

FY25 / results announcement

PGW Results Announcement FY to 30 June 2025

FY25 / results release

Prior comparable period

Annual Report for Financial Year to 30 June 2024

FY24 / financial report

Sustainability Report for Financial Year to 30 June 2024

FY24 / results announcement

Sustainability Report for Financial Year to 30 June 2024

FY24 / results release

Interim context

NZX Results Announcement Format to 31 December 2024

HY25 / results announcement

PGW Half Year Report to 31 December 2024

HY25 / financial report

PGW Half Year Results Announcement to 31 December 2024

HY25 / results release

PGW HY Presentation to 31 December 2024

HY25 / results presentation

Release context

PGW Guidance Update

FY24 / commentary

PGW Guidance Update

FY24 / commentary

Annual Shareholders Meeting Presentation 2024

HY25 / commentary

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