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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

PBT rose 191.7% to $10.5m as margins and cash conversion stepped up

Margin and cash-conversion gains look durable, but a prior-year tax distortion exaggerates the NPAT swing from a $8.5m loss to a $7.0m profit.

RAD revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY25 was $175.3m, versus $168.7m in FY24.

RAD EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • FY23 RAD FY: Outside range low ebitda margin. 9.7%; 3-period range 12.4% to 13.7%. EBITDA margin: 9.7%, below normal range; 3-period mean 13.2%, range 12.4%-13.7%.
EBITDA margin: 9.7%, below normal range; 3-period mean 13.2%, range 12.4%-13.7%.

RAD operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY25 was $20.1m, versus $14.1m in FY24.

RAD working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY25 was -$1.5m, versus -$0.5m in HY24.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 3 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$123.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

12.98x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.03

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

0.36x

i

P/E compared with recent earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

7.01x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

13.63x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

1.62x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

5.1%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
21 May 2025
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY25 vs FY24

Revenue

$175.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$23.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$20.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

1.4c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$10.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$339.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofRAD FY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

St Allisa sale is result context, with NZ$13.6m acquisition price; operating metrics remain the main read

Radius delivered EBITDA growth of 12.3% to $23.5m on revenue of $175.3m (+3.9%), and operating cash flow rose 42.2% to $20.1m. The headline NPAT swing from a $8.5m loss to a $7.0m profit looks dramatic, but the cleaner operating read is PBT, which grew 191.7% to $10.5m. The prior-period effective tax rate of 335.8% pulled FY24 NPAT into loss territory even though PBT was positive; this year's 29.4% effective rate normalises that distortion. Net debt fell roughly 8% to $67.7m, taking net debt/EBITDA to 2.9x from 3.5x. Aged care contributed roughly 93% of group revenue, with retirement village and group support each below 3%.

What matters

PBT, not NPAT, is the operating read

PBT grew 191.7% versus reported NPAT growth of 182.9%, an 8.1 percentage-point gap that reflects the prior year's anomalous tax charge. The underlying operating improvement is closer to the 12.3% EBITDA lift than the loss-to-profit headline implies, which means investors should not extrapolate triple-digit profit growth into FY26.

Cash conversion improved materially. OCF/EBITDA rose to 85.5% from 67.5%, supported by stable working capital. Operating working capital fell roughly $0.3m and receivable days tightened to 24.0 from 25.5, so margin gains converted into cash available for debt paydown and dividends rather than locking up in receivables.

Deleveraging adds financial flexibility. Net debt/EBITDA stepped down to 2.9x from 3.5x, and capex of $6.4m (3.6% of revenue) remained well within OCF. The lower leverage and stronger interest coverage create headroom for the capital-light growth strategy management is executing without forcing equity issuance.

Expectations

No FY26 revenue or earnings targets are disclosed in the supplied materials

Against the shape context, HY25 contributed only 41.1% of full-year EBITDA and 28.0% of full-year NPAT, indicating a meaningfully second-half-weighted result. Implied H2 EBITDA of $13.8m and H2 NPAT of $5.1m show that operating momentum accelerated through the year. Whether that exit run-rate is sustainable into FY26 is not addressed in the release, so forward expectations rest on continued occupancy and EBITDAR-per-bed gains rather than on disclosed guidance.

Quality of result

The result reads as largely durable rather than timing-driven

EBITDA margin expansion (roughly 13.4% versus 12.4% prior) is consistent with management's stated lift in EBITDAR per occupied bed, and the cash-conversion improvement is supported by working capital that moved slightly favourably rather than by a one-off release. FCF before lease payments of $13.7m comfortably covers the disclosed 1.45 cps full-year dividend, and the company-disclosed AFFO payout ratio of 47% leaves room for both deleveraging and selective growth.

The main quality caveat sits in the tax line. The prior comparable's 335.8% effective tax rate generated a reported loss from a positive PBT, so any framing of "loss to profit" overstates the operating turnaround. Capex rose 56.1% in absolute terms to $6.4m; it remains modest at 3.6% of revenue but is worth watching if the capital-light strategy increasingly relies on leased rather than owned beds, because the cash-conversion advantage may compress if maintenance capex normalises higher.

Unresolved

Open questions

What share of the EBITDA lift came from organic occupancy and EBITDAR-per-bed gains versus partial-period contribution from acquired operations?
Why was the FY24 effective tax rate 335.8%, and is any residual deferred-tax volatility expected to recur in FY26?
How sustainable is the implied second-half exit run-rate given seasonality in aged-care funding cycles and occupancy?
What is the ongoing maintenance capex run-rate now that gross capex has stepped up 56.1% year-on-year?
Will the AFFO-based payout policy of 47% be retained as deleveraging continues and growth investment scales?

This briefing cannot assess occupancy trajectory, government funding settings, or integration economics of recently acquired sites because none are quantified in the supplied materials.

Ask about RAD FY25

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What share of the EBITDA lift came from organic occupancy and EBITDAR-per-bed gains versus partial-period contribution from acquired operations?Why does "PBT, not NPAT, is the operating read" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY25?What should I watch next for RAD after FY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

RAD FY25 Audited Financial Statements

FY25 / financial report

RAD FY25 Investor Presentation

FY25 / results presentation

RAD FY25 Media Release

FY25 / media release

RAD FY25 NZX Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

Annual Report 2024

FY24 / financial report

Interim context

RAD 1H25 Interim Report

HY25 / financial report

RAD 1H25 Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation

RAD 1H25 Media Release

HY25 / media release

RAD 1H25 NZX Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement

Release context

RAD Acquires 109 Bed Care Home

FY25 / commentary

RAD Upgrades FY26 Outlook 13.06.25

FY25 / commentary

Amended Annual Meeting Results

HY25 / commentary

Radius Care Provides Update on 1QFY25 and Strategy at ASM

HY25 / commentary

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