Market cap
$116.2m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
Net debt cut 25% and cash conversion improved, but a 94.2% payout sits against a $0.07m cash balance and a higher tax rate.
Revenue context before the current result.
EBITDA margin across covered periods.
Operating cash flow across covered periods.
Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.
Market context
A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.
The latest close and share count context for the market price.
Market cap
$116.2m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.
P/E
12.23x
Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.
EPS
0.03
Recent filing-derived earnings per share.
PEG
0.34x
P/E compared with recent earnings growth.
EV/EBITDA
6.76x
Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.
P/FCF
12.84x
Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.
P/B
1.52x
Market value compared with latest reported equity.
Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.
Dividend yield
5.4%
Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.
Total return
Not available
Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.
Key metrics
HY25 vs HY24
Revenue
$85.4m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
EBITDA
$9.6m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net profit after tax
$2m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net cash inflow from operating activities
$6.6m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Interim dividend per share
0.65c
— vs —
Profit before tax
$2.8m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Cash and cash equivalents
$0.07m
-92.7% ↓ vs $0.91m
Total assets
$330.5m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Analysis ofRAD HY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
What changed
Despite the EBITDA decline, profit before tax grew 75.0% to $2.8m and net profit after tax rose 42.9% to $2.0m, helped by lower interest costs as gross borrowings were cut 25.0% from $97.7m to $73.3m.
Operating cash flow improved 18.0% to $6.6m and cash conversion (OCF/EBITDA) lifted from 53.3% to 68.5%. Capex stepped up to $2.9m (+54.8%), so free cash flow pre-lease was essentially flat at $3.7m. The cash balance ran down to $0.07m from $0.9m, and a fully imputed 0.65 cents per share interim dividend was declared, equating to a 94.2% payout against NPAT.
What matters
Reported EBITDA declined despite revenue growth because the prior comparable included a care home that has since been sold. Management's underlying EBITDA of $10.6m, adjusted for the disposal, is cited as up 14% — a more useful read on operating performance than either the statutory EBITDA decline or the headline NPAT growth.
The NPAT headline overstates underlying earnings improvement. PBT growth of 75.0% is the cleaner operating read because the effective tax rate jumped from 13.6% to 28.6%, dragging NPAT growth down to 42.9%. The 32.1pp gap between PBT and NPAT growth is the most material accounting distortion in this result and means the announcement-headline 39% NPAT growth flatters the operating step-up less than it appears.
Deleveraging is the real balance sheet story. Gross borrowings fell from $97.7m to $73.3m and net debt fell from $96.8m to $73.2m. Net debt to reported EBITDA improved from 9.2x to 7.6x — still elevated for an aged-care operator but moving in the right direction, and the main reason interest costs no longer fully consume EBITDA growth.
Expectations
The HY24 comparable was 50.2% of FY24 EBITDA, suggesting the business is roughly evenly split across halves rather than second-half weighted. Annualising current revenue gives roughly $170.8m, modestly above the $168.7m FY24 base.
The FY24 statutory loss of $8.5m, contrasted with the $1.4m HY24 profit, indicates a materially weaker FY24 second half that is not characteristic of underlying operations and should not be treated as a recurring shape. The release does not explain that prior second-half drag, so the trajectory beyond this half remains an open question.
Quality of result
The operating cash flow improvement is genuine — receivable days fell from 30.1 to 26.4 and operating working capital released $1.5m — so the $6.6m OCF is not balance-sheet assisted in a concerning way. Free cash flow pre-lease at $3.7m exceeded NPAT, giving FCF/NPAT of 188.6%, which supports the durability of reported profit.
However, two factors temper the quality read. First, the EBITDA improvement language relies on an underlying adjustment for the divested care home; the statutory line moved the other way. Second, the 94.2% payout against NPAT, combined with a $0.07m cash balance and capex stepping up 54.8% to 3.4% of revenue, leaves little internal buffer. The dividend is funded out of FCF pre-lease rather than NPAT, but the cash cushion is thin and lease-related cash outflows are not isolated in the supplied data.
Unresolved
This briefing cannot assess occupancy, bed-mix, or per-bed economics beyond the disclosed EBITDAR per bed of $13.4k, because segment margins and operational KPIs are not supplied at the level needed for a like-for-like operating comparison.
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Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
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RAD 1H25 Interim Report
HY25 / financial reportRAD 1H25 Investor Presentation
HY25 / results presentationRAD 1H25 Media Release
HY25 / media releaseRAD 1H25 NZX Results Announcement
HY25 / results announcementInterim Report 2024
HY24 / financial reportMedia Release
HY24 / media releaseNZX Results Announcement
HY24 / results announcementRAD FY24 Audited Financial Statements
FY24 / financial reportRAD FY24 Media Release
FY24 / media releaseAmended Annual Meeting Results
HY25 / commentaryRadius Care Provides Update on 1QFY25 and Strategy at ASM
HY25 / commentaryRelated insights
Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.
Earnings quality and statutory distortions
PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 32.1pp, with a distortion flag in the result.
Leverage and balance-sheet risk
Net debt / EBITDA is 7.59x, -1.63x versus the prior comparable period.
Cash conversion quality
This result converted 68.5% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, +15.2pp versus the prior comparable period.
Dividend coverage and payout pressure
Dividend payout versus NPAT is 94.2%.
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