Market cap
$165.2m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
Booking volumes crashed and cash burn accelerated even as management pointed to a late-year recovery in travel demand.
Comparable chart history for this briefing.
Market context
A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.
The latest close and share count context for the market price.
Market cap
$165.2m
End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.
How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.
P/E
Not available
Not meaningful when recent earnings are negative.
EPS
-0.14
Recent filing-derived earnings per share.
PEG
Not available
Not available for this company right now.
EV/EBITDA
Not available
Not available for this company right now.
P/FCF
Not available
Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.
P/B
1.86x
Market value compared with latest reported equity.
Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.
Dividend yield
0.0%
Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.
Total return
Not available
Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.
Key metrics
FY21 vs FY20
Revenue
$12.4m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net profit after tax
−$29.4m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Net cash inflow from operating activities
−$18m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Profit before tax
−$29m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Cash and cash equivalents
$34.9m
-17.6% ↓ vs $42.4m
Total assets
$111.3m
Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.
Analysis ofSKO FY21Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
What changed
Net profit followed to a $29.4m loss. This is a demand-destruction story, not a like-for-like distortion: Serko's own commentary describes booking volumes falling to as little as 11% of prior-year levels before recovering later in the year.
Operating cash flow swung to an $18.0m outflow, and cash fell to $34.9m from $42.4m despite the $67.5m capital raise completed in October 2020 that was meant to fund the business through the downturn. Total equity rose 60.7% to $102.5m purely on that raise, not on trading performance, so the balance-sheet strength reflects financing, not operating recovery.
What matters
The $18.0m operating outflow against $34.9m of cash means Serko consumed roughly half the capital raise's benefit in a single year; if burn persists near this rate, the raise buys limited additional runway rather than a cushion for a multi-year recovery.
Debtor days spiked to an unprecedented 91.3 days versus a historical average of 27.8 days, even though trade debtors in dollar terms actually fell slightly to $2.6m from $3.8m. This is a denominator effect from the revenue collapse rather than a genuine collections problem, but it means days-based working-capital ratios cannot be read cleanly this period.
Capex intensity fell sharply, with capex at 8.3% of revenue versus 46.2% in the prior year, implying a large pullback in capitalized product development. This matters because reduced investment during the downturn may have protected cash in the short term but raises questions about product pipeline strength heading into any demand recovery.
Expectations
The half-year context shows H1 revenue of $5.1m was 40.7% of the full-year total, while H1 NPAT loss was only 34.4% of the full-year loss, meaning the second half carried a larger share of the annual loss even as management described booking volumes improving toward year end. That combination, improving volumes but a heavier loss weighting in the second half, suggests continued cost retention (management explicitly says it chose to retain resources and capacity for recovery) rather than an operating turn, and it is not yet supported by the cash or margin trajectory.
Quality of result
The near-zero PBT margin and NPAT margin, both flagged as sitting at the upper edge of Serko's recent range, reflect an unusually small revenue base rather than genuine profitability strength, so these should not be read as a margin improvement. The effective tax rate of 0.0% is above the historical average of -4.2%, but with pre-tax losses this is a mechanical outcome of the tax position rather than a distortion worth separate scrutiny. Cash quality is weak: the operating cash outflow was funded by the prior capital raise rather than by internally generated cash, and gross borrowings remain negligible at under $0.1m, so the company carries no debt-service risk but also no cash-flow cushion of its own making.
Unresolved
This briefing cannot assess whether the underlying cost base is scaled appropriately for a sustained recovery, since no segment-level margin or unit-economics detail was provided.
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Ask follow-up questions about Serko's FY21 result.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
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Annual Report
FY21 / financial reportInvestor Presentation
FY21 / results presentationMarket Release
FY21 / results releaseMarket Release - Cover Announcement
FY21 / results announcementAnnual Report
FY20 / financial reportAppendix 2
FY20 / results announcementInvestor Presentation
FY20 / results presentationMarket Release
FY20 / results releaseFinancial Statements
HY21 / financial reportResults Announcement - Market Release
HY21 / results announcementResults Announcement - Market Release
HY21 / results releaseMarket Update Based on Current Trading Conditions
FY20 / commentarySuspension of FY20 Guidance
FY20 / commentaryRelated insights
Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.
Cash conversion quality
This result converted 81.8% of EBITDA to operating cash flow.
Revenue growth context
Revenue growth was -52.0% for this reporting period.
Leverage and balance-sheet risk
Net debt / EBITDA is 1.59x for this result.
ROE and capital efficiency
ROE was -28.2%, -14.1pp versus the prior comparable period.
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