Prior Expectations
FY25
From Serko swings to $1.0m EBITDAF and positive FCF as capex falls 75.7%
Management affirmed FY25 total-income guidance for the current business, but the supplied excerpts do not include a quantified range in parseable form, and no multi-year target was disclosed. The second-half shape implied by the structured data is problematic: HY25 revenue of NZD 35.8m against full-period revenue of NZD 41.5m leaves only NZD 5.7m of implied second-half revenue, while the release narrative describes "Total income $42.7 million, up 18% on 1H24." That pattern is more consistent with a first-half interim being compared against a full prior-year base than with a normally shaped full-year decline, and the briefing treats the revenue trajectory with that caveat.