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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Revenue up 10.5% but FCF swung to -$1.2m on capex and debtor build

Operating cash fell 43.8% as receivable days stretched to 142 and capex hit 11.6% of revenue, reversing prior strong cash generation.

VGL metric context

No comparable metric history is available for this result.

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Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$653.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

343.82x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

21.54x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

4.37x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
27 February 2020
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY19 vs FY18

Revenue

$144.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$31.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$10.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$15.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

3.3c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

$21.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$18.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$19.5m

-43.2% ↓ vs $34.4m

Analysis ofVGL FY19Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Revenue rose 10.5% to $144.5m, but cash generation moved in the opposite direction

Operating cash fell 43.8% to $15.5m, capex stepped up almost six-fold to $16.7m (1.9% of revenue prior, now 11.6%), and pre-lease free cash flow turned negative at -$1.2m against $25.1m in FY18. The cash balance dropped 43.2% to $19.5m.

Reported earnings were softer too: PBT fell 12.4% to $18.4m and NPAT fell 12.2% to $10.8m on a like-for-like basis. The tax rate fell from 38.1% to 30.4%, but that tailwind was not enough to bridge the operating gap. Total liabilities rose 29.8% to $80.1m while equity grew only 2.6%.

By segment, Cinema dominated at $96.3m revenue (66.7% mix) and a 32% segment margin, with Movio at $25.7m and 26%; Corporate (-$8.6m) and Early Stage Investments (-$1.3m) continued to consume group profit.

What matters

Cash conversion deteriorated sharply

  • OCF/EBITDA was 49.8% and FCF pre-lease covered only -11.1% of NPAT, against ~205% prior. This matters because reported EBITDA of $31.1m no longer translates into spendable cash, and an acquisition has been overlaid onto a thinner liquidity base.
  • Working capital absorbed the result. Trade debtors rose 26.9% to $56.2m on 10.5% revenue growth, pushing receivable days from 124 to 142. For a software business with a growing SaaS and recurring mix (now 33% SaaS, 61% recurring), receivables growing nearly three times faster than revenue suggests either lumpy implementation milestones or slower collection from larger circuits — both of which delay the cash payoff from headline growth.
  • Dividend economics tightened. The full-year dividend stepped down from 3.7c to 3.3c per share even as the final component held at 2.1c. Payout against NPAT rose to 47.1% from 30.0%, and FCF pre-lease did not cover the distribution at all this year, against 25.8% coverage prior. ROE eased from 8.4% to 7.1%.

Expectations

The first-half disclosed $67.5m of revenue and $11.8m of EBITDA, implying a stronger second half of ~$77.0m revenue and ~$19.3m EBITDA

Management framed the result as "in line with guidance" with "solid 2H performance," but no quantified FY20 target was supplied, so this briefing has no numeric forward yardstick to test against.

The current-period acquisition overlay matters here: FY20 will start with integration and purchase-accounting effects that the FY19 statements do not yet reflect, so any read-through of FY19 run-rate to FY20 should be tentative until the acquisition perimeter and consideration are disclosed.

Quality of result

PBT down 12.4% is the cleaner operating read — the smaller NPAT decline of 12.2% is flattered by a 770bp drop in the effective tax rate from 38.1% to 30.4%

Even at that lower tax cost, profit still fell on rising revenue, which points to operating margin compression rather than a one-off.

The cash quality is the weaker side of the result. Of the $16.7m capex, $12.6m is capitalised internally generated software, meaning a meaningful share of the FY19 product investment will hit future P&L through amortisation rather than the current period — so reported FY19 margins will be carrying that drag into FY20 onward. Combined with the $11.9m working-capital build, the gap between the $31.1m EBITDA print and the -$1.2m FCF pre-lease outcome is large enough that the result reads more as an investment-phase year than a clean earnings number.

Unresolved

Open questions

What level of receivable days does management consider normal as SaaS mix rises, and why did debtors grow 26.9% on 10.5% revenue growth?
How much of the $12.6m capitalised software will roll into FY20 amortisation, and what is the expected FY20 capex envelope?
What is the consideration, funding mix, and expected revenue/EBITDA contribution of the disclosed acquisition?
Why was the full-year dividend reduced from 3.7c to 3.3c when the final component held at 2.1c, and is the 47.1% NPAT payout the new policy anchor?
What is the path back to positive FCF given $19.5m of cash and continued investment in Early Stage and Corporate?

This briefing cannot assess organic versus acquired growth contribution within segments, churn or retention on the recurring base, or the post-balance-date funding profile of the announced acquisition.

Ask about VGL FY19

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What level of receivable days does management consider normal as SaaS mix rises, and why did debtors grow 26.9% on 10.5% revenue growth?Why does "Cash conversion deteriorated sharply" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY19?What should I watch next for VGL after FY19?

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Sources

Current period

2019 Annual Result Investor Presentation

FY19 / results presentation

2019 Annual Result Market Announcement

FY19 / results release

2019 Financial Statements

FY19 / financial report

NZX Results Announcement - 2019

FY19 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

VGL FY2018 Annual Report

FY18 / financial report

Interim context

2019 Interim Market Announcement

HY19 / results release

2019 Interim Report

HY19 / financial report

2019 Interim Results Announcement Notice

HY19 / results announcement

Release context

Vista Group Investor Day Presentation 2019

FY19 / commentary

Vista Group withdraws guidance and suspends dividend

FY19 / commentary

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