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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

EBITDA margin compressed to 3.6% and PBT loss widened to NZ$9.9m

Revenue gains were absorbed by transformation spend while NZ$11.3m capex turned operating cash improvement into a NZ$21.0m cash drawdown.

VGL revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY20 was $87.5m, versus $144.5m in FY19.

VGL EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY23 VGL HY: Unprecedented low ebitda margin. 3.6%; 4-period range 10.3% to 14.4%. EBITDA margin: 3.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 13.0%, range 10.3%-14.4%.
EBITDA margin: 3.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 13.0%, range 10.3%-14.4%.

VGL operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY20 was $4.1m, versus $15.5m in FY19.

VGL working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY23 was -$9.5m, versus $12.1m in FY20.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$653.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

343.82x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

21.54x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

4.37x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
25 August 2023
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY23 vs HY22

Revenue

$69.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$2.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

−$8.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$6.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Interim dividend per share

0.0c

— vs —

Profit before tax

−$9.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$37.1m

-36.1% ↓ vs $58.1m

Total assets

$227m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofVGL HY23Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Group EBITDA margin compressed to 3.6%, well below the historical baseline of 12.5% (range 10.3%–14.3%), as transformation spend outpaced revenue gains

Revenue rose 55.2% to NZ$69.7m on the canonical comparison, but EBITDA fell from NZ$6.4m to NZ$2.5m, widening the PBT loss from –NZ$2.1m to –NZ$9.9m and the NPAT loss from –NZ$2.8m to –NZ$8.7m. Operating cash inflow improved to NZ$6.2m, yet capex of NZ$11.3m (16.2% of revenue) and other outflows pulled the cash balance NZ$21.0m lower to NZ$37.1m. No interim dividend was declared. Trade debtors fell NZ$16.0m to NZ$30.3m, and gross borrowings fell to NZ$18.9m from NZ$34.6m.

What matters

Margin compression is the central read

EBITDA margin at 3.6% sits 8.9 percentage points below the historical 12.5% mean and outside the historical 10.3%–14.3% range. With revenue materially higher but absolute EBITDA NZ$3.9m lower, the cost base is structurally above the historical norm. This matters because revenue is currently delivering less than a third of the EBITDA economics the business has historically produced.

Headline cash conversion is misleading. OCF/EBITDA at 248.0% looks strong against a 66.1% baseline mean, but the ratio is dominated by a small EBITDA denominator and a NZ$16.0m trade-debtor release (debtor days fell from 187.7 to 79.1, back within the historical range). After NZ$11.3m of capex, FCF pre-lease was –NZ$5.1m, and the cash position fell NZ$21.0m. The favourable conversion classification reflects balance-sheet release, not durable operating strength.

Balance-sheet capacity is narrowing. Total equity fell NZ$20.5m to NZ$144.7m and ROE swung to –6.0% from –1.7%. Gross borrowings were paid down, leaving a net cash position, but the combination of cash drawdown and equity erosion reduces the buffer available to fund continued transformation spend.

Expectations

Vista's reporting shape is heavily second-half-weighted: HY22 was 33.2% of FY22 revenue, with the implied 2H22 at NZ$90.2m revenue and NZ$4.2m EBITDA on a –NZ$18.6m NPAT

HY23 revenue at NZ$69.7m is well above HY22 in absolute terms, but no quantitative full-year guidance, margin target, or forward-work disclosure accompanies this release.

The release describes a "business transformation underway" but does not quantify how long the elevated cost intensity will persist or when EBITDA margin should re-converge toward the historical 10%–14% range. That gap is the key uncertainty the release does not resolve.

Quality of result

The result is durability-thin

Operating cash improvement was working-capital-assisted: a NZ$16.0m debtor collection (debtor days nearly halving) was the dominant source. Net of NZ$11.3m capex, FCF pre-lease was –NZ$5.1m and cash fell NZ$21.0m. This is a balance-sheet-funded half, not a self-funding one.

Revenue growth on the canonical comparison is real, but it has not translated to profit at historical margins, and the gap between PBT growth (–371.4%) and NPAT growth (–210.7%) is largely a tax-line effect — the effective tax rate at 14.1% is at the lower edge of the historical 7.7%–25.0% range and the prior period carried a –23.8% rate, so PBT is the cleaner operating read. ROE at –6.0% versus –1.7% prior confirms the step-down in earned return. Net debt/EBITDA at –7.3x looks more favourable than the historical mean of –2.27x, but that reflects a collapsed EBITDA denominator rather than improved gearing capacity.

Unresolved

Open questions

Why does the release describe HY23 total revenue as "up 12% on 1H22" when the canonical comparison against the supplied prior shows materially stronger growth — is this a recurring-revenue framing or a comparable-period mismatch?
How long does management expect transformation-related cost intensity to persist before EBITDA margin reverts toward the historical 10%–14% range?
Will capex remain near 16.2% of revenue, and what intangibles step-up is still required before software investment moderates?
Given the NZ$21.0m cash drawdown in a single half, what is the operating runway before debt facilities or equity would need to be accessed?
Is the NZ$16.0m debtor collection a one-off cycle effect or a sustained shift in collection terms?

This briefing cannot assess the contracted forward-work backlog, recurring-revenue retention, or customer concentration that would frame transformation payback economics.

Ask about VGL HY23

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Why does the release describe HY23 total revenue as "up 12% on 1H22" when the canonical comparison against the supplied prior shows materially stronger growth — is this a recurring-revenue framing or a comparable-period mismatch?Why does "Margin compression is the central read" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY23?What should I watch next for VGL after HY23?

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Sources

Current period

2023 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY23 / results announcement

2023 Half Year Result Investor Presentation

HY23 / results presentation

2023 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY23 / results release

2023 Interim Report

HY23 / financial report

Prior comparable period

2021 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY22 / results announcement

2021 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY22 / results release

2021 VGL Interim Report

HY22 / financial report

Full-year context

2022 Annual Report

FY22 / financial report

2022 Full Year Media Announcement

FY22 / results release

2022 Full Year NZX Results Announcement

FY22 / results announcement

Release context

2023 Half Year Result Presentation Recording

HY23 / commentary

Vista Group to hold 2023 US Investor Day in Hollywood

HY23 / commentary

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