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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Vista Group EBITDA jumps 38.9% as cloud demand outruns delivery capacity

Revenue grew 10.6% to NZ$77.0m and operating cash flow more than tripled to NZ$14.1m, but the group remained loss-making at PBT.

VGL revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY20 was $87.5m, versus $144.5m in FY19.

VGL EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY23 VGL HY: Unprecedented low ebitda margin. 3.6%; 4-period range 10.3% to 14.4%. EBITDA margin: 3.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 13.0%, range 10.3%-14.4%.
EBITDA margin: 3.6%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean 13.0%, range 10.3%-14.4%.

VGL operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY20 was $4.1m, versus $15.5m in FY19.

VGL working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY23 was -$9.5m, versus $12.1m in FY20.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$653.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

343.82x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.01

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

21.54x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

Not available

i

Not meaningful when free cash flow is negative or unavailable.

P/B

4.37x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
14 August 2025
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Revenue

$77m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$10m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

−$1.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$14.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

−$1.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$222m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofVGL HY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Vista Group's HY25 result is an operating-leverage story

Revenue rose 10.6% to NZ$77.0m, but EBITDA grew 38.9% to NZ$10.0m, lifting EBITDA margin to 13.0% — the upper edge of the supplied historical range (mean 9.4%, range 3.6%–14.3%). PBT loss narrowed 63.9% to NZ$1.3m and NPAT loss narrowed 37.5% to NZ$1.5m.

Cash performance was the more striking shift. Operating cash flow rose to NZ$14.1m from NZ$3.0m a year earlier, OCF/EBITDA conversion lifted to 141.0% from 41.7%, and the group printed pre-lease free cash flow of NZ$5.1m (against negative NZ$6.2m in HY24). It is described as the second consecutive half of being free cash flow positive.

The balance sheet moved to a small net cash position of roughly NZ$3.1m (net debt/EBITDA -0.31x), gross borrowings fell to NZ$18.8m, and total equity rose 3.6% to NZ$142.7m.

What matters

Operating leverage from the Vista Cloud transition is now visible

A 10.6% revenue uplift produced a 38.9% EBITDA uplift and a 63.9% improvement in the PBT loss. EBITDA margin of 13.0% sits at the upper edge of the historical range (mean 9.4%), which means the cost base is no longer scaling with revenue and the cloud mix is finally translating into incremental profitability rather than transition cost. Management's commentary that demand exceeds delivery capacity supports a continued bias to revenue and margin upside, provided hiring and onboarding can keep pace.

Cash generation has stepped up, not just earnings. OCF tripled to NZ$14.1m and pre-lease FCF flipped from -NZ$6.2m to +NZ$5.1m on broadly flat capex (NZ$9.0m vs NZ$9.2m). This matters because earnings remain GAAP-negative; cash is the cleanest evidence that the SaaS economics are real rather than purely accounting reclassifications.

The PBT/NPAT growth gap is tax-driven, not operational. Effective tax rate fell to 7.7% from 25.0% (below the 14.1%–25.0% historical range), so PBT growth of 63.9% is the cleaner operating read, and the 26.4 percentage-point gap to NPAT growth of 37.5% reflects tax mechanics on a small loss base rather than any deterioration in underlying earnings.

Expectations

No formal FY25 guidance is supplied

However, the supplied second-half shape context shows HY24 contributed only 46.4% of FY24 revenue and 33.3% of FY24 EBITDA, so the business is structurally second-half-weighted. Annualising HY25 revenue gives roughly NZ$154m, but a similar H2 weighting would imply meaningfully more — directionally consistent with management's reference to upgraded long-term aspirations and accelerating delivery to meet demand.

What the release does support: continued revenue and margin expansion into H2, and a credible path to a full-year FCF positive print. What it does not support: a quantified FY25 EBITDA margin target, a delivery-capacity timeline, or a clear date for sustained NPAT positivity. The gap matters because the equity story now hinges on H2 follow-through after the H1 margin expansion.

Quality of result

The earnings improvement looks operationally driven rather than accounting-assisted

EBITDA margin expansion at 13.0% sits within the supplied historical range, debtor days at 67.8 are at the lower edge of the historical range (mean 111.4 days), and ROE has improved to -1.1% from -1.7%. Cash conversion of 141.0% is classified as within the normal historical range (mean 101.8%), which means the strong cash print is consistent with prior behaviour rather than a one-off working-capital release.

That said, two qualifiers temper the read. First, operating working capital rose NZ$13.8m, including a NZ$10.8m contract assets balance disclosed in the prior period at zero — typically revenue earned but not yet billed, which has not yet converted to cash and could weigh on subsequent periods. Second, the 7.7% effective tax rate (below the 14.1%–25.0% historical range) is unlikely to repeat at this level, so headline NPAT growth flatters operating progress less than PBT growth does.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the composition and expected cash-conversion timing of the NZ$10.8m contract assets balance, and does it reverse working-capital strength in H2?
Why did the effective tax rate fall to 7.7% from 25.0%, and what is a normalised rate for FY25 and beyond?
How much does delivery capacity need to expand to meet stated client demand, and over what timeframe?
What is the upgraded long-term EBITDA margin aspiration in quantified terms, and what mix of cloud penetration is assumed to reach it?
When does management expect a sustained NPAT-positive run rate rather than a half-by-half FCF-positive print?

This briefing cannot assess the quality, contractual structure, or churn profile of the Vista Cloud client cohort underlying the demand commentary.

Ask about VGL HY25

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is the composition and expected cash-conversion timing of the NZ$10.8m contract assets balance, and does it reverse working-capital strength in H2?Why does "Operating leverage from the Vista Cloud transition is now visible" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for VGL after HY25?

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Sources

Current period

2025 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement

2025 Half Year Result Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation

2025 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY25 / results release

2025 Interim Report

HY25 / financial report

Prior comparable period

2024 Half Year NZX Results Announcement

HY24 / results announcement

2024 Half Year Result Media Announcement

HY24 / results release

2024 Interim Report

HY24 / financial report

Full-year context

2024 Annual Report

FY24 / financial report

2024 Full Year NZX Results Announcement

FY24 / results announcement

2024 Full Year Result Media Announcement

FY24 / results release

Release context

2025 Half Year Result Presentation Recording & Transcript

HY25 / commentary

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