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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Sunfield sale adds perspective to Winton Land's operating read

The NZ$103.1m disclosed value from the Sunfield sale sits behind the period; operating metrics remain the main read.

WIN revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $32.4m, versus $81.1m in HY25.

WIN EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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HY26 was 2.4%, versus -0.1% in HY25.

WIN operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was -$9.9m, versus $27.1m in HY25.

WIN working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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FY26 was -$53.4m, versus -$17.4m in HY25.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 25 August 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$409.3m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

18.03x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.08

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

0.15x

i

P/E compared with recent earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

4.6x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.74x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
26 August 2026
Published
26 August 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$188.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$45.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$22.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$105.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

$38.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$36.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$38.8m

+91.3% ↑ vs $20.3m

Total assets

$695.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofWIN FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Sunfield sale is result context, with NZ$103.1m disclosed value; operating metrics remain the main read

Winton's FY26 revenue rose 21.5% to $188.8m, and EBITDA more than doubled (+114.1%) to $45.6m, but the standout shift was on the balance sheet: net debt fell from $99.4m to $5.4m, cutting net debt to EBITDA from 4.67x to 0.12x. This was accompanied by a $53.4m (-23.7%) reduction in inventories as pre-sold residential units settled, and operating cash flow of $105.9m, up 150.2% on the prior year.

The full-year growth figures mask a heavily second-half-weighted profile. HY26 carried only 17.2% of full-year revenue and posted a net loss, meaning almost all of FY26's earnings landed in the second half. This matters because the FY26-versus-FY25 comparison should be read against that lumpy settlement timing rather than as evidence of a smooth, linear improvement in trading.

What matters

Deleveraging is the most consequential development: gross borrowings fell 56% to $44.2m and net debt to EBITDA moved from 4.67x to 0.12x, which materially improves financial flexibility for a developer whose model depends on project-level debt facilities

This reduces refinancing risk heading into future development stages.

Profit before tax grew 138.8% to $36.3m while net profit after tax grew a slower 120.4% to $22.7m, an 18.4 percentage point gap explained by the effective tax rate rising from 32.0% to 37.5%. PBT growth is the cleaner operating read here because the tax movement, not a one-off item, accounts for the divergence from NPAT.

The inventory reduction that funded much of the cash generation reflects settlement of previously pre-sold units rather than a change in the underlying sales rate, so it signals timing of realisation more than a structural improvement in the business's cash economics; whether the pace continues depends on the forward pre-sale book, which is not quantified in this release.

Expectations

No dividend policy, payout ratio, or forward earnings target was disclosed in this release, so there is no explicit benchmark against which to judge FY26 relative to management's own commitments

The only forward-shape context available is the interim result itself, which showed a net loss and revenue running at 17.2% of the full year.

That pattern means investors should expect settlement timing to keep producing uneven half-year results rather than assume the FY26 shape is now the new steady-state run rate; the release does not support extrapolating the second-half pace forward without further disclosure on the pre-sale pipeline.

Quality of result

Cash generation looks genuinely strong on its face: operating cash flow to EBITDA was 232.4%, up from 198.9% in the prior year, and free cash flow to NPAT reached 392.8% versus 221.4% previously

Both periods already show conversion well above one-to-one, so this is not a deterioration story, but a large share of the improvement traces to the inventory drawdown as pre-sold units settled rather than to a structural change in margins.

The profit growth itself looks broadly durable at the PBT level, supported by margin improvement in the dominant residential segment (37.3% versus 31.3% gross margin) and in the commercial segment (74.5% versus 73.9%). The weaker NPAT growth relative to PBT is a tax-rate effect rather than an operating one, and the leverage reduction is a genuine balance-sheet outcome rather than an accounting artefact, but its repeatability depends on continued settlement volumes that this release does not size going forward.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the current size and mix of Winton's pre-sale pipeline, and does it support a similar pace of inventory conversion into FY27?
Why did the effective tax rate rise from 32.0% to 37.5%, and is this rate expected to persist?
Will the company reinstate dividend disclosure, and what payout framework, if any, is management targeting once leverage is this low?
How does management expect the settlement timing that produced a second-half-weighted result to normalise across future half-year reporting periods?

This briefing cannot assess the sustainability of settlement volumes or pre-sale conversion rates beyond FY26, since forward order-book figures were not disclosed in the supplied materials.

Ask about WIN FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is the current size and mix of Winton's pre-sale pipeline, and does it support a similar pace of inventory conversion into FY27?Why does "Deleveraging is the most consequential development: gross borrowings fell 56% to $44.2m and net debt to EBITDA moved from 4.67x to 0.12x, which materially improves financial flexibility for a developer whose model depends on project-level debt facilities" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for WIN after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

Annual Results Announcement

FY26 / results release

Annual Results Presentation

FY26 / results presentation

NZX Form - Results Announcement

FY26 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

Annual Results Announcement

FY25 / results release

Annual Results Presentation

FY25 / results presentation

NZX Form - Results Announcement

FY25 / results announcement

Interim context

Interim Financial Statements

HY26 / financial report

Interim Results FY26 Announcement

HY26 / results release

Interim Results Presentation

HY26 / results presentation

NZX Form - Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

Release context

Winton ASM Presentation

HY26 / commentary

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