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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
Post-COVID dividend recovery lifted income to NZ$161.8m and portfolio return of 6.9% beat the 4.6% benchmark by 2.3 percentage points.
Recurring investment-income or revenue-return proxy, excluding fair-value movement where disclosed.
Total income or return including fair-value or capital movement where disclosed.
Net asset base attributable to shareholders or unitholders.
Management expense ratio, ongoing charge, or equivalent where disclosed.
Market context
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Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.
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Total return
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EV/EBITDA
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P/FCF
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Key metrics
HY22 vs HY21
Net profit after tax
$146m
+74.4% ↑ vs $83.7m
Net cash inflow from operating activities
$167.5m
+93.9% ↑ vs $86.4m
Investment income
$161.8m
+68.1% ↑ vs $96.2m
Operating profit
$160.7m
+68.8% ↑ vs $95.2m
Profit before tax
$151.2m
+71.6% ↑ vs $88.1m
Cash and cash equivalents
$89m
-13.8% ↓ vs $103.2m
Total assets
$9.6b
+18.2% ↑ vs $8.1b
Analysis ofAFI HY22Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published
What changed
PBT grew 71.6% to NZ$151.2m and NPAT 74.4% to NZ$146.0m. These growth rates sit well above Annolyse's historical baseline (mean revenue growth of 1.2% across the supplied four-period window, range -5.4% to 10.1%), reflecting the depressed prior comparable rather than a step-up in run-rate.
Portfolio total return was 6.9%, ahead of the 4.6% benchmark by 2.3 percentage points. Net assets attributable rose to NZ$7.9b. The interim dividend was held at 10 cents per share fully franked, now covered 126.2% by income from operating activities versus a 145.1% NPAT payout ratio in the prior comparable.
What matters
The 10cps interim is identical to last year, but the payout ratio against NPAT fell from 145.1% to 83.9%, meaning AFI no longer needs to lean on reserves to maintain the same dividend. ROE of 3.7% sits above the company's historical range of 1.9% to 3.5% supplied for the three subsequent periods. For an LIC, this matters because the franking-credit thesis depends on portfolio income matching distributions over time.
Portfolio alpha was positive but modest. Total return of 6.9% beat the benchmark by 2.3pp, but the benchmark itself printed at the lower edge of its baseline range of 4.2% to 10.8%, so outperformance came against a softer market period rather than against a strong one. The expense ratio of 0.15% sits at the upper edge of the supplied historical range.
Investment income still trails the longer-run baseline. The NZ$161.8m print is the lowest in the four-period baseline window (mean NZ$172.2m, range NZ$168.4m to NZ$178.1m). The 68.1% growth headline reflects HY21 being depressed; HY22 income has not yet returned to normalised levels even after the rebound.
Expectations
The supplied historical pattern tells us the HY22 growth rates are not a forward indicator: subsequent periods reverted to low single-digit growth, including two negative prints. The second-half shape from FY21 shows HY21 contributed only 35.6% of full-year NPAT and 36.6% of full-year revenue, so seasonal weight has historically sat in the second half – though FY21 was itself distorted by the COVID dividend cycle.
What the release does not support is a claim of structural earnings repair. The income line at NZ$161.8m still sits below subsequent norms, which means the second-half path depends on portfolio dividend timing rather than embedded growth. Distribution coverage at 126.2% leaves headroom but no abnormal buffer.
Quality of result
The 68.1% income lift is a base-effect rebound: HY21 was depressed by portfolio companies cutting dividends through COVID, and the supplied four-period baseline mean of NZ$172.2m sits above the current NZ$161.8m print. The growth rate is unprecedented in the supplied window but durability is the wrong question because it is not a recurring rate.
Portfolio total return of 6.9% beat the benchmark by 2.3pp, which is real alpha, but the benchmark was at the lower edge of its baseline range, so the gap was achieved against a soft market rather than a strong one. The effective tax rate of 3.4% sits below the supplied baseline mean of 6.7%, lifting NPAT growth fractionally above PBT growth – a 2.8pp gap that is too small to alter the read.
Unresolved
This briefing cannot assess the share-price-to-NTA spread, longer-run benchmark performance, or whether the underlying portfolio's normalised dividend yield has structurally changed post-COVID.
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Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.
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Half Year Report to 31 December 2021
HY22 / financial reportHalf Yearly Report and Accounts as at 31 December 2020
HY21 / financial reportPreliminary Final Results 30 June 2021
FY21 / financial reportResults Presentation
FY21 / commentaryInterim Results Presentation
HY22 / commentaryRelated insights
Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.
Revenue growth context
Revenue growth was 68.1% for this reporting period.
Dividend coverage and payout pressure
Dividend payout versus NPAT is 83.9%.
Earnings quality and statutory distortions
PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 2.8pp.
ROE and capital efficiency
ROE was 3.7%, +1.2pp versus the prior comparable period.
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