Skip to main content

Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Cash conversion fell to 17.0% while a capex surge flipped free cash flow

Revenue rose 0.8% and PBT fell 5.6%, but operating cash flow dropped 67.9% as capex nearly doubled for network and automation investment.

BGP revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

Loading chart...
HY27 was $374.2m, versus $371.3m in HY26.

BGP Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

Loading chart...
HY27 was 12.4%, versus 12.6% in HY26.

BGP operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

Loading chart...
HY27 was $7.9m, versus $24.6m in HY26.

BGP working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

Loading chart...
  • HY22 BGP: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $17.4m; 3-period range $-0.8m to $11.9m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$17.4m, above normal range; 1/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$11.9m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-0.8m.
  • HY27 BGP: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-0.8m; 3-period range $0m to $17.4m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-0.8m, below normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$14.7m, and none had a working-capital release.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-0.8m, below normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$14.7m, and none had a working-capital release.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 18 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$1b

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

17.43x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.26

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

P/FCF

54.97x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

3.32x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

4.4%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
16 September 2026
Published
16 September 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY27 vs HY26

Revenue

$374.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$27.6m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$7.9m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Interim dividend per share

10.0c

flat vs 10.0c

Cash and cash equivalents

$74.4m

-37.9% ↓ vs $119.8m

Total assets

$671.5m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofBGP HY27Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

The most material shift this half is not the earnings line but cash generation: operating cash flow fell from $24.6m to $7.9m, a 67.9% decline, taking cash conversion (operating cash flow to EBITDAI) from 52.5% in the prior half to 17.0%

This matters because it means reported profit is no longer translating into cash at anything close to the recent run rate, which changes the read on the quality of the $27.6m NPAT figure.

Revenue grew 0.8% to $374.2m, a rate Briscoe itself flags as a record but which sits at the lower edge of its recent growth range. Profit before tax fell 5.6% to $38.7m and NPAT fell 5.8% to $27.6m, both within the company's normal historical range of period-to-period swings. Capex jumped 121.5% to $31.9m (8.5% of revenue versus 3.9% prior), driving pre-lease free cash flow to -$23.9m from +$10.3m in the prior half.

What matters

Cash conversion and capex, not the earnings decline, are the real signal

The pre-lease free cash outflow of -$23.9m is well below the company's historical average of roughly $25.4m across recent comparable halves, and FCF-to-NPAT conversion turned negative at -86.9% versus +35.0% previously. This means the modest 5.8% NPAT decline understates how much the business is currently consuming cash to fund its automation and store investment programme.

The working-capital balance moved -$0.8m, below the historical average build of roughly $9.8m across recent comparable periods, and this appears to be a favourable balance-sheet release rather than a cash-flow drag. However, this is a period-end balance proxy, not a cash-flow movement, so it should not be read as explaining the operating cash flow shortfall; the cash flow statement's own decline is the more reliable signal of underlying cash generation.

Margins compressed against the company's own recent pattern. PBT margin came in at 10.3%, below the historical average of 15.5%, and NPAT margin at 7.4% sits below the 10.6% average. Combined with a payout ratio against NPAT of 80.8% (above the recent average of 76.0%), this signals the dividend is being funded from a smaller profit base at a time when cash generation has weakened, which tightens the buffer available for further step-ups without drawing on cash reserves — cash on hand fell 37.9% to $74.4m over the half.

Expectations

No numeric full-year target or guidance range is disclosed for HY27, so the result cannot be measured against a stated commitment; management's forward commentary points to continued momentum from store development and network investment in the second half rather than a quantified target

On a reported basis, the prior comparable half historically contributed roughly 46.5% of full-year revenue and 49.5% of full-year NPAT, but this split reflects a prior period's statutory mix rather than any underlying operating run-rate, so it should not be read as a trading-momentum signal for the current half.

The company has flagged a further $57m of capital expenditure planned for the current financial year, which implies the cash intensity seen this half is likely to persist rather than reverse, and this matters because sustained heavy capex against weak operating cash flow narrows near-term flexibility.

Quality of result

The earnings result itself — a 5.6% PBT decline and 5.8% NPAT decline — sits within Briscoe's normal historical range and is not, on its own, alarming

The more durable-versus-timing question is on the cash side: the $16.7m fall in operating cash flow and the swing to negative pre-lease free cash flow both look structurally tied to the capex programme (automation systems, network investment) rather than to a one-off working-capital timing effect, since the working-capital balance proxy actually moved favourably this half. That combination — soft cash conversion sitting alongside a benign working-capital reading — means the cash pressure is being driven by investment spending rather than by receivables or inventory build, which is a different and arguably more persistent issue for near-term liquidity.

Unresolved

Open questions

What specific operating cash flow items, beyond the disclosed capex increase, drove the drop from $24.6m to $7.9m this half?
How does management expect cash conversion to recover once the automation and network investment programme moves past its current spend phase?
Is the current 80.8% payout ratio against NPAT intended to be sustained if operating cash flow does not recover in the second half?
Will the additional $57m of planned capex for the full year be funded from operating cash flow, existing cash balances, or new borrowing?
Why did gross borrowings and net debt figures remain undisclosed in this release, given the material cash and capex movements?

This briefing cannot assess balance-sheet leverage or net debt trends, because gross borrowings and net debt figures were not disclosed in the supplied data.

Ask about BGP HY27

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Sign in to chat

Sign in to ask questions about Briscoe Group's HY27 result.

What specific operating cash flow items, beyond the disclosed capex increase, drove the drop from $24.6m to $7.9m this half?Why does "Cash conversion and capex, not the earnings decline, are the real signal" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY27?What should I watch next for BGP after HY27?

Checking account...

Data appendix

Show segment detail

Open to load segment breakdown.

Show analytical metrics

Open to load analytical metrics.

Show key metrics table

Open to load key metrics.

Sources

Current period

BGP - HY July 2026 Financial Statements and Independent Auditors Review Report

HY27 / financial report

BGP - HY July 2026 Results Announcement

HY27 / results announcement

BGP - HY July 2026 Results Commentary

HY27 / results release

Prior comparable period

BGP - HY July 2025 Financial Statements & Independent Auditors Review Report

HY26 / financial report

BGP - HY July 2025 Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

BGP - HY July 2025 Results Commentary

HY26 / results release

Full-year context

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Financial Statements and IAR

FY26 / financial report

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Results Announcement

FY26 / results announcement

BGP FY 25 Jan 2026 Results Commentary

FY26 / results release

Release context

BGP - Addresses to Annual Meeting 15 May 2025

HY26 / commentary

BGP - Addresses to Annual Meeting 7 May 2026

HY27 / commentary

Get notified when BGP publishes next

Get the next Briscoe Group briefing and related NZX reporting-season updates by email.