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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Refurbishment capex of NZ$44.0m drove pre-lease FCF to -NZ$39.6m

Hotels revenue grew 15% but a property cooldown and a near-sixfold capex jump pushed MCK from net cash to NZ$13.9m net debt.

MCK revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY24 was $176.2m, versus $164.8m in FY21.

MCK EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY24 MCK HY: Outside range high ebitda margin. 28.3%; 3-period range 21.4% to 23%. EBITDA margin: 28.3%, above normal range; 3-period mean 22.1%, range 21.4%-23.0%.
  • HY25 MCK HY: Outside range low ebitda margin. 21.4%; 3-period range 21.8% to 28.3%. EBITDA margin: 21.4%, below normal range; 3-period mean 24.4%, range 21.8%-28.3%.
EBITDA margin: 21.4%, below normal range; 3-period mean 24.4%, range 21.8%-28.3%.

MCK operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY24 was $13.7m, versus $29m in FY21.

MCK working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY24 was -$6.8m, versus -$0.1m in FY21.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$322.8m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

12.86x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.24

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

0.18x

i

P/E compared with recent earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

9.08x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

13.31x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.46x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

1.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
12 August 2025
Published
22 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Revenue

$79.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$17m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$6.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$4.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Operating profit

$12m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$11.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Cash and cash equivalents

$16.1m

-54.5% ↓ vs $35.4m

Total assets

$787.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofMCK HY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

The headline movement is a step-change in cash deployment

Capex rose 472.6% to NZ$44.0m (55.5% of revenue) to fund the hotel refurbishment programme, and pre-lease free cash flow swung to -NZ$39.6m. Annolyse's historical baseline shows that figure as unprecedented low against a four-period mean of +NZ$20.4m and a prior range of -NZ$0.8m to +NZ$53.9m.

That outflow, combined with operating cash flow of just NZ$4.3m (down 71.5% from NZ$15.3m), drew the cash balance down to NZ$16.1m and triggered NZ$30.0m of new borrowings. Net debt/EBITDA of 0.82x is above the supplied historical range, which had MCK in a net cash position averaging -2.18x.

Reported revenue fell 7.1% to NZ$79.3m as a 15% Hotels uplift was outweighed by a 51% drop in property sales. PBT fell 47.4% to NZ$11.3m, while NPAT rose 156.6% to NZ$6.7m off a loss-making prior comparable.

What matters

Capex has rebased the balance sheet

The refurbishment lifted capex intensity from 9.0% to 55.5% of revenue in a single half. This is investment, not operating deterioration, but it has converted a net cash position into NZ$13.9m of net debt and absorbed the entire historical FCF buffer. Future cash conversion will need to recover materially before the refurbishment cycle ends to avoid further drawdowns.

PBT is the cleaner read on operating performance. NPAT growth of 156.6% is flattered by tax: the prior-period effective rate was 147.2% (a one-off deferred tax adjustment), versus 25.1% this period. Stripping that distortion, PBT fell 47.4% and the EBITDA margin of 21.4% sits below the supplied historical range of 21.8%–43.3%.

Segment mix is doing the work. Hotel Operations now contributes 80.8% of revenue (up 15.3pp) with segment result essentially flat at NZ$6.7m. Residential Property Development collapsed from NZ$12.8m revenue and NZ$5.8m result to NZ$1.4m and a NZ$0.4m loss, removing the swing factor that drove prior-year property contributions.

Expectations

No forward targets or guidance were disclosed in the release

The supplied second-half shape context is distorted: HY24 NPAT was a NZ$11.7m loss against an FY24 result of NZ$2.8m, implying NZ$14.5m of H2 NPAT, but that pattern reflected the unusual deferred tax adjustment rather than a clean seasonal shape.

Management commentary points to "further gains" when domestic and corporate travel recover and continued cooldown in property sales, but does not quantify either. With capex still in flight and property revenue at NZ$1.4m versus NZ$12.8m, a second-half rebuild depends on Hotels carrying the group while refurbishment activity continues to absorb cash.

Quality of result

The Hotels result looks durable: 15% revenue growth on increased room availability and international demand, with the segment now structurally larger within the group

Against that, EBITDA margin and PBT margin both sit below Annolyse's historical baselines (21.4% vs 31.1% mean; 14.3% vs 31.2% mean), reflecting the loss of high-margin property sales rather than hotel weakness.

Cash quality is the weak spot. OCF/EBITDA of 25.6% is below the supplied historical range (32.4%–67.4%, mean 54.4%), and pre-lease FCF/NPAT of -595.9% means the reported profit is not currently being converted to cash. Working-capital movement of -NZ$2.9m is within Annolyse's normal range, so the cash gap is not a debtor-build issue — it is the capex programme. That makes the FCF deficit timing-driven in principle, but the leverage shift it has caused is real and will persist until refurbishment spend normalises.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the expected capex profile for H2 and FY26, and at what point does refurbishment spend revert to maintenance levels?
How does management expect the new NZ$30.0m borrowing facility to be repaid, and what is the available headroom?
What revenue and margin uplift is targeted from the refurbished room inventory, and over what timeframe?
Is the property sales weakness viewed as cyclical or structural, and what is the remaining inventory pipeline?
Why was no interim dividend declared, and does the board's policy change while leverage is rebuilding?

This briefing cannot assess the expected return on the refurbishment capex or management's internal hurdle rates, as no project-level economics or stabilised yield targets were disclosed.

Ask about MCK HY25

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is the expected capex profile for H2 and FY26, and at what point does refurbishment spend revert to maintenance levels?Why does "Capex has rebased the balance sheet" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for MCK after HY25?

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Sources

Current period

MCK HY25 Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation

MCK HY25 Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement

MCK HY25 Shareholder Update

HY25 / results release

MCK HY25 Unaudited Financial Statements

HY25 / financial report

Prior comparable period

MCK H1 2024 Media Release

HY24 / media release

MCK H1 2024 Results Announcement

HY24 / results announcement

MCK H1 2024 Unaudited Financial Statements

HY24 / financial report

Full-year context

MCK FY2024 Audited Financial Statements

FY24 / financial report

MCK FY2024 Results Announcement

FY24 / results announcement

MCK FY2024 Results Announcement

FY24 / results release

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