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Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand (MCK) / HY25

Refurbishment capex of NZ$44.0m drove pre-lease FCF to -NZ$39.6m

Hotels revenue grew 15% but a property cooldown and a near-sixfold capex jump pushed MCK from net cash to NZ$13.9m net debt.

Consumer / Hotels and tourism

MCK revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY25 was $186.7m, versus $79.3m in HY25.

MCK Operating profit margin

Operating profit margin across covered periods.

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FY25 was 16.4%, versus 21.4% in HY25.

MCK operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY25 was $25.7m, versus $4.3m in HY25.

MCK working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • FY21 MCK: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $-0.1m; 3-period range $-5.3m to $-0.2m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-0.1m, above normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-3.4m.
  • HY22 MCK: Unprecedented low operating working-capital movement. $-1,356.8m; 4-period range $-6.8m to $22.7m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-1356.8m, unprecedented low; 1/4 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$22.7m, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-3.3m.
  • HY23 MCK: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $22.7m; 4-period range $-1,356.8m to $-0.1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$22.7m, above normal range; 0/4 prior periods had builds, and 4 had releases averaging NZ$-341.6m.
  • FY24 MCK: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-5.3m; 3-period range $-4.8m to $-0.1m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-5.3m, below normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-1.7m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-5.3m, below normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-1.7m.
Release date
12 August 2025
Published
22 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Revenue

$79.3m

-7.1% ↓ vs $85.3m

EBITDA

$17m

— vs —

Net profit after tax

$6.7m

+157.3% ↑ vs −$11.7m

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$4.3m

-71.5% ↓ vs $15.3m

Operating profit

$12m

-39.6% ↓ vs $19.8m

Profit before tax

$11.3m

-47.4% ↓ vs $21.5m

Cash and cash equivalents

$16.1m

-54.5% ↓ vs $35.4m

Total assets

$787.3m

+6.6% ↑ vs $738.5m

What changed

The headline movement is a step-change in cash deployment

Capex rose 472.6% to NZ$44.0m (55.5% of revenue) to fund the hotel refurbishment programme, and pre-lease free cash flow swung to -NZ$39.6m. Annolyse's historical baseline shows that figure as unprecedented low against a four-period mean of +NZ$20.4m and a prior range of -NZ$0.8m to +NZ$53.9m.

That outflow, combined with operating cash flow of just NZ$4.3m (down 71.5% from NZ$15.3m), drew the cash balance down to NZ$16.1m and triggered NZ$30.0m of new borrowings. Net debt/EBITDA of 0.82x is above the supplied historical range, which had MCK in a net cash position averaging -2.18x.

Reported revenue fell 7.1% to NZ$79.3m as a 15% Hotels uplift was outweighed by a 51% drop in property sales. PBT fell 47.4% to NZ$11.3m, while NPAT rose 156.6% to NZ$6.7m off a loss-making prior comparable.

What matters

Capex has rebased the balance sheet

The refurbishment lifted capex intensity from 9.0% to 55.5% of revenue in a single half. This is investment, not operating deterioration, but it has converted a net cash position into NZ$13.9m of net debt and absorbed the entire historical FCF buffer. Future cash conversion will need to recover materially before the refurbishment cycle ends to avoid further drawdowns.

PBT is the cleaner read on operating performance. NPAT growth of 156.6% is flattered by tax: the prior-period effective rate was 147.2% (a one-off deferred tax adjustment), versus 25.1% this period. Stripping that distortion, PBT fell 47.4% and the EBITDA margin of 21.4% sits below the supplied historical range of 21.8%–43.3%.

Segment mix is doing the work. Hotel Operations now contributes 80.8% of revenue (up 15.3pp) with segment result essentially flat at NZ$6.7m. Residential Property Development collapsed from NZ$12.8m revenue and NZ$5.8m result to NZ$1.4m and a NZ$0.4m loss, removing the swing factor that drove prior-year property contributions.

Expectations

No forward targets or guidance were disclosed in the release

The supplied second-half shape context is distorted: HY24 NPAT was a NZ$11.7m loss against an FY24 result of NZ$2.8m, implying NZ$14.5m of H2 NPAT, but that pattern reflected the unusual deferred tax adjustment rather than a clean seasonal shape.

Management commentary points to "further gains" when domestic and corporate travel recover and continued cooldown in property sales, but does not quantify either. With capex still in flight and property revenue at NZ$1.4m versus NZ$12.8m, a second-half rebuild depends on Hotels carrying the group while refurbishment activity continues to absorb cash.

Quality of result

The Hotels result looks durable: 15% revenue growth on increased room availability and international demand, with the segment now structurally larger within the group

Against that, EBITDA margin and PBT margin both sit below Annolyse's historical baselines (21.4% vs 31.1% mean; 14.3% vs 31.2% mean), reflecting the loss of high-margin property sales rather than hotel weakness.

Cash quality is the weak spot. OCF/EBITDA of 25.6% is below the supplied historical range (32.4%–67.4%, mean 54.4%), and pre-lease FCF/NPAT of -595.9% means the reported profit is not currently being converted to cash. Working-capital movement of -NZ$2.9m is within Annolyse's normal range, so the cash gap is not a debtor-build issue — it is the capex programme. That makes the FCF deficit timing-driven in principle, but the leverage shift it has caused is real and will persist until refurbishment spend normalises.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is the expected capex profile for H2 and FY26, and at what point does refurbishment spend revert to maintenance levels?
How does management expect the new NZ$30.0m borrowing facility to be repaid, and what is the available headroom?
What revenue and margin uplift is targeted from the refurbished room inventory, and over what timeframe?
Is the property sales weakness viewed as cyclical or structural, and what is the remaining inventory pipeline?
Why was no interim dividend declared, and does the board's policy change while leverage is rebuilding?

This briefing cannot assess the expected return on the refurbishment capex or management's internal hurdle rates, as no project-level economics or stabilised yield targets were disclosed.

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Sign in to ask questions about Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand's HY25 result.

What is the expected capex profile for H2 and FY26, and at what point does refurbishment spend revert to maintenance levels?Why does "Capex has rebased the balance sheet" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for MCK after HY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

MCK HY25 Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation↗

MCK HY25 Results Announcement

HY25 / results announcement↗

MCK HY25 Shareholder Update

HY25 / results release↗

MCK HY25 Unaudited Financial Statements

HY25 / financial report↗

Prior comparable period

MCK H1 2024 Media Release

HY24 / media release↗

MCK H1 2024 Results Announcement

HY24 / results announcement↗

MCK H1 2024 Unaudited Financial Statements

HY24 / financial report↗

Full-year context

MCK FY2024 Audited Financial Statements

FY24 / financial report↗

MCK FY2024 Results Announcement

FY24 / results announcement↗

MCK FY2024 Results Announcement

FY24 / results release↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Cash conversion quality

This result converted 25.6% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, -37.7pp versus the prior comparable period.

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Earnings quality and statutory distortions

PBT and NPAT growth diverged by 203.9pp, with a distortion flag in the result.

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Leverage and balance-sheet risk

Net debt / EBITDA is 0.82x, +2.29x versus the prior comparable period.

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Dividend coverage and payout pressure

Dividend payout versus NPAT is 0.0%.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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