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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

NPAT swung to a $20.8m loss on a $31.2m biological asset write-down

Operating cash flow rose 21.2% to $19.6m, but volumes fell 17% and FY26 pro-forma EBITDA guidance of just $1-7m points to genuine operating pressure.

NZK revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $94.5m, versus $101.7m in HY25.

NZK EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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  • HY26 NZK HY: Outside range low ebitda margin. 6.1%; 3-period range 12.3% to 23.9%. EBITDA margin: 6.1%, below normal range; 3-period mean 18.8%, range 12.3%-23.9%.
EBITDA margin: 6.1%, below normal range; 3-period mean 18.8%, range 12.3%-23.9%.

NZK operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was $19.6m, versus $16.2m in HY25.

NZK working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY26 was -$17.8m, versus -$10.1m in FY25.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$121.1m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

5.71x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.04

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

2.19x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

10.33x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.57x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

0.0%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
25 September 2025
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY26 vs HY25

Revenue

$94.5m

-7.1% ↓ vs $101.7m

EBITDA

$5.7m

-54.0% ↓ vs $12.5m

Net profit after tax

−$20.8m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$19.6m

+21.2% ↑ vs $16.2m

Declared dividend per share

0.0c

flat vs 0.0c

Profit before tax

−$29.1m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Cash and cash equivalents

$57.4m

+102.7% ↑ vs $28.3m

Total assets

$225.4m

-6.6% ↓ vs $241.4m

Analysis ofNZK HY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

NZK swung from a $6.0m HY25 net profit to a $20.8m HY26 net loss, a 447.1% reversal driven almost entirely by a disclosed pre-tax fair value loss on biological assets and inventory of $31.2m (versus a $3.7m gain in the prior comparable)

Stripping that non-cash item is essential: pro-forma EBITDA still fell 54.0% to $5.7m and PBT growth was -417.9%, so the operating result was weaker even before the write-down.

Revenue fell 7.1% to $94.5m on volumes of 2,624MT, down from 3,178MT (-17.4%), partly offset by realised price. Operating cash flow rose 21.2% to $19.6m and cash on hand more than doubled to $57.4m, both flattered by a $14.3m (-40.2%) inventory drawdown. Capex stepped up 63.1% to $8.5m (9.0% of revenue), and no interim dividend was declared.

What matters

The headline loss is non-cash, but the underlying operating story is genuinely weaker

  • The $31.2m biological asset write-down dominates the GAAP figures, yet pro-forma EBITDA of $5.7m is still less than half the prior $12.5m and well below the $17.2m implied second half of FY25. Lower harvest volumes — management attributes warmer water temperatures and a biomass rebuild — are the real economic issue.
  • FY26 pro-forma EBITDA guidance of $1m-$7m, held at this result, implies a structural step-down. Against FY25 pro-forma EBITDA of $29.7m, even the top of the range is roughly a 76% reduction. With HY26 already delivering $5.7m, the guidance allows almost no second-half EBITDA contribution, which is a sharp departure from the second-half-weighted FY25 shape (HY25 was only 42.0% of full-year EBITDA).
  • The balance sheet is the offsetting strength. Cash of $57.4m against gross borrowings of just $2.4m leaves net cash of $55.0m, up from $25.2m, and ROE moved to -11.4% from +3.1%. The cash position gives management runway to invest through the biomass rebuild, but it does not change the earnings trajectory.

Expectations

HY25 represented 48.2% of FY25 revenue and 42.0% of FY25 EBITDA, meaning the prior-year shape was second-half weighted

Annualising HY26 revenue gives $188.9m, well below FY25's $211.0m, and the held FY26 EBITDA guidance of $1m-$7m signals management does not expect a normal second-half catch-up.

The release does not quantify when harvest volumes recover or what biomass position underpins FY26 guidance. The result therefore supports a near-term earnings reset narrative but leaves the timing of any return toward FY25-style EBITDA unresolved.

Quality of result

The reported loss is overwhelmingly non-cash, so headline NPAT overstates the operating deterioration

Operating cash flow of $19.6m and OCF/EBITDA of 342.6% (versus 129.8% prior) are mechanically inflated by the $14.3m inventory unwind and a $3.5m receivables release — both balance-sheet-driven rather than recurring. Free cash flow pre-lease was $11.1m, only marginally above the prior $11.0m despite OCF growth, because capex rose 63.1%.

This matters because the strong cash conversion this period is unlikely to repeat: inventory cannot be drawn down indefinitely, and rebuilding biomass should reverse some of that working-capital release in coming periods. The durable read is that EBITDA halved on lower volumes, FY26 guidance implies that pressure persists, and the cash and net-cash position — though genuinely strong — has been temporarily augmented by the same factors that signal weaker forward earnings power.

Unresolved

Open questions

What harvest volume and pricing assumptions underpin the held FY26 pro-forma EBITDA guidance of $1m-$7m, and how sensitive is that range to water-temperature outcomes?
How long will the biomass rebuild constrain harvest volumes, and when does management expect EBITDA to return toward FY25 levels?
Why was capex stepped up 63.1% to $8.5m in a period of operating contraction, and what does the FY26 capital plan look like?
Will the $14.3m inventory drawdown reverse as biomass is rebuilt, and what working-capital outflow should be expected in coming halves?
Is the $31.2m fair value write-down a one-time reset, or are further biological-asset adjustments possible if conditions persist?

This briefing cannot assess the biological and environmental drivers of the biomass position, nor the forward harvest schedule that will determine whether FY26 guidance is conservative or realistic.

Ask about NZK HY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What harvest volume and pricing assumptions underpin the held FY26 pro-forma EBITDA guidance of $1m-$7m, and how sensitive is that range to water-temperature outcomes?Why does "The headline loss is non-cash, but the underlying operating story is genuinely weaker" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY26?What should I watch next for NZK after HY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

NZK - 1HY25(Sept) Media Announcement

HY26 / results release

NZK - Interim Financial Statements

HY26 / financial report

NZK - Investor Presentation

HY26 / results presentation

NZK - NZX Results Announcement

HY26 / results announcement

Prior comparable period

NZK 1HY25 Interim Financial Statements

HY25 / financial report

NZK 1HY25 Results Announcement

HY25 / results release

NZK NZX Results Template

HY25 / results announcement

Full-year context

NZK - FY25 Annual Report

FY25 / financial report

NZK - FY25 Media Announcement

FY25 / results release

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