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Rakon (RAK) / HY24

Revenue fell 29.7%, EBITDA collapsed 81.3% on operating deleverage

Cash flow swung positive on an inventory unwind, but PBT was effectively wiped out and ROE fell from 11.5% to 0.3%.

Technology / Electronics

RAK revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY23 was $180.3m, versus $172m in FY22.

RAK EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY23 was 23.4%, versus 24.1% in FY22.

RAK operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY23 was $11.1m, versus $30.2m in FY22.

RAK working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY24 RAK: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $33.8m; 3-period range $-18.7m to $28.4m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$33.8m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$26.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-18.7m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$33.8m, above normal range; 2/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$26.2m, and 1 had releases averaging NZ$-18.7m.

Market context

Valuation

A close-dated read on what the market price implies next to the latest verified filing inputs. Unavailable metrics stay visible when the absence is useful context.

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

EPS

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

PEG

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

P/FCF

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

P/B

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

Income and fund shape

Yield and fund-style valuation where the company shape supports it.

Dividend yield

Not available

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Not available for this company right now.

Total return

Not available

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Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
23 November 2023
Published
28 April 2026
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Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY24 vs HY23

Revenue

$61.3m

-29.7% ↓ vs $87.2m

EBITDA

$5.3m

-81.3% ↓ vs $28.1m

Net profit after tax

$0.5m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$7.3m

n/m ↑ vs $0.02m

Operating profit

$0.77m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Profit before tax

$0.2m

Suppressed: metric quality flags mark this value as unsuitable for normal comparison.

Cash and cash equivalents

$17.9m

-30.6% ↓ vs $25.7m

Total assets

$197.5m

-9.6% ↓ vs $218.4m

What changed

Revenue fell 29.7% to $61.3m, but earnings deleveraged far more steeply: EBITDA dropped 81.3% to $5.3m, profit before tax fell 99.1% to $0.2m, and NPAT collapsed 96.9% to $0.5m

The disproportionate hit to earnings versus revenue is the central finding — fixed costs absorbed almost the entire revenue shortfall.

Operating cash flow improved sharply to $7.3m (HY23: $0.0m), driven by an inventory drawdown to $59.9m from $72.0m a year earlier. Capex was scaled back 65.1% to $6.1m, leaving pre-lease free cash flow of $1.2m versus a $17.3m outflow in HY23.

The balance sheet remains in net cash: cash of $17.9m against gross borrowings of $4.5m, with total equity rising to $154.2m. Telecommunications dominated mix at 55.8% of revenue, with Space and Defence at 25.0%.

What matters

Operating deleverage is severe

A 29.7% revenue decline produced an 81.3% EBITDA decline and effectively wiped out PBT. That ratio — roughly 2.7x deleverage on the way down — tells you the cost base is heavily fixed against current volumes. Until revenue stabilises, modest further revenue weakness could push the group into a reported loss.

Cash improvement is working-capital-driven, not earnings-driven. OCF of $7.3m comfortably exceeds EBITDA of $5.3m (139.1% conversion), but the swing came from releasing roughly $12.1m of inventory and cutting capex by $11.3m. Inventory days still sit at 178.1 (up 27.6 days), and receivable days are 136.3, so the working-capital cycle is long. A second leg of inventory release is possible but finite; the cash story is not a structural improvement.

Returns have collapsed. ROE fell to 0.3% from 11.5%, and underlying profitability now sits at break-even. The equity base grew 10.5% while earnings nearly disappeared, so the denominator is working against any rebuild in returns.

Expectations

No forward guidance, order book, or stated target was supplied with this release, so any FY24 path has to be inferred

The supplied seasonality context shows HY23 was 48.3% of FY23 revenue and 69.0% of FY23 NPAT — meaning the prior year was second-half-weighted on revenue but front-loaded on profit. Annualising the current half at $122.5m would imply a deep step-down from FY23's $180.3m, but the second-half-weighted revenue pattern means a stronger 2H is not unreasonable to expect on shape alone.

What the release does not support is any judgement on whether demand has stabilised, whether inventory destocking by customers is nearing an end, or what unit economics look like at lower volumes. The gap matters because the operating deleverage observed here means small revenue surprises will translate into large earnings swings either way.

Quality of result

The reported NPAT of $0.5m is slightly higher than PBT of $0.2m because the tax line was a small credit, producing a 213.8% effective tax rate that flatters NPAT versus PBT

PBT (-99.1%) is the cleaner read on operating performance; on that basis, the result is effectively break-even rather than the modest profit that NPAT suggests.

Cash quality is mixed. The headline OCF rebound looks strong, but it is sourced from inventory release and a sharp pull-back in capex, not from earnings. Free cash flow of $1.2m is positive only because investment was cut. The balance sheet is comfortable — net cash of roughly $13.4m and a 10.5% rise in equity — but that strength reflects prior-period earnings and the working-capital wind-down, not the current operating run-rate. If volumes do not recover, the durability of even this break-even result is unclear, because there is limited further inventory to release without compromising service levels.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is driving the 29.7% revenue decline — end-market demand, customer destocking, or share loss — and which segments are most affected?
How much further can inventory be drawn down before it constrains delivery, and what is the targeted steady-state inventory level?
Why is the effective tax rate a credit when PBT is positive, and is this a one-off recognition or a recurring feature?
What revenue level is required to return EBITDA to FY23-comparable levels given the current cost base?
Will the dividend and reinvestment programme referenced in the release be sustained if 2H earnings do not recover?

This briefing cannot assess management's expectations for second-half demand, order-book coverage, or any cost-base actions taken since balance date, because none of those were supplied in the release excerpts.

Chat

Ask about RAK HY24

Ask follow-up questions about Rakon's HY24 result.

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

Ask about RAK HY24

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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Sign in to ask questions about Rakon's HY24 result.

What is driving the 29.7% revenue decline — end-market demand, customer destocking, or share loss — and which segments are most affected?Why does "Operating deleverage is severe" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY24?What should I watch next for RAK after HY24?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

RAK HY24 Interim Report

HY24 / financial report↗

RAK Results Announcement HY2024

HY24 / results announcement↗

RAK Results Announcement HY2024

HY24 / results release↗

Prior comparable period

Rakon 1H23 Interim Report

HY23 / financial report↗

Rakon 1H23 Results Announcement

HY23 / results announcement↗

Rakon 1H23 Results Announcement

HY23 / results release↗

Full-year context

RAK FY23 Annual Report

FY23 / financial report↗

RAK FY23 Results Announcement

FY23 / results announcement↗

RAK FY23 Results Market Release

FY23 / results release↗

Release context

Rakon 2023 Annual Meeting of Shareholders Presentation

HY24 / commentary↗

Rakon HY2024 Results Webcast Details

HY24 / commentary↗

Related insights

Cross-company views selected from the metrics in this briefing.

Earnings quality and statutory distortions

This result includes a statutory earnings-quality distortion flag.

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Working-capital pressure

Inventory days were 178 days, +28 days versus the prior comparable period.

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Revenue growth context

Revenue growth was -29.7% for this reporting period.

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Cash conversion quality

This result converted 139.1% of EBITDA to operating cash flow, +139.0pp versus the prior comparable period.

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This briefing is based on available company filings and standard Annolyse calculations. It is general information only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis may contain errors. Always read the original company filings and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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