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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

Margin compression across core segments drove a 37.1% PBT decline

Earnings fell sharply as leverage rose to 4.21x EBITDA and the interim dividend was cut 44.4%.

THL revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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FY24 revenue trajectory was $921.7m.

THL EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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FY24 ebitda margin was 21.1%.

THL operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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FY24 operating cash flow was -$95.6m.

THL working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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HY25 was $23.4m, versus $64.2m in HY24.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 4 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$629m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

16.38x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.17

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

EV/EBITDA

4.88x

i

Enterprise value compared with recent EBITDA.

P/FCF

10.82x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.98x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

2.5%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
25 February 2025
Published
23 April 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

HY25 vs HY24

Revenue

$458.4m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

EBITDA

$113.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$25.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$24.3m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Interim dividend per share

2.5c

-44.4% ↓ vs 4.5c

Operating profit

$57.8m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Profit before tax

$35.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$1.6b

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofTHL HY25Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Tourism Holdings' profit before tax fell 37.1% to $35.2m in HY25, even as revenue rose 2.0% to $458.4m, because gross margins compressed sharply in the two largest rental segments: New Zealand Rentals & Sales margin fell to 22.9% from 37.2%, and Australian Rentals, Sales & Manufacturing margin fell to 12.2% from 18.8%

Underlying EBITDA fell 5.3% to $113.3m and statutory NPAT fell 36.3% to $25.3m. Net debt rose to $477.3m from $403.3m, lifting net debt/EBITDA to 4.21x from 3.37x. Operating cash flow swung positive to $24.3m from -$78.8m in the prior half, but capex rose 314.3% to $17.4m.

What matters

Margin compression, not revenue, is driving the earnings decline

Revenue grew 2.0% while PBT fell 37.1%, meaning the deterioration sits in unit economics rather than volume. Weaker gross margins in NZ and Australian rentals, alongside the disclosed vehicle sales challenges and a 4% fall in sale-of-goods revenue, point to softer pricing and lower vehicle-resale realisations. This matters because it signals a structural profitability issue in the core rental business, not a temporary comparable-period effect.

Leverage has weakened materially. Net debt/EBITDA rose to 4.21x from 3.37x as gross borrowings increased to $526.0m from $453.6m. This reduces balance-sheet flexibility for fleet reinvestment or a prolonged downturn in vehicle sales, and makes the earnings decline more consequential than it would be for a lower-geared business.

The dividend cut outpaces cash cover. The interim dividend fell 44.4% to 2.5 cents per share from 4.5 cents, yet the current payout still represents 111.8% of free cash flow pre-lease, against a company-disclosed payout ratio of 40% of NPAT (actual payout versus NPAT was 21.7%, down from 24.5%). The gap between the NPAT-based ratio and the FCF-based ratio signals that reported profit is not yet translating into free cash generation sufficient to fund the reduced payout without drawing on the balance sheet.

Expectations

No stated FY targets are disclosed in this release, so the result cannot be measured against management guidance

The supplied first-half shape shows HY24 contributed 48.7% of FY24 revenue and 61.6% of FY24 EBITDA but 100.9% of FY24 NPAT, implying the second half of FY24 was roughly NPAT break-even. If that seasonal pattern persists, the weaker HY25 first-half base makes a materially positive full-year NPAT outcome dependent on a stronger second half than the comparable period delivered, which the release does not address directly.

Quality of result

The swing in operating cash flow to $24.3m from -$78.8m looks favourable, but capex rose 314.3% to $17.4m and inventories rose 18.7% to $237.2m, with inventory days extending to 94.17 from 80.99

This suggests part of the cash improvement reflects timing rather than a durable structural change, and that unsold or slower-turning vehicle stock is building on the balance sheet. Free cash flow pre-lease of $6.9m converts to only 27.3% of NPAT, and the dividend is not fully covered by that free cash flow, indicating the cash quality behind the reported result is weaker than the headline operating cash flow recovery suggests.

Unresolved

Open questions

What is driving the margin compression in New Zealand Rentals & Sales (22.9% versus 37.2%) and Australian Rentals, Sales & Manufacturing (12.2% versus 18.8%)?
Why did capex rise 314.3% to $17.4m, and is this fleet renewal spending or growth investment?
How does management plan to work down the inventory build, given inventory days rose to 94.17 from 80.99 amid disclosed vehicle sales challenges?
Does the rise in net debt/EBITDA to 4.21x from 3.37x affect covenant headroom or planned capital allocation?
Why was the interim dividend cut 44.4% while the payout still exceeds free cash flow pre-lease at 111.8%?

This briefing cannot assess whether the margin and inventory pressures will reverse in the second half, since no forward guidance or seasonality commentary was provided in the supplied materials.

Ask about THL HY25

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What is driving the margin compression in New Zealand Rentals & Sales (22.9% versus 37.2%) and Australian Rentals, Sales & Manufacturing (12.2% versus 18.8%)?Why does "Margin compression, not revenue, is driving the earnings decline" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in HY25?What should I watch next for THL after HY25?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

Chair and CEO Letter / Financial Statements

HY25 / financial report

Investor Presentation

HY25 / results presentation

Prior comparable period

FY24 Interim company filing

HY24 / results announcement

FY24 Interim company filing

HY24 / results release

FY24 Interim Financial Statements

HY24 / financial report

FY24 Interim Results Investor Presentation

HY24 / results presentation

Full-year context

FY24 Integrated Annual Report

FY24 / financial report

FY24 Investor Presentation

FY24 / results presentation

Release context

NZX Release - FY24 Results - Webcast Details

FY24 / commentary

NZX Release - thl reduces FY24 NPAT guidance

FY24 / commentary

NZX Release - 2023 Annual Meeting Results

HY24 / commentary

NZX Release - FY24 Interim Results - Webcast Details

HY24 / commentary

2024 Annual Meeting Chair and CEO's Address

HY25 / commentary

NZX Release - 2024 Annual Meeting Results

HY25 / commentary

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