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Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

H1 profit of $22.3m masked an implied $12.3m loss in H2

Flat headline growth reflects a data-matching issue while the reported H1/H2 split implies a sharp second-half profit reversal.

MHJ revenue trajectory

Revenue context before the current result.

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HY26 was $371m, versus $360.2m in HY25.

MHJ EBITDA margin

EBITDA margin across covered periods.

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HY25 was 9%, versus 16.8% in HY24.

MHJ operating cash flow

Operating cash flow across covered periods.

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HY26 was $94.8m, versus $57.7m in HY25.

MHJ working-capital movement

Operating working-capital absorption or release by reporting period.

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  • HY25 MHJ: Outside range low operating working-capital movement. $-79.5m; 3-period range $-61.8m to $-5.8m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-79.5m, below normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-41.9m.
  • HY26 MHJ: Outside range high operating working-capital movement. $-5.8m; 3-period range $-79.5m to $-58.2m. Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-5.8m, above normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-66.5m.
Operating working-capital movement: NZ$-5.8m, above normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-66.5m.

Market context

Valuation

These ratios pair a market close from around the result date with verified filing data. An unavailable metric means the required inputs were missing or unsuitable for comparison.

Prices as at close, 21 September 2026

Price and market cap

The latest close and share count context for the market price.

Market cap

$161.6m

i

End-of-day close multiplied by current shares on issue.

Profitability multiples

How the market price compares with recent earnings and cash-flow inputs.

P/E

16.16x

i

Recent market cap compared with trailing earnings.

EPS

0.03

i

Recent filing-derived earnings per share.

PEG

Not available

i

Not meaningful without positive comparable earnings growth.

EV/EBITDA

Not available

i

Not available for this company right now.

P/FCF

1.87x

i

Market cap compared with recent free cash flow.

P/B

0.93x

i

Market value compared with latest reported equity.

Income and investment-company measures

Yield and investment-company valuation where supported.

Dividend yield

5.9%

i

Trailing dividends compared with the latest close.

Total return

Not available

i

Available once dividend and adjustment data are verified.

Release date
22 September 2026
Published
22 September 2026

Key metrics

Numbers worth scanning first

FY26 vs FY25

Revenue

$655.7m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net profit after tax

$10m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Net cash inflow from operating activities

$99.1m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Full-year dividend per share

2.0c

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Total assets

$485.2m

Caveat: metric quality flags apply; use this value with basis context.

Analysis ofMHJ FY26Result releasedAnnolyse analysis published

What changed

Michael Hill's FY26 accounts show HY26 net profit after tax of $22.3m, but full-year NPAT of only about $10.0m, which implies a second-half net loss of roughly $12.3m on a reported basis

This matters because it means whatever drove the first-half result did not carry through the year, even though the headline annual numbers look stable.

Revenue was reported flat at $655.7m (0.0% growth) and PBT and NPAT growth were also calculated at 0.0%, but the supplied prior-year comparable figures for revenue, PBT, net profit, operating cash flow and cash are identical to the current-period figures, and the prior-comparable selection was flagged as a low-confidence, inferred match. This means the 0.0% growth readings cannot be treated as a verified year-on-year comparison.

Separately, net debt fell to $5.5m, down $36.3m on the prior year per company disclosure, and the company declared a 2.0 cent final dividend after no dividend the prior year.

What matters

Second-half reversal

A first-half NPAT of $22.3m against a full-year figure of about $10.0m implies the business lost roughly $12.3m in the second half on a reported basis. For an investor, this means the trajectory exiting FY26 looks materially weaker than the FY26 headline suggests, and it raises the question of whether H1 strength repeats.

Tax drag on NPAT. The effective tax rate of 43.5% widens the gap between PBT ($17.7m) and NPAT (about $10.0m), so PBT is the cleaner read on statutory pre-tax performance; NPAT alone understates operating profitability relative to PBT.

Balance-sheet strength amid earnings volatility. Net debt fell to $5.5m and pre-lease free cash flow of $86.3m sits above Annolyse's historical average of $38.9m for this metric. This means cash generation and deleveraging have continued even as the profit trajectory within the year appears uneven, which supports financial flexibility regardless of the earnings pattern.

Expectations

No stated numeric targets are disclosed for FY26 or FY27, so the result cannot be judged against an explicit management commitment

Company commentary describes same-store sales growth of 3.0% for the year and an acceleration in New Zealand same-store sales to 3.6%, which points to a more constructive trading tone than the implied second-half NPAT loss would suggest on its own.

That gap between commentary tone and the implied reported second-half profit swing is unresolved from the data supplied, and it matters because investors cannot currently tell whether the second-half weakness reflects timing, tax, one-off items, or a genuine slowdown in underlying trading.

Quality of result

The strongest quality signal is cash: pre-lease free cash flow of $86.3m is well above the historical average of $38.9m, and net debt fell sharply to $5.5m, both of which point to durable cash generation and improved financial flexibility rather than a balance-sheet-assisted result

Capex intensity remained low at 2.0% of revenue, consistent with a disciplined capital programme rather than a temporary pullback.

Against that, the profit picture is harder to assess cleanly. The implied second-half net loss of about $12.3m is drawn from a reported HY26-to-FY26 split rather than an underlying operating measure, so it should be read as a statutory pattern, not confirmation of a change in trading momentum. Combined with the comparable-period data issue affecting the headline 0.0% growth figures, the overall earnings trend for FY26 is less clear than the flat annual numbers imply, even though the cash and balance-sheet evidence is comparatively solid.

Unresolved

Open questions

What specifically drove the implied second-half net loss of about $12.3 million after a $22.3 million first-half profit?
Why do the disclosed prior-year comparable figures for revenue, PBT, NPAT and operating cash flow duplicate the current-period values, and what is the true FY25 baseline?
Why is the effective tax rate at 43.5%, and is this level expected to persist into FY27?
Does the reported same-store sales acceleration in the second half reconcile with the implied second-half net loss?
Will the improved net debt position of $5.5 million support a sustained dividend policy beyond the current 2.0 cent final dividend?

This briefing cannot assess the true FY25 baseline or verify year-on-year growth for revenue, PBT and NPAT because the supplied prior-comparable data duplicates the current period.

Ask about MHJ FY26

Informational only. No buy, sell, hold, price-target, or personal financial advice.

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What specifically drove the implied second-half net loss of about $12.3 million after a $22.3 million first-half profit?Why does "Second-half reversal" matter?How strong was the cash and earnings quality in FY26?What should I watch next for MHJ after FY26?

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Data appendix

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Sources

Current period

Michael Hill Annual Report 2026

FY26 / financial report

Prior comparable period

Preliminary Final Report

FY25 / financial report

Interim context

Release context

Investor Day Presentation April 2026

FY25 / commentary

FY26 Trading Update and Results Release Date

FY26 / commentary

Investor Day Presentation April 2026

FY26 / commentary

FY26H1 Results Presentation

HY26 / commentary

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