Prior Expectations
HY25
From Napier Port PBT up 24.8% but NPAT beat flattered by tax rate drop
No forward-work order book, explicit revenue target, or earnings guidance was supplied in the release. On shape, HY24 represented 49.9% of FY24 revenue but 57.7% of FY24 NPAT, so the first half has historically been somewhat profit-heavy. Annualising HY25 revenue gives $156.2m, clearly ahead of the $141.4m FY24 base, so the run-rate is tracking above last year on the top line. Absent guidance, the release supports a reading that FY25 revenue should exceed FY24, but it does not support any specific earnings trajectory, particularly given that second-half NPAT historically steps down and the current tax-rate tailwind may not repeat.