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Price action is noise

In the short run, the market is a voting machine; in the long run, a weighing machine. Short-term prices reflect sentiment, forced trades, algorithmic flows, and headlines — not the economic reality of the business.

Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor chapter 8.

Below, each covered company's fundamental volatility, price volatility, and price direction are shown separately, so a high noise ratio says which kind of Mr. Market move occurred.

Rankings as of 22-07-2026 4:32pm NZT, based on Annolyse's coverage of 100 NZX companies.

8

Euphoric Mr. Market

14

Panicking Mr. Market

7

Underreacting market

56

Aligned movement

4

Insufficient data

Filter by group

Showing 89 of 89 companies.

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Price action is noise company ranking
SCTScott Technology7.0%50.5%up+27.0%7.2×Euphoric Mr. Market
LICLivestock Improvement Corporation5.2%25.9%up+26.3%5.0×Euphoric Mr. Market
TRATurners Automotive Group9.0%32.3%up+20.7%3.6×Euphoric Mr. Market
RAKRakonRevenue growth: 30.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean -19.9%, range -32.0%-2.0%.30.2%98.1%up+176.8%3.2×Euphoric Mr. Market
SANSanford17.6%40.1%up+20.7%2.3×Euphoric Mr. Market
FBUFletcher BuildingOCF / EBITDA cash conversion: 47.1%, unprecedented high; 4-period mean -8.9%, range -37.6%-31.2%.20.0%39.9%up+22.2%2.0×Euphoric Mr. Market
SCLScales CorporationEBITDA margin: 18.9%, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 12.4%, range 9.5%-15.1%.85.2%41.7%up+37.9%0.5×Euphoric Mr. Market
CHIChannel Infrastructure NZOCF / EBITDA cash conversion: 79.6%, above normal range; 4-period mean 33.3%, range -24.6%-68.2%.n/m47.7%up+53.5%n/mEuphoric Mr. Market
SPKSpark New ZealandOCF / EBITDA cash conversion: 134.6%, above normal range; 3-period mean 69.5%, range 57.9%-85.1%.2.4%40.4%down-27.7%17.1×Panicking Mr. Market
EBOEBOS Group13.0%75.4%down-44.7%5.8×Panicking Mr. Market
KMDKMD Brands20.0%108.0%down-56.5%5.4×Panicking Mr. Market
SUMSummerset Group HoldingsRevenue growth: 13.1%, below normal range; 3-period mean 15.9%, range 14.0%-17.5%.13.1%58.1%down-30.7%4.4×Panicking Mr. Market
BGPBriscoe Group8.3%34.8%down-20.6%4.2×Panicking Mr. Market
SKOSerko34.9%87.1%down-55.1%2.5×Panicking Mr. Market
SKCSkyCity Entertainment Group36.3%78.9%down-39.1%2.2×Panicking Mr. Market
AOFAoFrioEBITDA margin: 2.2%, below normal range; 3-period mean 4.7%, range 3.2%-6.8%.38.6%49.4%down-20.4%1.3×Panicking Mr. Market
NTLNew Talisman Gold Mines120.8%145.9%down-81.0%1.2×Panicking Mr. Market
WINWinton Land60.0%69.9%down-38.8%1.2×Panicking Mr. Market
ENSEnprise Group71.5%63.6%down-34.2%0.9×Panicking Mr. Market
STUSteel & Tube Holdings100.0%77.9%down-52.1%0.8×Panicking Mr. Market
CCCCooks Coffee Company83.7%57.4%down-37.4%0.7×Panicking Mr. Market
MPGMetro Performance Glass225.0%76.4%down-33.3%0.3×Panicking Mr. Market
DGLDelegat Group6.4%32.0%flat+0.2%5.0×Underreacting market
CMOThe Colonial Motor CompanyOperating working-capital movement: NZ$-29.6m, below normal range; 3/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$46.7m, and none had a working-capital release.8.8%26.0%flat+2.1%3.0×Underreacting market
TAHThird Age Health Services22.9%58.0%flat+4.2%2.5×Underreacting market
GNZGoodman Property Trust10.5%23.1%flat+5.0%2.2×Underreacting market
BFGBurger Fuel GroupEBITDA margin: 18.4%, above normal range; 3-period mean 13.4%, range 13.2%-13.7%.41.6%18.2%flat+2.9%0.4×Underreacting market
TGGT&G Global Limited and subsidiary companiesRevenue growth: 14.5%, unprecedented high; 4-period mean -0.8%, range -4.4%-2.3%.270.4%35.4%flat0.0%0.1×Underreacting market
AFCAFC Group Holdings48.4%0.0%flat0.0%0.0×Underreacting market
MOVMOVE Logistics Group4.7%64.1%down-16.2%13.5×Aligned movement
MHJMichael Hill InternationalOperating working-capital movement: NZ$-5.8m, above normal range; 0/3 prior periods had builds, and 3 had releases averaging NZ$-66.5m.3.0%40.0%down-7.0%13.4×Aligned movement
APLAsset Plus3.8%40.8%down-17.5%10.7×Aligned movement
MFTMainfreight2.8%27.0%flat-4.1%9.6×Aligned movement
MFBMy Food Bag GroupEBITDA margin: 9.6%, below normal range; 3-period mean 12.6%, range 9.9%-17.6%.5.0%44.1%up+30.2%8.8×Aligned movement
PCTPrecinct Properties3.8%32.3%down-9.8%8.5×Aligned movement
ARGArgosy Property3.7%27.5%flat-4.0%7.4×Aligned movement
CNUChorusEBITDA margin: 70.6%, above normal range; 3-period mean 69.5%, range 69.0%-70.2%.3.2%21.5%up+14.0%6.8×Aligned movement
GXHGreen Cross Health16.9%97.0%up+143.3%5.7×Aligned movement
SMLSynlait MilkEBITDA margin: -4.5%, unprecedented low; 5-period mean 6.5%, range 3.0%-8.7%.15.2%83.3%down-40.6%5.5×Aligned movement
OCAOceania HealthcareOCF / EBITDA cash conversion: 190.3%, above normal range; 3-period mean 130.3%, range 81.2%-182.0%.7.4%40.0%up+6.3%5.4×Aligned movement
SVRSavorEBITDA margin: 14.5%, above normal range; 5-period mean 11.5%, range 9.8%-14.2%.10.3%50.0%down-13.9%4.9×Aligned movement
HGHHeartland Group HoldingsRevenue growth: 11.1%, above normal range; 4-period mean 6.8%, range -2.0%-10.2%.11.1%48.8%up+50.0%4.4×Aligned movement
THLTourism Holdings11.0%41.1%up+35.5%3.7×Aligned movement
FRWFreightways Group9.9%34.6%up+24.7%3.5×Aligned movement
CVTComvita18.3%59.6%up+46.8%3.3×Aligned movement
KPGKiwi Property Group8.6%26.2%flat0.0%3.1×Aligned movement
GTKGentrack Group Limited 6 months to 31 March 202639.0%106.5%down-66.9%2.7×Aligned movement
AIAAuckland International Airport7.9%20.4%up+12.2%2.6×Aligned movement
VGLVista Group International30.6%78.1%down-29.9%2.6×Aligned movement
PGWPGG Wrightson10.5%26.1%flat+0.5%2.5×Aligned movement
PEBPacific Edge45.8%111.2%up+147.6%2.4×Aligned movement
BLTBLIS TechnologiesRevenue growth: 16.0%, above normal range; 3-period mean 12.2%, range 9.7%-14.2%.16.0%35.3%down-15.8%2.2×Aligned movement
ATMThe a2 Milk Company30.4%62.3%flat-0.6%2.1×Aligned movement
PHLPromisia HealthcareOCF / EBITDA cash conversion: 96.2%, below normal range; 3-period mean 167.2%, range 107.1%-197.5%.29.1%54.4%up+9.3%1.9×Aligned movement
NPHNapier Port Holdings17.3%31.3%up+15.1%1.8×Aligned movement
RADRadius Residential CareEBITDA margin: 13.7%, above normal range; 3-period mean 11.8%, range 9.7%-13.4%.14.2%24.5%flat+2.5%1.7×Aligned movement
SEKSeekaEBITDA margin: 21.8%, above normal range; 3-period mean 13.5%, range 8.6%-18.5%.25.9%37.4%up+22.5%1.4×Aligned movement
NZMNZME14.9%20.9%down-6.1%1.4×Aligned movement
SPNSouth Port New ZealandRevenue growth: 17.5%, above normal range; 4-period mean 6.2%, range -0.2%-16.1%.17.5%24.3%up+13.7%1.4×Aligned movement
TRUTruscreen Group42.2%55.6%down-11.1%1.3×Aligned movement
AIRAir New Zealand34.3%44.7%down-25.0%1.3×Aligned movement
MEEMe TodayEBITDA margin: -32.4%, unprecedented high; 4-period mean -76.6%, range -97.7%--47.9%.53.8%67.7%down-45.6%1.3×Aligned movement
GENGeneral Capital19.0%22.6%down-13.3%1.2×Aligned movement
FPHFisher & Paykel Healthcare24.9%25.1%up+6.6%1.0×Aligned movement
BRWBremworthRevenue growth: -49.7%, unprecedented low; 4-period mean -4.3%, range -14.4%-10.7%.49.7%50.0%up+16.7%1.0×Aligned movement
SKLSkellerup Holdings41.2%39.9%up+38.3%1.0×Aligned movement
WHSThe Warehouse Group47.1%43.5%down-27.7%0.9×Aligned movement
HLGHallenstein Glasson32.3%28.7%up+20.4%0.9×Aligned movement
RUARua BioscienceRevenue growth: 92.2%, above normal range; 3-period mean -31.8%, range -100.0%-33.8%.92.2%77.6%down-19.0%0.8×Aligned movement
CDICDL Investments New Zealand37.4%30.7%down-20.0%0.8×Aligned movement
PFIProperty for Industry25.2%20.4%flat+2.2%0.8×Aligned movement
ARBArborGen HoldingsEBITDA margin: 16.8%, below normal range; 3-period mean 19.1%, range 17.7%-21.2%.97.6%76.2%down-43.5%0.8×Aligned movement
SKTSky Network TelevisionRevenue growth: 7.7%, unprecedented high; 4-period mean 1.9%, range -2.0%-4.1%.28.8%22.2%up+6.5%0.8×Aligned movement
MCKMillennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand40.1%26.1%up+15.1%0.7×Aligned movement
IKEikeGPS GroupOperating working-capital movement: NZ$-1.1m, below normal range; 1/3 prior periods had builds averaging NZ$0.8m, and 2 had releases averaging NZ$-0.4m.69.6%41.5%up+17.0%0.6×Aligned movement
MCYMercury NZ28.5%16.7%up+9.5%0.6×Aligned movement
CENContact EnergyEBITDA margin: 30.9%, above normal range; 3-period mean 25.2%, range 23.7%-27.1%.23.8%13.7%flat+2.3%0.6×Aligned movement
IFTInfratil74.0%42.2%up+35.1%0.6×Aligned movement
GNEGenesis Energy40.0%22.5%up+9.3%0.6×Aligned movement
RYMRyman Healthcare94.1%42.1%down-12.3%0.4×Aligned movement
MELMeridian EnergyRevenue growth: -11.0%, below normal range; 3-period mean 12.1%, range -8.6%-38.1%.96.9%13.3%flat-2.4%0.1×Aligned movement
NZKNew Zealand King Salmon InvestmentsEBITDA margin: 23.9%, above normal range; 3-period mean 12.8%, range 6.1%-20.2%.317.6%29.7%up+6.8%0.1×Aligned movement
IPRIperion35.3%0.0%flat0.0%0.0×Aligned movement
TWRTowern/m26.6%up+12.0%n/mAligned movement
ERDEROADEBITDA margin: 20.0%, below normal range; 3-period mean 28.6%, range 25.8%-30.7%.n/m113.6%down-24.4%n/mAligned movement
VCTVector4.3%21.8%up+13.0%5.1×Insufficient data
FCGFonterra Co-operative Groupn/m43.0%up+34.8%n/mInsufficient data
RTOBlackwell Global Holdingsn/m38.4%flat+2.3%n/mInsufficient data
GMTGoodman Property Trust19.7%n/minsufficient datan/mInsufficient data
How this is calculated

Price volatility is the 52-week high-to-low range divided by the midpoint. Fundamental volatility is the larger of recent revenue change or EBITDA-equivalent change over the comparable period.

Noise ratio is price volatility divided by fundamental volatility. It is suppressed as n/m when fundamental volatility is below 2% and is capped visually at >100×. Fundamental volatility changes above 1000% are treated as n/m because they are usually denominator effects.

Price direction uses a 5% flat band. Euphoric and panicking Mr. Market rows require stable fundamentals with a price move of at least 20% in either direction.

Price volatility is the 52-week high-to-low range divided by the midpoint. Fundamental volatility is the larger of recent revenue or EBITDA-equivalent change. Noise ratio measures how much more the market moved than the business, but is only shown when fundamental volatility is at least 2% and is capped visually at >100×. High gaps indicate Mr. Market was particularly emotional; direction comes from the price-direction column. See the full principles methodology for thresholds and edge cases.

Listed investment vehicles are excluded from these principle rankings because operating cash flow and earnings-yield metrics work differently for these structures: AFI, BAI, BRM, HFL, KFL, MLN, TEM.

CVT and GNZ currently have incomplete 52-week market-data fields, so their noise ratios remain not meaningful until those inputs resolve.